Tag: Paul Mulrennan

Friday September 6th Lucky 15 and loads more!

Posted Friday 12.15pm

Good morning to the betting brotherhood,

You are going to need to be a fully paid up member of the wide awake club today as there is lots going on! And this is just Friday!! Firstly some observations on Kempton’s AW track. Secondly four crackers in a Lucky 15 tonight. Thirdly, it is a 2yo notebook fest today and plenty of opportunities to fill that tracker, mainly with next season in mind. Fourthly, there are some trainers a long way from home and some fascinating jockey bookings!

But first a key to the next three days is going to be the Going! So here’s the morning update. Haydock is Soft, the stalls are on the inside and should favour low numbers on the straight course, although as it cuts up they may move off the rail. Remember Haydock has become a front running/prominent paradise. Ascot is Good to Soft with the stalls on the stands side on the straight course which should help high numbers. Beware Musselburgh is Good to Firm, Good in places with the stalls for the 5F races stand side and high numbers that can get that near rail are in clover. Kempton is Standard to Slow and Newcastle is Standard.

 

This week I put up two horses at Kempton on the Polytrack and both finished an annoying second but there were many similarities in their defeats that I would welcome your comments on. They both drifted from 7/4 in the morning to 3/1 minutes before the start, suggesting the market is fairly clued in as both winners were well supported. Secondly both made their runs up the inside and were beaten by horses swooping down the middle of the track. So is it best to be drawn in stall 7+ than in 1-6 where your tactics are limited, especially in the later races where the inside maybe churned up? Thirdly is the most valuable attribute at Kempton “an ability to quicken”, because on this surface you can certainly get some traction? Check out Keyser Soze for confirmation!!

Plenty of late developing classy 2yo’s will make their debut at the Sunbury venue.

 

Friday Evening’s Lucky 15

Musselburgh 5.35      HIGH WELLS                                       15/8PP 7/4 general   Two star** win

Musselburgh 6.35      THOMAS CRANMER                                   5/1 general                      One star* win

Kempton 8.20            ARAB MOON                                                  10/3 C + L                          Three star*** win

Kempton 9.20             GOOD GOLLY MISS MOLLY                6/1 general (8’s online) One star* win

and here is why

Musselburgh 5.35      HIGH WELLS Seamus Durack sends just the one from Upper Lambourn, Berkshire to Edinburgh, Scotland and it is clear to see why. He needs Good to Firm ground, which he gets here. The handicapper has put him up nine pounds for his win at Bath last Thursday but he gets to run here with just a six pound penalty. He gets to run in a 0-65 despite being on OR66 and so remains in C6. Paul Mulrennan, one of the weighing room’s most talented practitioners, has been booked. Opposition looks moderate at best for this improving son of High Chaparral.

Musselburgh 6.35      THOMAS CRANMER A good friend of mine recently aired the opinion that Mark Johnston was “mucking around” with this one and asked my opinion. This was my profile in reply.

THOMAS CRANMER    (Johnston) Solid performer but not in C2! Needs a flat, front runners track such as Musselburgh, Catterick, Haydock or Chester, a small field (8 maximum), C3 7F (possibly 8F) on ground no softer than Good and every chance he will make all. Currently OR90 so a ?-90 would be handy. Entered twice at Goodwood, can’t have him in the Betfred Mile but the 5.50 at Goodwood on Wednesday in a C3 7F 3yo+ handicap (3yo’s get 6lb) would be possible off a single figure draw. Hasn’t made the cut. Put him in the tracker.

If I’m right he has just about ideal conditions and no surprise the 11/1 with PP has gone, he has halved in price!! Second favourite at 5/1 tops!! I still think that is fair.

Kempton 8.20            ARAB MOON This one I also profiled recently.

