Posted 5.45pm Tuesday
GOING SOFT (GoingStick 6.0)
(Rail movements: R6 +6y) (Showers) STALLS Straight course – Stands’ side; Round course – Inside
Doncaster 2.20 SHABAABY Two star** win @15/8 Lad+Coral
Doncaster 2.50 GUZMAN One star*each way @ 9/1 general
Doncaster 4.20 HYDE PARK One star* win @13/2 BF +PP
Doncaster 4.20 SIX STRINGS One star* win @8/1 general
Doncaster 4.50 MIRAGE DANCER Two star** win @15/8 BF+Coral
2:20 Irish Stallion Farms EBF Conditions Stakes (Plus 10 Race) Cl2 (2yo) 6f2y ATR
So do you want the horse in form who is way ahead on time figures or the horse unlucky in running behind him last time or the improver? I’m with the improver, Shabaaby.
SHABAABY £270K son of Kylacchy, bred to be quick. Showed promise on debut behind the filly Nyaleti at Salisbury and got off the mark at Newmarket in a C4 6F Soft ground maiden showing a nice turn of foot to beat Cardsharp and the disappointing Rebel Streak.
JOHN KIRKUP Modestly named value purchase at £16 who is three from six, handles soft ground but has it all to do to turn round the form with point and go 6F specialist, Demons Rock, who is on a five timer in just about as many weeks! However John Kirkup was severely hampered once if not twice in his last race at York and if he stayed the sixth furlong had to go close to Demons Rock.
The two horses who split Demons Rock and John Kirkup, Queen’s Sargent and Areen Faisal, are both entered in the big Sales race on Friday.
2:50 Owlerton Greyhound Stadium Nursery Handicap Cl2 (2yo) 7f6y ATR
Genuine handicap with twenty one pounds from top to bottom but I’ll be amazed if the top weight runs on genuine Soft ground. Guzman each way for me but I fear Rum Runner and Toomer.
RUM RUNNER Owned by Michael Geoghegan (Machine Learner, Saturday!), so is he still on holiday and will he be in attendance? Won well at Sandown twelve days ago and as I’ve put the next three home in my notebook (Enzemble, History Writer and Emaraty) I would like to think it was a decent maiden. So was the Sandown win the target and this is a bonus or is the horse thrown in on OR84 as he has no issues with ground, grade or trip?
CROWNTHORPE Showed a ready turn of foot to win a C4 nursery off OR82 at Sandown over 7F on Good ground off OR73 and the handicapper has responded by putting him up a hefty nine pounds to OR82 and he goes up two grades to C2 as well. Both SDS and Hanagan seem to have passed the opportunity to ride him here.
GUZMAN Of the three #FantasticMrFahey entries Paul Hanagan plumps for this one. An ability to handle the Soft ground will have to be taken on trust but is form is rock solid and this looks his grade and trip. He won his first two starts, was fifth in a hot Newmarket nursery behind Tangled when done no favours in The Dip and then mid pack in the valuable York sales race with his chances compromised by being drawn 19 and no chance of laying up with Hey Jonesie. He was flat out for much of the way but kept on over the 6F without looking too busy! Since Newmarket he has been gelded and appropriately the handicapper has dropped him two pounds!
INVIOABLE SPIRIT Another trained by the #FantasticMrFahey who ran in the York Sales race. Outpaced, he kept on well under Jamie Spencer and although never nearer in the final furlong he wasn’t too busy! Both of his last two runs have suggested that a seventh furlong would be beneficial but it would need to bring significant improvement as he was beaten off this mark, OR78, at Chester behind the speedy Demon Rocks (see the 1.20 race). However since he won his maiden in C5 he has run in the Super Sprint, the York Sales race and three C2 contests so must be thought by connections to be up to this grade.
TOOMER Had this one in the Notebook since his debut, “Travelled fine, last 2F out but stayed really well under hands and heels for eighth but only four lengths off the winner (Spring Cosmos).” Ran in two more hot maidens behind Threading and Dark Rose Angel and then a keeping on fourth in a Goodwood nursery 6F on Soft ground. This filly trained by Richard Hannon has similar connections to Tangled and I can’t get away from the fact she has only 8st to carry, even if she is two pounds out of the handicap, it’s an extra furlong and it will be testing conditions.
3:20 Pepsi Max Scarbrough Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (2yo+) 5f3y ATR
THESME Nigel Tinkler’s flying filly was second in this race last year to Priceless and I can’t see anything of that class in this field. Her third in the 5½F Symphony handicap at York behind todays rival, Desert Law, last time shows she is bang in form and she is twelve pounds better off for a length and a quarter. Frankie Dettori is again in the saddle and I would expect them to make every yard in what looks a cheap Listed race.
