Tag: Expert Eye

2017 2yo’s to mull over

Posted 11th August 6.00pm

Been doing loads of this as I build towards York. Some more handicappers already on file plus “Those Gosden Fillies”, Haggas on the Knavesmire-What has he got for 2017?, The Ebor-Ante Post etc.etc. 

ALGAM                               (Richard Hannon) £200K son of Kodiac out of a Sadlers Wells mare. Second on debut to Doublet at Epsom when he ran as green as grass but with promise. Then sixth to the 100/1 shot at Goodwood when Rebel Streak was second in the worst of the weather under an educational, hands and heels ride from Signor Dettori. Think his kindness will be rewarded in time.

 

BARRAQUERO                                (Brian Meehan) This IS a good horse. Brought to my attention by Jason Weaver about three weeks ago who said that this horse had gone “whoosh” in winning his maiden at Chepstow. He wasn’t lying, Barraquero led at the furlong pole and won by six lengths. Now he has won the G2 6F Richmond Stakes at Goodwood beating the winner of the G2 Superlative and the runner up to Guineas favourite Gustav Klimt, Nebo. Solid form and the trainer said afterwards and I paraphrase, “He is a Group 1 horse, will get further, more to come, Prix Morny top of targets”. The Goodwood run was his career third and his debut was third to none other than Expert Eye.

My Goodwood Review August 7th  Stars in my eyes The two 2yo colts Expert Eye and Barraquerro, who met on debut at Newbury finishing first and third, winning the 7F Vintage and the 6F Richmond respectively. Expert Eye’s trainer Sir Michael Stoute very much gives me the impression that the horse is very much a “now 2yo” whereas Brian Meehan sees Barraquerro as a longer term project, even beyond the 2000 Guineas.

August 09 2017, 13:07 sportinglife.com Brian Meehan will make a decision at the end of the week regarding the participation of Barraquero in the Prix Morny at Deauville later this month. Having initially been keen on tackling the Group One with the son of Zebedee following his victory in the Richmond at Goodwood last week, the Manton handler is now having second thoughts. Meehan said: “He is in good shape and is just having a few days off. I’m not sure whether he will go to the Morny yet. I will see what the owners say and decide at the end of the week. I was really keen on going there, but I might just bring him back and give him an extra bit of time as he is a horse with a future. Physically he has a lot of scope and he is a really exciting prospect. He could go the Commonwealth Cup route, but I don’t see any reason why he won’t get a bit further. He is a horse that strikes me will get seven and there is no reason he wouldn’t get a mile.”

 

BLACK SAILS               (Ger Lyons) Royal Ascot Albany 6F fillies Preview “The filly I’m attracted to is the Qatar Racing owned, Ger Lyons trained Black Sails. She beat the boys at the Curragh and she wouldn’t be without a chance in the Coventry. She is a long and rangy daughter of Lope de Vega and I can’t see her having a problem with the ground or the trip and she looked very professional.” Review 11th 8/1 “Every chance at the furlong pole but not good enough.” Of the ten to have run since the fifth, sixth, seventh and eighteenth have won since. Entries in G2 Debutante and G1 Moyglare.

 

DUBHE                        (Charlie Appleby) Eyecatcher behind Mildenburger on debut at Newbury when a little wayward in the final furlong, made no mistake at Sandown in a 7F C4 maiden on Soft ground. Buick kkept it simple, jumped from the gates, controlled the pace from the front, got the stands rail in the straight, it was that Soft, and galloped to the line.

Bred in the purple by Dubawi out of an Irish Oaks winner who is a daughter of Galileo! Middle distance 3yo in the making as long as Godolphin don’t do too much too quickly! Entry in the G1 7F National Stakes at the Curragh and not surprisingly next years Derby!