ARAB MOON                  (William Knight) Some tool on the AW, four from four as a 3yo and since being gelded. Kempton 11F C6 OR61, Lingfield 12F C6 OR67, Kempton 11F C4 OR74 and most recently Kempton 12F C4 OR80. The last run was crazy. Stone cold last 2F out, de Sousa pulled him out to stands side and he has passed eight horses and won by two and a half lengths with the handbrake on! Got to get 8lb+ for that and maybe his future lies in Meydan and all points east but if he stays in the UK either needs to transfer his form to the Flat or maybe wait for the winter and aim at the AW Championships. Only cost £23K and surely would reach six figures at the Horses in Training sales in the Autumn.

Hugh Taylor, ATR’s top tipster has also put him up but there is still some 3/1 available. Up ten pounds but he’s at Kempton, he really quickens, he’s in stall 8 and SDS is in the saddle again.

Good race and also running and on my radar are AZAM who Michael Appleby recently acquired from John Gosden. He needs a galloping 12F and this may be a bit sharp. WESTERN DUKE I have down to win over this trip but at somewhere like Bath or Salisbury and there are a couple in here who should be too good for him. The favourite, MOUNTAIN HUNTER, is two from two for Godolphin and will make the market but he is a mountain of a horse and Mr Carson will need to get his fractions spot on to repel Arab Moon’s late charge!

Kempton 9.20             GOOD GOLLY MISS MOLLY Jeremy Gask had done a great job getting this mare’s handicap mark down to a winnable mark and Martin Bosley has reaped the rewards. If Martin Lane is really winging down from Haydock to take the one ride he must be as confident as me of racking up the C&D hat-trick.

 

 

2yo’s

The first three races at Ascot can’t fail to be informative with particular interest in the 2.40 and HERCULEAN. This is a C3 maiden for horses whose sire has won at 10F+. Herculean is a Frankel colt, a full brother to Fair Eva, owned and bred by Juddmonte, trained by Roger Charlton and to my amazement ridden by Ryan Moore. Amazement because if he is “G1 useful” why let Moore sit on him when further down the line Ballydoyle residents will be trying to beat him and Moore will know what he’s dealing with! He’s already ridden Expert Eye!

RP – Jack Regan being gelded since his last run but that is the case for the Chelsea Thoroughbreds’ colt. Trainer Charlie Hills adds: “He has been gelded since his last run and worked pleasingly the other day so hopefully he can fire.”

Races 2-4 at Kempton, 6.20-7.50, are essential viewing with more and more top trainers giving future Group race horses their debut here. The likes of Roaring Lion (6.20), Symbolisation, Tanseeq (both 7.20), Jousi and Poetic Charm (7.50) are already in my notebook.

Slightly more frivolously is Chief Justice in the Newcastle 1.40. Last time out he exited the stalls, went twenty yards, stopped and dumped Paul Hanagan! Talented but quirky, no headgear today, H will need to be strapped in!

 

Jockey/Trainer Alarm Bells!

Where to start?

Well Daniel Tudhope is at Ascot for one O’Meara inmate and two for Michael Bell of which Sacred Act (5.00) is worth a second look.

Ryan Moore rides for Charlie Appleby/Godolphin at Ascot 4.25 Alqamar.

Martin Lane is at Haydock including one for bin Suroor and then jocked up on Good Golly Miss Molly in the 9.20 at Kempton who he has ridden in her last two C&D victories for Martin Bosley.

Connor King has one ride for Brian Ellison at Haydock. Two seasons ago this boy was the next Mick Kinane/Johnny Murtagh. I think he has weight issues.

Kempton 7.20 Jamie Spencer rides for Richard Hughes. Love to earwig the riding instructions but bet it doesn’t involve, “jump out, make all”!!

So who has made the trek to Scotland for Good to Firm ground?

The red hot combo of Archie Watson and Ed Greatrex have two! Mazarain is up 11lb for a C&D win (6.05). Brandon Castle in the 7.05.

Likewise Robyn Brisland sends just one from Newmarket, 1.40 Oswald, and has employed Paul Mulrennan to ride.

 

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Friday August 25th Day 3 York Ebor Festival

Posted Thursday 6.30pm

Tough day in the office. Financially damaging. The good news is they are racing at York again tomorrow but my it is a trappy card with a capital T!! It’s drying out on the Knavesmire. “Good, Good to Soft in Places” and the clerk of the course has just tweeted “A lovely sunny evening to end Day 2”.