I wonder if Desert Law will turn out again on Saturday in the Portland handicap over half a furlong further?
3:50 Clipper Logistics Leger Legends Classified Stakes Cl5 (3yo+ 0-70) 1m ATR
Time for tea.
4:20 William Hill Get The App On Google Play Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-100) 7f6y ATR
Really like the look of this handicap as plenty of these could be on a mark high enough to be players in the big Heritage handicaps as 4yo’s next season. At the prices I’ll take Hyde Park and Six Strings against the field.
HYDE PARK Won his maiden here over C&D last October at his second attempt. Opened his 3yo campaign with a creditable third at Goodwood in a 7F 3yo handicap in late May that has produced a host of C2 winners. The Britannia over a mile at Royal Ascot was a write off, wrong group, drawn 26, prominent, no cover, didn’t stay. Then dropped 2F at Newmarket for just about the hottest 3yo 6F handicap of the season behind Ekhityaar when nothing went right. No cover early, running solo between two groups and then when they merged as he was about to launch a challenge the gap closed and he was eased down. Got his head in front at Yarmouth off OR94 in a C3 handicap at Yarmouth over 7f with a first time tongue tie despite still looking a bit green. Up 4lb to OR98 but now they have decided 7F is his trip he could continue to improve. Has been withdrawn before because of unsuitably Soft ground so will Mr Gosden deem it quick enough?
SIX STRINGS Absolutely convinced we haven’t seen the best of this horse yet, he still looks a work in progrees. He’s run well in some decent races this season and his mark hasn’t moved from OR87 until going up a pound for his last run when third over C&D beaten half a length. That was probably his best of the season and he still looked green. The day he learns to put his head down he hacks up. 7F looks his trip and he could be a force to be reckoned with as a 4yo.
#FantasticMrFahey ATR Stable Tour Sept.2017 “He is a progressive horse and hasn’t had much racing. On a going day he could easily win and let’s hope he gets his head in front before the end of the year.”
LAHORE Unraced as a 2yo and just three starts as a 3yo. Won the first two, a 5F maiden here at Doncaster on Good to Firm and showed resilience in beating Quench Dolly over 6F at Windsor in a C3 handicap on good ground before being outclassed in a G3 over 6F at Deauville on his most recent start. Is this his trip and grade? Is OR86, three pounds higher than Windsor, a fair mark? Prior to Deauville his trainer told ATR “He is two from two and he could step up in grade in the Lennox Stakes at Glorious Goodwood.” That suggests the answers may be yes, yes and yes.
IMPORTANT MISSION American pedigree, won two out of three on the AW, Ryan Moore for William Haggas and has gone up ten pounds for a pillar to post victory over 7F at Chelmsford last time. Bound to be popular in the market but loads of questions to answer back on Turf on Soft ground?
4:50 Sports ID – Strength In Sport Conditions Stakes Cl2 (3yo+) 1m2f43y ATR
Strictly on the book Mirage Dancer has upwards of five pounds in hand BUT ……………… In just a five runner field where is the pace coming from? Will it be a sprint from the 3F pole? Who actually wants Soft ground?
MOUNT LOGAN Become very difficult to win with. Surely you would have to fancy one of the 3yo’s to beat him in receipt of six pounds.
BEST OF DAYS One time Godolphin Derby horse but has he trained on?
MIRAGE DANCER Looked a real Derby player after his fourth in the Dee Stakes to Cliffs of Moher at Chester. Trainer Sir Michael Stoute however chose to miss Epsom and Mirage Dancer was third in the 10F G3 Tercentenary at Royal Ascot and then third to Cracksman in the 12F G2 Great Voltiguer, not seeming to stay at York. This son of Frankel has bags of talent but methinks we won’t see him in against the big boys until next season. This looks very winnable.
5:20 1stsecuritysolutions.co.uk Handicap Cl4 (3yo+ 0-85) 5f3y ATR
These all age 5F dashes are not my betting medium of choice but two catch my eye.
BOGART 8yo now and he has been a stalwart in these 5/6F cavalry charges in Yorkshire for most of his career. Should never be written off although the ground maybe too soft for him.
VENTUROUS Ex Godolphin who started his 3yo campaign off OR99. Runs here off OR82, SDS booked and have they “done his wind”? Looked a short runner over C&D last time.