 

ELATION                            (Varian) “Invincible Spirit filly bought for 130,000 gns at the breeze-up sales in April. Half-sister to a number of winners. Sent off at 100/30 on debut (Newbury C4 6F), but lost all chance when slipping on leaving the stalls. Still received a bit of education, running well to finish fifth of 13.” sportinglife.com

7th Aug. C4 6F GS Ripon Slow at stalls again. Travelled with little cover but SDS made sure she got the job done. Not very big! Mark Kershaw, representing owners Highclere Thoroughbred, said: “We’re very pleased with that, it looked a nice maiden. “She didn’t have the best of draw (two) and the ground was softer than she’d like. I think seven furlongs on nice ground will see her in a better light.”

Trainers blog Roger said: “Elation has improved from her first run and she is going the right way. She did well under the circumstances here and she still showed her inexperience when hitting the front. She should continue to improve and we will probably look at 7f options next time.”

 

EXPERT EYE                      (Sir Michael Stoute) A Stoute winner on debut is always noteworthy and when put up by Keiron Fallon in the RP Monday Jury as “one to follow” it has to be in the Notebook.

Newmarket correspondent David Milnes with the two-year-olds to watch 6:00PM, JUL 20 2017

Expert Eye  (c. Acclamation – Exemplify) Sir Michael Stoute He got the Freemason Lodge juveniles on the board when scoring over six and a half furlongs at Newbury in June, a race that is already working out. He has since excelled in his homework and is bred to be speedy, as his dam is a half-sister to 1,000 Guineas winner Special Duty. This colt can be expected to be given entries in all the top autumn juvenile races.

My Goodwood Review August 7th Stars in my eyes The two 2yo colts Expert Eye and Barraquerro, who met on debut at Newbury finishing first and third, winning the 7F Vintage and the 6F Richmond respectively. Expert Eye’s trainer Sir Michael Stoute very much gives me the impression that the horse is very much a “now 2yo” whereas Brian Meehan sees Barraquerro as a longer term project, even beyond the 2000 Guineas.

August 08 2017, 12:23 sportinglife.com Connections of ante-post Qipco 2000 Guineas favourite Expert Eye are weighing up an outing in the Goffs Vincent O’Brien National Stakes at the Curragh. The seven-furlong Group One prize is one of two options, along with the Champagne Stakes at Doncaster, under consideration for the Sir Michael Stoute-trained two-year-old. After making a winning debut at Newbury, the son of Acclamation shot to the head of the betting for next year’s colts’ Classic at Newmarket with a stylish success in the Vintage Stakes at Goodwood last week.

Teddy Grimthorpe, racing manager to owner Khalid Abdullah, said: “It was a very good performance and the form of his Newbury maiden has worked out well as he had the Richmond winner (Barraquero) behind him that day and that gives us encouragement. It is not Sir Michael’s way to do too much too soon and it has worked out. The National Stakes and the Champagne are still both under consideration. I doubt he will get much further than a mile, but I think that will emerge to be the right distance for him given the way he won on Tuesday.”

 

FILLE DE REVE                 (Ed Walker) Split two useful looking Gosden fillies in this 7F C4 fillies maiden on the AW at Kempton. Travelled well if keen and as Verandah whipped through on the inside she was stuck ehind a wall of slower horses, when she got the gap she flew home. Maiden win should be a formality for this Lloyd Webber bred and owned with Bjorn Neilson (£85K yearling) and this Iffraaj filly should get a mile.

 

HAPPILY

Thursday 27 July 2017 sportinglife.com Aidan O’Brien’s daughter of Galileo claimed a Curragh maiden in June and really caught the eye to win this seven-furlong Group Three. Easter Lily made most the running, closely tracked by Dawn Delivers and then Happily, the Ryan Moore-ridden 8-11 favourite. The latter was nudged wide as the field straightened for home and coolly gained a definitive lead she would not relinquish. Happily showed marked improvement the further she went and was much too classy for Shalailah, who was also second behind the O’Brien inmate at the Curragh.