Memo to ITV racing – 2.55pm That Oaks countdown is totally unnecessary and irrelevant. ITV sticking Enable on a pedestal. Nasty feeling of “tall poppy syndrome”!

 

York 3.35 Nunthorpe Stakes G1 5F 3yo+

This won’t take long. Blink and you could miss them. Great to watch just loath them as a betting medium! I’ll be cheering on Lady Aurelia as I enjoy Wesley Wards efforts in supporting the British summer Festivals!

 

York 4.15 C2 7F Convivial Maiden Stakes 2yo.

Probably my favourite race of the meeting as it will be packed with future winners and I will probably watch it twenty times. Gabr was a big Notebook horse on debut a HQ but will be in the place pot only. That noise you can here is me sharpening half a dozen pencils!

 

Friday Lucky 15 (probably e/w)

York 1.55                    LANDSMAN                @10/1 WH 8/1 general                    

York 2.25                    DARTMOUTH              @9/2 WH 4/1 PP      

York 3.00                    MUBTASIM                      @ 14/1 WH + PP Both also 4 places!          

York 4.50                    MOJITO                       @3/1 general

 

Friday Star* Selections (14 Stars)

York 1.55                    LANDSMAN                One Star* each way @10/1 WH 8/1 general

York 2.25                    DARTMOUTH              Two Star** win @9/2 WH 4/1 PP

York 3.00                    MUBTASIM                      Two Stars** each way @ 14/1 WH + PP Both also 4 places           

York 4.50                    MOJITO                       Four stars**** win @3/1 general

York 4.50                    KINGS GIFT                 One star* each way @ 25/1 Betfred + 4 places!

 and here’s why

 York 1.55                    LANDSMAN    History says the winner will be carrying 9st 4lbs or less, had three runs this season, winning form and be in Stall 8 or wider. Landsman is trained in Ireland by tony Martin who knows all about winning on the Knavesmire and I like his jumpers when they’ve had a reconnoitre, at Cheltenham for example, and Landsman ran here last October when not seeing out the 14F trip. He is good form, drawn 9, ground and trip look fine and Paul Hanagan has been booked. Solid each way material!

York 2.25                    DARTMOUTH  Has to give weight to the rest of the field, with reason because he is the best horse in the field or more to the point he has won a Group Two. Won over 14F here at York earlier in the season, will appreciate the ground and Ryan Moore does the steering.

Of the others the ground is too tacky for Dal Harraild, Sheikzayedroad and High Jinx probably have their best days behind them, Higher Power and Montaly are good handicappers which means the dangers are that man Mullins with Ascot Stakes winner Thomas Hobson and the possible improver, 4yo St. Michel, for Sir Mark Prescott. I’ll stick with the Royal runner.

York 3.00                    MUBTASIM The form of the G3 7F Jersey at Royal Ascot has been well franked since and I’ve been waiting to back the third horse there, Mubtasim, for a while. Love the draw in four, David Allen riding is a curious booking but he is in form, love the price and just hope the ground keeps drying. Started the year as a sprinter but to me 7F looks his trip.

At 7/1 the field you could make a case for most but I’m not sure Daban has trained on and was two and a half lengths behind the selection in the Jersey, Suedois and Tupi are drawn in the car park and like So Beloved are nearly horses. I’m with Mubtasim, it’s about time William Haggas came to the party!

York 4.50                    MOJITO Right here we go, NAP of the meeting. Been following this horse for a while and I think he is a Group horse waiting to happen. I have no worries with the grade, the trip or the ground. Indeed I think York will be ideal as he is a prominent racer, drawn 4, and he doesn’t quicken he just grinds it out from the furlong pole as he has done at Newmarket and Sandown most recently. Jim Crowley is riding on the crest of the wave and Haggas is due! I have to admit the price is currently skinny and I fear the other Haggas runner Battered, Luca Cumani’s La Rav and of course I personally will be having a saver on my cliff horse of the season, City of Joy, but with absolutely no confidence! As outlined below I also don’t think Kings Gift is a 25/1 shot either.