O’Brien said of the five-length winner: “You’d be delighted with that. She looks like she’s come forward again. You could look at the Debutante (Curragh, August 20) and then the Moyglare (Curragh, September 10). We’ll take it one race at a time but you’d imagine something like that. She’s lovely and Ryan is very happy with her. She picked them up very easily.

Donnacha (O’Brien) loved her the first day and the second time, and I’d say she has jumped again.”

 

I AM POWER                   (Michael O’Callaghan) Cost the trainer €40K who still owns him so no surprise he’s talking him up! Bred to be quick, by Power out of a Stravinsky mare. Tall, leggy colt won well on debut on 14th July over 5F at Navan and the third Verhoyen is a useful yardstick with form behind Beckford, True Blue Moon, Too Familiar etc. “Well away, took trail, asked two out, took time for penny to drop but impressive last hundred yards as he powered home. Put head down and tried, likeable attitude.”

O’Callaghan said afterwards: “He’s a lovely horse and we’ve always thought a lot of him. He has a couple of real nice entries. I only had him 80 percent fit coming here and thought he’d improve a lot off the run. He was giving everything weight and we wouldn’t have been surprised to see him beat here today but improve and come out and win the next day. That was kind of the plan with him. He was a bit green throughout the race and just figured things out late on coming up the hill. Pat (Smullen) thinks a lot of him and said he’s a lovely horse, a proper six furlong horse. Hopefully now he’ll improve enough out of that and we can step up to stakes company. We’ll stick to six and step him up in class.”

Big entries – Sunday, 13 August 2017 – 3:35 Curragh, Keeneland Phoenix Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies)

Sunday, 20 August 2017 – 2:45 Curragh, Galileo Irish EBF Futurity Stakes (Group 2)

Saturday, 26 August 2017 – 3:00 York, Al Basti Equiworld Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2)

 

LAUGH A MINUTE        (Roger Varian) Third to Tigre du Terre on debut. Presuming Obaid is in the country as this £45K son of Mayson and half-brother to Horroob (OR90 3yo who Varian also bought at the Sales!) looks like having his second run just a fortnight later.JUL 26 2017 2:01PM, David Milnes Newmarket Gallops reports:Rumoured to be named after his trainer, the son of Mayson headed a big bunch of workers who had made the short journey from Carlburg to the Limekilns short gallop. The recent Ascot third looked to have moved on from that in an easy spin under Andrea Atzeni and is due to run at York on Friday night.”

 

MAGNIFICENT                (Richard Hannon) Neither division of the 7F 2yo maidens produced anything to excite me although the fourth, Magnificent, is perhaps one for the tracker. Considering the connections a bargain buy at £12K for a son of Zebedee. Could take a maiden for Team Hannon but looks ideal nursery material, perhaps over a mile. He met the much touted Expert Eye of Sir Michael Stoute on debut.

7th Aug. Second to stablemate Bullingdon in Salisbury C4 7F maiden. “Out well, got rail, led, picked up by well backed, stockier stablemate, rallied.” Now for nurseries OR??

 

MILDENBERGER            (Mark Johnston) Godolphin home bred son of Teofilio out of a Dubawi mare who will surely stay further. On debut over 7F took trail, green, asked 2F out, got to the front ½F out and pulled clear. Impressive under a penalty at Newbury, C4 7F. Kept it simple, out well, made all, stretched clear from the furlong pole.

The second Ode to Autumn (John Gosden) and the fourth Dubhe (Charlie Appleby) should both be winning soon.

 

ODE TO AUTUMN        (Gosden) Second to Mildenberger on debut at Newmarket C4 7F Good to Soft. Needs to grow into his substantial frame.

7th Aug. Salisbury C4 7F maiden. Beaten at odds on by more experienced horse. Strengthen up and 8F.