York 4.50                    KINGS GIFT Connections I like of Michael Dods and Paul Mulrennan and this horse was fourth in the G3 Greenham at the beginning of the season just six lengths off Barney Roy! Ninth in the G1 French Guineas and then occupied the same position to Benbatl in the G3 10F Tercentenary at Royal Ascot. He then had his sights lowered and ran a cracker when third to Chiefofchiefs over course and distance before having no chance at Goodwood drawn widest in their C2 10F handicap and being eased. This race is a much more feasible option and he starts from an ideal stall 2.

 

Thursday Lucky 15

Ticket is in the bin!

York 1.55                    GREAT PROSPECTOR             2nd 9/2          (7/2 WH + Coral 3/1 general)

Well away this time, on the job, every chance, beaten a diminishing neck, probably better at 7F. More on this race in next week’s Review as I think Paul Hanagan was blind-sided!

York 2.30                    SPECIAL PURPOSE                 5th 6/1           (13/2 general)

Bounced around among horses early on, not as big as some of these but kept on well. More to come especially if she grows. Not sold on the form of this race but the winner, Threading, is clearly useful.

York 3.00                    EL VIP                                      17th and last (One star* each way @ 10/1 general)

Too keen early on. Needs Firm somewhere in the going description and probably best on a straight mile.

BHS Stewards Report – “The Stewards considered the running of EL VIP (IRE), ridden by Jamie Spencer and trained by Luca Cumani, which finished unplaced. They noted the trainer’s explanation that the colt was unsuited by the going which was described as Good to Soft, Good in Places, and EL VIP (IRE) would prefer a faster surface.”

York 4.50                    CARIDADE                               5th 14/1         (One star* each way @ 11/1 Coral 10/1 general)

Gutsy run. Moved to the inside, they were always going just a stride too quick for her but she has kept on well. Indeed they went flat out the whole trip here.

 

Thursday Star* Selections (9 Stars out 0 Stars back)

York 1.55                    GREAT PROSPECTOR             2nd 9/2          (Three star*** win @ 7/2 WH + Coral 3/1 general)

York 2.30                    SPECIAL PURPOSE                 5th 6/1                         (Two star** win @ 13/2 general)

York 3.00                    EL VIP                                      17th and last 10/1       (One star* each way @ 10/1 general)

York 4.50                    CARIDADE                               5th 14/1         (One star* each way @ 11/1 Coral 10/1 general)

           

 

Brief Thursday review

Terry Norman‏ @tjnnorman   Interesting that Tangled clocked a faster time than Threading. Hannon’s horse capable of winning listed race #York

Simon Rowlands‏ @RowleyfileRRR 

 …which happened only twice in the previous 7 years…

 

York 3.35        Yorkshire Oaks G1 12F 3yo+ Fillies & Mares

Well no surprises. Gosden 1-2 and Enable goes to the Arc!

York 4.10        Galtres/Sir Henry Cecil Stakes 12F 3yo+ Fillies & Mares

Mori is a major disappointment for everyone except the bookmaking fraternity and Team Fanshawe!

The Stewards considered the running of MORI, ridden by Ryan Moore and trained by Sir Michael Stoute, which started favourite and finished unplaced. They noted the trainer could offer no explanation for the filly’s performance. The Veterinary Officer reported that a post-race examination of MORI, during routine testing, failed to reveal any abnormalities.

I refer you to my opening piece yesterday. Mori “Couldn’t back her at odds on (Ground, York, inexperience, she’s a mare) but wouldn’t wish to oppose her either.”

Saturday July 15th Update 11.15am

Updates from the jockeys and some general musings.

Additional Saturday Single

Ascot 2.40                           MUTARAKEZ                      One star* each way @ 11/1 PP + WH 10/1 general

Went into my notebook at the Craven meeting, “Mutarakez (Meehan) Late progress in the mile handicap behind Next Stage (Godolphin) having been held up but travelling well but the 7lb claimer couldn’t find a racing seam. Ex-Hamdan Al Maktoum horse, sent to the sales and bought for £28K by Sam Sangster (Meehan’s landlord) before being passed on to the current owners. Has ALWAYS been trained by Meehan. Needs a mile on good ground, buried away, settled and a late surge. Has been as high as OR101, went off just 15/2 in the Britannia as a 3yo, but now just OR89. Still only a 5yo and has won three from nine on Turf.” He has been busy since running in C2 8F handicaps with moderate success, 8383, ridden by professional jockeys. However the aforementioned claimer was back on last time at Sandown on his first try at 10F when a solid third behind Eugenio. The attraction of Mutarakez is nicely summed up by sportinglife.com on their race card, “Without a win since his promising juvenile days. Last run at Sandown indicated he may have found his level and trip. Looked a shade unlucky that day and the stable have been in good form lately.”

 

Jamie Spencer 32Red blog July 14

3.25pm Newmarket BuckstayHe may not have got the run of the race in the Wokingham last time but it was still disappointing that he only beat one home. Peter has put blinkers on him for the first time here and hopefully that will galvanise him. If it does, he is weighted to go well – he is 2lb lower than when not beaten far at Ascot two starts ago – and hopefully he can run a better race than he did when ninth in this race last year. 7f on decent ground in a strongly-run race is what he wants.” So that’s Spencer on a hold up horse in a straight course handicap!

4.35pm Newmarket Mr LuptonA mark of 112 tells you what a classy sprinter he is, and he put up some handicap performance when winning at Newmarket off a mark of 107 in May. But this just happens to be one of the hottest July Cups in recent times and if he finishes in the first six he will have done remarkably well.  I fancy the 3yos in the race, and I think the front-running track style should make it closer between Caravaggio and Harry’s Angel. I don’t think the older sprinters are as good.” So that’s Spencer on a late-as-you-like horse he’s won on before!

 

Paul Mulrennan Racing UK Blog 14 July 2017 I’m very hopeful that Kings Gift will get my day off to a great start at York in the John Smith’s Racing Handicap. He has been highly-tried this season, having finished fourth in the Greenham and ninth in both the French 2,000 Guineas and Hampton Court Stakes last month. He ran better than that last run at Royal Ascot suggests as he didn’t get a clear passage and would have finished closer. He’s now dropping down into handicap company, he’s drawn well in six and the track will suit him. He’s got a massive chance. My second best chance of the day, after Kings Gift, lies with John Kirkup in the John Smith’s Nursery Handicap. He’s done nothing but improve this season, building on a promising debut to win his last two runs and this step up to six furlongs will bring out further improvement. Looking back at the last week, Rumshak was a very impressive winner for me at Carlisle. He was a cheap purchase by Michael Dods and his winning time was faster than that of the three-year-old handicap that day. He looks very useful indeed.

 

Ryan Moore Betfair Blog 14 July 201714:50 – City Of Joy He was another horse not to show his best at Royal Ascot but we certainly didn’t get the run of the race there and I’d be inclined to put a line through that run, and move on. The form of his earlier wins at Doncaster and Chelmsford stands up to inspection, and I think he can be competitive off his current mark of 94. There could well be more to come from him.

 

SDS gets a four day holiday for two whip offences at Ascot!

Ascot – 2:50pm THE KNIGHTS 1759 NURSERY HANDICAP STAKES (CLASS 3)

The Stewards held an enquiry into the use of the whip by Silvestre De Sousa, the rider of the winner, RUFUS KING, inside the final furlong. Having heard his evidence and viewed recordings of the race, they found him in breach of Schedule (B)6 Part 2 in that he had used his whip in an incorrect place. The Stewards suspended De Sousa for 2 days as follows: Friday 28 and Sunday 30 July 2017.

Ascot – 4:35pm THE LONG HARBOUR DEREK LUCIE-SMITH MEMORIAL HANDICAP STAKES (CLASS 3)

The Stewards held an enquiry into the use of the whip by Silvestre De Sousa, the rider of HAKAM (USA), placed second, from one and a half furlongs out. Having heard his evidence and viewed recordings of the race, they found him in breach of Schedule (B)6 Part 2 in that he had used his whip above the permitted level. The Stewards suspended De Sousa for 2 days as follows: Monday 31 July and Friday 4 August 2017.