 

POETIC CHARM          (Charlie Appleby) Blog August 12thOver the last couple of days whilst watching the racing and getting my 2yo files together Godolphin seem to be popping up all over the place. Dubhe was a smart winner last night and he could easily be a middle distance Group horse next season. Likewise I was massively impressed by this young lady when she won her only start to date here at Newmarket over C&D albeit on quicker ground putting away Coolmore’s Sizzling. Strong form as the third, fourth and sixth have all won since and there were some beautifully bred fillies amongst the also-rans who have yet to reappear. Held up and travelling, at the 2F pole I didn’t think she was going anywhere but she picked up in some style and ran on strongly. As a daughter of Dubawi the softer ground shouldn’t be an issue and she can win here en route to G1 challenges in the autumn.”         

 

REBEL STREAK                (Andrew Balding) Travelled kindly, progress two out, looking for racing room, turned sideways in run to the furlong pole, straightened out and kept on strongly to the line beaten less than two lengths by Lethal Lunch. This was a promising first run on Turf for this Dark Angel colt. Should get 7F.

 

ROLAND ROCKS         (John Ryan) Ryan paid just £26K for this son of Red Jazz (sire of Scat Daddy) and might well have a bargain. Won on debut C5 5F at Musselburgh at 20/1, then a solid third to Etefaaq in a C4 6F maiden at HQ before seventh in the G2 6F July Stakes back at Newmarket and the G2 7F Vintage Stakes at Goodwood. Caught my attention in the last run as he was bumped out of the stalls, shuffled back, travelled, quickened but when a place was beyond reach, eased. Listed 7F up north or perhaps a decent 7F nursery off OR94.

 

SHIP OF THE FEN          (Martyn Meade) Home bred son of Champs Elysees unsold at £14K as a yearling.

NEWS NEWMARKET GALLOPS David Milnes JUL 5 2017 “The Champs Elysees colt is named after Ely Cathedral, which is 12 miles from Newmarket and on a clear day can be seen from the Limekilns. The youngster showed enough in his work on the Al Bahathri to give Meade something to build on.”

19th July Yarmouth C4 7F Good. “Good size, keen and green, no cover. Asked two out, kept on for third.”

First two may be useful, The Last Emperor (Varian/Obaid £230K son of Azamour. Should get further) and Mr Ng’s £120K son of Ravens Pass, Radio Source, trained by Sir Michael Stoute.

 

STAGE MAGIC            (Charlie Appleby) Catching Pigeons 11th August “Stage Magic may not be a household name just yet but is another Champagne Stakes entrant who has been showing up well in his work. Trained by Charlie Appleby, who has one of the best two-year-old teams in Britain, he is a really imposing Dark Angel and has strengthened up well since his wide-margin Newbury maiden success.”

 

TANGLED                           (Richard Hannon) I was fortunate to spot the potential of Richard Hannon’s 2yo Tangled prior to his run in the Nursery. Looks like he is heading to the big sales race at York’s Ebor meeting. The Racing Post analysis were spot on, “Held up well in touch in midfield, effort to challenge over 1f out, ridden to lead 1f out, ran on strongly and drew clear inside final furlong, comfortably.” Handicapper was impressed and put him up eleven pounds from OR77 to OR88!

 

TOOMER                            (Richard Hannon) Newmarket July review “The one going into the notebook though is the Richard Hannon debutante for Chelsea Thoroughbreds, Toomer. Travelled fine, last 2F out but stayed on really well under hands and heels for eighth but only four lengths off the winner.”

 

THE PENTAGON         (Aidan O’Brien) Sixth on debut behind Verbal Dexterity, put that well behind him at The Curragh over 7F when breaking well from a wide draw, led after two furlongs and by 2F out had a decent field in all sorts of trouble as he powered clear by over eight lengths. Athletic, with a long, easy-going stride this son of Galileo has a big future.