 

Royal Ascot Handicap winners running today

Rare Rhythm won the 12F Duke of Edinburgh steps up 2F and moves into Listed company taking on G2 Hardwicke second, Barsanti, in the York 2.30.

Snoano won the 10F Listed Wolferton Handicap and has a six pound penalty in the John Smiths over the same trip at York 3.05. Remember what the trainer, Tim Easterby, said after Ascot, “It was a nice surprise because he if it had been softer ground I’d have been fairly optimistic. It was fast so I was a bit iffy. He runs in the John Smith’s Cup. That’s been his aim all year. This was a bonus.”

Out Do won the 6F Wokingham and drops a furlong to take in a Listed race, the Chester 3.00.

 

I don’t know if I feel any better having read the Stewards report! I still think Silent Echo came out of the stalls like a US quarter horse in a 2F dash! Took that long to put his head down!

Race 7 – 5:30pm THE WINGATE CENTRE CHARITY SUPPORTED BY SUGRO APPRENTICE HANDICAP STAKES (CLASS 3)

The Stewards gave permission for SILENT ECHO, trained by Roger Charlton, to wear a hood in the Parade Ring and noted that PENNSYLVANIA DUTCH, ridden by Georgia Cox and trained by William Haggas, would wear ear plugs which would be removed at the start.

Kieran Shoemark, the rider of SILENT ECHO, unplaced, reported that the gelding hung right and ran flat. The Veterinary Officer reported that a post-race examination of SILENT ECHO during routine testing failed to reveal any abnormalities.

Georgia Cox, the rider of PENNSYLVANIA DUTCH, unplaced, reported that the gelding was never travelling.

The Veterinary Officer reported that during a post-race examination, SIR REGINALD BROWN, unplaced, trained by Richard Fahey, was displaying an abnormal heart rhythm.

Lucky 15 Saturday May 6th

Friday 6.00pm This Guineas weekend has plenty of quality about it with a cornucopia of horses I want to back. Loads from the Notebook, #FantasticMrFahey has a few with real chances and Saturday evening we have a super sneaky special running! Indeed Doncaster’s Saturday evening looks like it will make or break my weekend punting fortunes.

Gutted! All that hard work, all that research, all that hope!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! New World Power was put in at 5/2 with PP. It lasted all of 11 minutes. Currently top priced 9/4 with PP, Ladbrokes and BetFred. That price is really skinny. Stick it in your multiples maybe but hard to recommend as a single that short.

Saturdays Lucky 15

Newmarket 1.50        NEXT STAGE                                    7/2PP 3/1 general

Thirsk 3.40                  MUTARAKEZ                                   12/1 Betfred 10/1 general

Doncaster 6.50           GALLIPOLI                               4/1 general

Doncaster 7.50           NEW WORLD POWER                        9/4 general

and here’s why

Newmarket 1.50        NEXT STAGE Rapid improver who is lightly raced. Won a mile handicap at the Craven meeting comfortably and although up a furlong and 6lbs not surprised that Godolphin think he can take this handicap off his current mark before this Dubawi colt, who cost £800K as a yearling, steps up further in trip and into Group company. Dolphin Vista is very much on my radar but as his trainer says in his blog on sportinglife.com “we’ll monitor the weather with the owner as he’s definitely better with a bit of cut.”

Thirsk 3.40                  MUTARAKEZ   Notebook handicapper “Late progress in the mile handicap behind Next Stage (Godolphin) having been held up but travelling well but the 7lb claimer couldn’t find a racing seam. Ex Hamdan Al Maktoum horse, sent to the sales and bought for £28K by Sam Sangster (Meehan’s landlord) before being passed on to the current owners. Has ALWAYS been trained by Meehan. Needs a mile on good ground, buried away, settled and a late surge. Has been as high as OR101, went off just 15/2 in the Britannia as a 3yo, but now just OR89. Still only a 5yo and has won three from nine on Turf.” Drawn widest in 18 which should ensure a price! Paul Mulrennan rides and he needs to find a position prior to leaving the back straight and then a seam in the home run.

Doncaster 6.50           GALLIPOLI  Think he may have found his trip and ground shouldn’t be an issue.

My Notebook says “Had hoped for lots more. C3 6F+? Put in my Unofficial Stable Tour back in April 2016 “This son of Dandy Man looks every inch a sprinter and won well, if a little wayward, on debut over 5F on Town Moor before running on well to be 4th in a C2 novice stakes around a tricky Beverley in late May. Not seen since, #FantasticMrFahey reasoning “He has always been a big horse and we’ve given him time to fill into his frame. Gallipoli is a work in progress but he has done very well over the winter.” Began his 3yo campaign in a C3 6F at Doncaster. Bit keen early then Tony Hamilton found every cul-de-sac available. Then ran well in a serious C2 3yo 6F handicap at Newmarket (Mr Lupton was third!!). Dropped to C3 6F at Beverley Hamilton just couldn’t get the clean run up the rail when he wanted it but rattled home beaten just a neck. Stepped up to 7F at Chester and didn’t stay! Not seen since 25th June 2016.”

Reappeared in December on the AW at Lingfield and kept on in a C3 7F handicap, then this April back on Turf Paul Hanagan got him up in a C4 Leicester 7F handicap off OR86, seeing his race out well. He’s up 3lb here to OR89 and David Nolan takes over in the saddle. If he has now strengthened up he is probably still well handicapped.

#FantasticMrFahey says Gallipoli is progressive and a horse I’ve always liked. He got it all together to win at Leicester last time and while he had been a hard horse to train, having been weak, he’s a lot stronger now. I think he’ll run a big race in the Water Aid Handicap.” That’s good enough for me!

Doncaster 7.50           NEW WORLD POWER            Some of you may already have seen these words by e-mail earlier today! This horse is bred in the purple by Japanese super sire, Deep Impact, out of Listen, Sadlers Well mare, who was second in the G1 Moyglare and won the G1 Ascot Fillies mile. NWP is owned by Qatar Racing Limited, a fact that is going to prove hugely relevant.

The form book, Racing Post on-line, says that he didn’t run as a 2yo but as a 3yo when trained by Roger Varian he ran in three maidens, was a beaten favourite in the last two, and has since moved to the Simcock yard and goes handicapping off OR81.

On debut he was an 8L staying on second to no less than Ulysses over 10F on Good to Soft at Newbury. He was then a one pace third behind Autocratic at Sandown over 10F on Good to firm and finally a disappointing 5th in a C5 10F maiden at Salisbury on Good to Soft again looking one paced.

David Simcock in his recent Racing Post Stable Tour he said about NWP “New horse to us, a good galloper who starts at the right end of the handicap. We’ll find out if he stays and hopefully go down that route with him.”

So why all the excitement? Well courtesy of Sandown Park I received a tweet showing the finish of a Charity Flat race ran at Cheltenham over 1m5f during their April meeting. It shows a horse overtaking about a dozen others up the hill but finishing second. The jockey was Sheikh Fahad Al-Thani. He owns Qatar Racing. The horse was NWP. This is the same Sheikh Fahad Al-Thani that Gordon Elliott tweeted about “Gordon Elliott Racing 24 October 2016 • Labaik – a runaway winner of the Corinthian Challenge Charity Race at Leopardstown yesterday under Sheikh Fahad Al Thani.” Yes that Labaik! The Sheikh got him to start!

So we know NWP HAS had a run this season. If you stay on up the Cheltenham hill over 13F you should stay 14F at Doncaster. As a hold up horse there is no better man to ride him than Spencer, on whom the Sheikh clearly models himself!! The horse that finished 11th in that Charity race was Miss Inga Sock who won a C6 handicap at Brighton earlier this week.