Irishracing.com The Pentagon Rules The Roost In The Curragh Sat 15th Jul 2017, 15:39 The Pentagon put in a very taking performance when absolutely pulverising the opposition in the seven furlong juvenile maiden at the Curragh. Aidan O’Brien’s Galileo colt was having his second start after finishing sixth in a soft-ground maiden over course and distance last month. He was a revelation though, on this good to firm ground today. Aidan O’Brien sent him into the lead after a furlong and the pair were clear with a quarter of a mile to travel. The pursuers, led by 2/1 favourite Bond Street, were all off the bridle as The Pentagon moved further clear in the final furlong to win as he pleased by eight and a half lengths. From a top price of 14/1 in the morning, the winner was returned at 9/2. Medal of Honour (10/3) got up for second by a neck from Bond Street. “He did it nicely and he’s a nice colt. He travelled easy and went forward well when I asked him. We didn’t hack (along) and he picked up off it,” Aidan O’Brien said. “He made his own way home and did it the hard way. It was soft ground the first day he ran and he liked that better ground today. It is beautiful good to firm ground.”

Betfair gave The Pentagon a quote of 33/1 for the 2,000 Guineas and 25/1 for the Derby.

Thursday 27 July 2017 The Pentagon showcased his Classic credentials for next season by winning the JRA Tyros Stakes at Leopardstown. Aidan O’Brien’s colt was already ante-post favourite with some firms for the Epsom Derby before he was sent on his way the 4-11 favourite for this Group Three over seven furlongs. The Pentagon did not disappoint as he followed up an eight-and-a-half-length Curragh maiden success with a solid victory under Ryan Moore. The Galileo colt needed plenty of encouragement on the dash to the line, and fleetingly looked in a spot of bother, but he really knuckled down inside the final furlong to convincingly take top honours. Theobald finished second, a length and three-quarters adrift of the winner. The Pentagon is now available at around 8-1 about winning the Derby next summer.

O’Brien said: “Ryan felt that he was very raw, and it was only when he went past the line that he really got to straighten himself up. He said he went past the line and he took off. He’s a very good mover and wouldn’t mind fast ground. He could go for the Futurity (Curragh, August 20).”

 

THE RIGHT CHOICE     (#FantasticMrFahey) Fahey had The Right Choice in the C2 6F nursery and how the hell did Patrick Mathers get him into third beaten less than a length. The horse was slow from the stalls, squeezed at the start, slow to gather pace, pushed for about every yard, ran on then looked to hang left when brought to challenge! Off OR68 a shoo-in for a 0-70 C3/4 nursery. Headgear may be necessary!

 

TIGRE DE TERRE         (Richard Hannon) In Division II of the 7F 2yo race Richard Hannon introduced a smart type in Tigre du Terre who won comfortably. Speaking at the Qatar Goodwood Festival launch he said “I know he was quite a big price, but I can promise you that we already knew he was quite decent. It was a funny day as we were struggling to get a jockey and we called up Martin Harley, who is a good lad, but he doesn’t usually ride for us and I think people might have thought we didn’t fancy him because of that, but I wasn’t surprised, although there’s no doubt that most of our two-year-olds have really come on for their first starts this season and I wasn’t expecting him to win like that. He’s come out of that well and we’re looking at the Vintage which we won for the same owners (Middleham Park Racing) with Toormore in 2013. It’s going to be much tougher but I think he’s all right – he might just be a Guineas horse next year, but there’s a way to go yet.” However Tim Palin representing his owners Middleham Park Racing had said post-race “He’s a Group horse, it’s just a case of which number Group! We’ll think about either the Washington Singer at Newbury (Listed) or the Group 3 Acomb Stakes at York as targets for him.”

August 08 2017, 10:56 sportinglife.com Impressive first-time-out winner Tigre Du Terre, who is also trained by Hannon, could bid to bounce back from his defeat in a Listed contest at Ascot in the Tattersalls Acomb Stakes at York later this month. Palin said: “We think an awful lot of him and the Hannon yard are convinced he is a Group horse. I think it was a case of going back to the well too soon with him and they have still got every faith in him. I think that first race took more out of him than we thought. We could not believe he got beat at Ascot and Ryan Moore was almost apologetic and said to put a line through it. The Acomb is a possibility, although we could stretch him out to a mile for the Prix des Chenes at Chantilly, where he’d get his French premiums if he won and it’s over the same course and distance as the Lagardere.”

 

VERANDAH                      (John Gosden) Gosden was two from thirty five with his 2yo’s going into this race. This Cheveley Park homebred daughter of Medician and a full-sister to one of his chief money-spinners in Dimension, showed an impressive turn of foot, second last to first from the cut away, to comfortably win this 7F C4 fillies maiden on the AW at Kempton. She’s a good size and should have no trouble stepping up in trip. I’m putting the second and third, Fille de Reve and West Palm Beach, on the list as well, mainly as all three fillies were debutantes and see how the form works out.

 

WEST PALM BEACH    (John Gosden) Gosden was two from thirty five with his 2yo’s going into this race. The only horse behind Verandah two out and followed her stablemate through in this 7F C4 fillies maiden on the AW at Kempton without threatening. £260K daughter of Scat Daddy owned by Michael Tabor, maiden win should be a formality.

 

ZAAKI                                  (Mohamed Moubarak) The other eye catcher for me was the fifth Zaaki, the only maiden in the field as he was second to the G2 July stakes sixth Enjezaat on debut, who ran on well and being out of a Sadlers Well mare should get further. Zaaki is trained by Mohamed Moubarak who has returned to Newmarket after twenty five years in the US but he has one hell of a CV.

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Review Qatar Goodwood Festival of Racing 2017

Posted Monday 7th August 6.15pm

“…. one of the most challenging race meetings, one which started in bright sunshine on Tuesday, but deteriorated into a mud bath with 50mm of rain on Wednesday, and ground that was soft or near soft for the rest of the week.” The words of an under fire Clerk of the Course.

The first race of the meeting, a 10F handicap set the tone with the order of the first two reversed in the Stewards room. Goodwood is such a difficult place to punt at. Tuesdays form may well hold up but I’m really wary of the following four days after all that rain and then a fresh strip of ground five metres from the far rail available from Thursday onwards.

What I don’t understand concerning the rain is the CoC didn’t seem to expect that much! Tuesday he said 6-10mm and we should get a couple of races run before it starts. Well it started at 10am and they got five times more than expected!

I will come back to Thursday’s fresh strip of ground more than once as it would seem the Weighing Room had decided it was the ONLY place to race, although some trainers were still choosing high in the draw for the Stewards Cup. Baffling. Mind you was the Stands side definitely slower? We won’t ever know as no horse raced there from Thursday onwards, whereas on Wednesday in the monsoon every horse raced Stands Side! Let’s get more positive!

Stars in my eyes

The two 2yo colts Expert Eye and Barraquerro, who met on debut at Newbury finishing first and third, winning the 7F Vintage and the 6F Richmond respectively. Expert Eye’s trainer Sir Michael Stoute very much gives me the impression that the horse is very much a “now 2yo” whereas Brian Meehan sees Barraquerro as a longer term project, even beyond the 2000 Guineas.

Stoute ‘s reputation is more based around his slow burning middle distance horses, often home bred, and that pipeline was highlighted by an excellent win from the 4yo, Poets Word, and likewise the 3yo Crystal Ocean who is clearly progressive. His victory was in the Group 3 Glorious Stakes which in the past has been won by Stoute horses en route to Group 1. Indeed I would expect both winners to have a go at the top level within the next twelve months.

Winter is a splendid 3yo filly seeing the extra two furlongs out well but this was a soft Group 1.

Battaash is beginning to look the real deal as a sprinter. 5F GF at Sandown to 5F Soft at Goodwood, that is some range. Exciting times ahead for Charlie Hill’s 3yo son of Dark Angel.