Here is the Sandown Park link https://twitter.com/CheltenhamRaces/status/855474859714912260

Thursdays Lucky 15

Now that’s more like it. Three winners and a fourth beaten less than a couple of lengths! If you were on at SP then your £1 Lucky 15 returned £71.19. If you got on at recommended top prices the night before your return was £117.40. Personally I got two at 2/1 and a 9/2 with a 10p in the £ Rule 4 that returned £95.80! Happy days.

The pessimists among you will have noticed that Battered winning as well would have made it a £750+ ticket.

Lingfield 2.10              MUKALEL                                          1st 6/4             (2/1 general)

Racing Post “Taken down early, chased leaders, went 2nd over 4f out, ridden to lead over 1f out, soon in command and pushed out final furlong”

Redcar 4.00                TEODORO                                       1st 7/2             (6/1 PP)

Racing Post “Dwelt and towards rear, headway over 4f out, chased leaders on inner over 2f out, not clear run and switched right to outer just over 1f out, soon ridden, driven inside final furlong, stayed on strongly to lead near line”

Lingfield 4.10              BATTERED                               4th 7/1             (7/1 Coral 6/1 general)

Racing Post “Held up in touch, not much room entering final 2f, switched left and headway over 1f out, chased leaders and edged left under pressure inside final furlong, kept on same pace final 100yds”

Redcar 4.30                GILGAMESH                            1st 7/4             (2/1 general)

Racing Post “Held up in touch, headway 2f out, switched left and ridden just over 1f out, driven inside final furlong, kept on well to lead towards finish”

 

#FantasticMrFahey sportinglife.com May 05 2017, 10:17

I’d love some rain at Newmarket for Dolphin Vista ahead of the Spring Lodge Stakes. He’s definitely a better horse on slower ground but ran well in the Lincoln. He’s stepping up in trip here which will suit but we’ll monitor the weather with the owner as he’s definitely better with a bit of cut.

Kimberella is in great order going into the Longholes Palace House Stakes. This is the next step for him following his win in the All-Weather Sprint Championship on Good Friday. It’s very competitive as they’ve all turned up – which is understandable as there’s nowhere else to go with a good five-furlong sprinter right now – but the trip and fast ground will be fine for our fellow. He’ll need a lifetime best to win this but goes there in great form, we’ve been very happy with him since Lingfield.

The Wagon Wheel is a filly we like and reappears in the Hot Streak Handicap. Her brother won a Listed race this week and we don’t feel she’s badly handicapped on her form at two. We’ll find out here though, as it’s a warm race.

Andok is a horse we really like. I was a bit disappointed when he was beaten on his final start at two – but it can happen to them all – and he is a progressive sort. We think he’s gone on again over the winter but he’ll need to have as the QIPCO Racing Welfare Handicap looks a tough heat.

We’re double handed in the opening totescoop6 Play For Just 2 Today Novice Auction Stakes at Thirsk. Danehill Desert and Guzman are both okay colts who will improve for the run and experience. I couldn’t split them going into it – we don’t have a first and second string here – but we have plenty of two-year-olds ready to run and this is a good place for this pair to start. If either won I’d be delighted.

Spring Offensive ran okay in the Irish Lincoln and has been kept back for the totepool Thirsk Hunt Cup Handicap since he’s best when fresh. On his best form he’d have a small chance.

Our final runners are all at Doncaster.

I’d imagine Tatlisu is as high as he’d want to be going into the Black And Veatch Handicap. He decides when he’s on a going day and I’d just worry if the ground was too fast that he might not let himself down on it. We’ll let him take his chance.

Bengali Boys and Sinaloa both run in the Mott MacDonald Bentley Novice Stakes. The former isn’t a star but did well to win from a bad draw at Beverley and there’s not a lot between him and his stablemate who was third on debut at Pontefract. It will be interesting to see how warm this race is – my pair won’t be winning Group races – but are fit and well and ready to go again.

Gallipoli is progressive and a horse I’ve always liked. He got it all together to win at Leicester last time and while he had been a hard horse to train, having been weak, he’s a lot stronger now. I think he’ll run a big race in the Water Aid Handicap.

In First Place will probably be outsider of the lot in the Stonbury Handicap. He is what he is, but is a good, hardy horse who never lets you down. He’ll run his race.