Whoops!

If they ran the Goodwood Cup and the Sussex Stakes on decent Good ground or better tomorrow I would still expect Big Orange and Ribchester to win. In the stayers event the Orange dwarved Stradivarius but he could be a useful addition to the division with his next target being the St.Leger and supposedly next season will be a Cup horse.

As for Ribchester, a peculiar effort. Firstly Toscanini looks a total waste of time as a pacemaker. Secondly Ribchester did too much too early, lugged out, then ran on!? The 10F Irish Champions Stakes is being mooted as a possible target. One supposes they are working backwards from the 9F Dubai Turf next March!

sportinglife.com “Richard Fahey is not ruling out a crack at Sunday’s Group 1 Prix Jacques le Marois with stable star Ribchester, who despite suffering a shock defeat in treacherous conditions in Wednesday’s Sussex Stakes at Goodwood. “He’s bouncing and has come out of the race well,” said Fahey on Sunday. “I haven’t drawn a line through France yet and I’ll see how he is this week. I’ll make a decision before Thursday.”

Horrible Handicaps

The BetFred Mile was won by Ryan Moore on Master the World for David Elsworth. I say ‘won’ I mean ‘given to’. Going into this race the 6yo was three from thirty eight, often caught in traffic as he made his run. Not here. From the two furlong pole he had a clear run down the inside no less, on that strip of fresh ground. Can’t believe Martin Dwyer hadn’t got leader and Royal Hunt Cup winner, Feng Zhui, glued to the far rail. More on this race in the Looking Forward section.

The 6F Stewards Cup was won by the one horse put down as likely to lead in Saturday mornings Racing Post excellent pace map, Lancelot du Lac. So was this a three furlong dash to THAT five yard strip? After two furlongs those drawn 20+ were six lengths wrong, ignore their form. More on this race in the Looking Forward section.

Did that really just happen?

Breton Rock won the 7F Lennox round the outside coming from last a furlong out, finishing two to everything else’s one. Billesdon Brook did something similar in the nursery but involved some weaving amongst horses as well. My good thing Rebel Streak beaten a short head by a 100/1 shot!

 

Looking Forward

UAE PRINCE- Watch replay! Winner without a penalty! Came to win race before the dodgems in front.
SHANGHAI GLORY- Run well to get fifth considering he was almost over the rail two out as they all came across.

EDDYSTONE ROCK- Denied a clear run in the Wolferton, denied a clear run here, not a lot of room in last fifty yards when sixth in John Smiths. Get Fox off, put a proper jockey on, off OR99 and a decent C2 10F could be his!

SOUL SILVER – Barged as she came to make her challenge. Kept on hands and heels. C2 8F fillies handicap. No higher.

SAINTED – Never got the run when she wanted to. 7F Soft Listed tops.

GM HOPKINS-Slow from stalls AGAIN! Flat course, few bends, 8F. Still on my Cambridgeshire list.

SHYMKENT- 3yo never got a run. Hampered, ran on. OR90 12F O’Meara. May need to get his toe in. York Ebor Festival?

Tuesday August 1st Goodwood

Monday July 31st 6.30pm

Right let’s turn our attention to the South Downs and the Qatar Goodwood Racing Festival. On a sunny day it is indeed “Glorious” and from the stands to the north you can see the White Horse chalk carving at Westbury and to the south The Solent and the Isle of Wight but mind you I’ve been there on a wet Thursday and the word exposed leaps to mind! It’s a classy five days of racing.

The course is unique with its ups and downs and twists and turns and the chaos on the far rail. Indeed in the BetFred Mile 35% of horses meet trouble in running. That’s about ten every time it’s run! Never my favourite course to have a major punt with luck playing too big a part. Surely a false rail turning for home would make the racing so much fairer?

With tight bends a low draw in races from 7-10F is just about essential. Mind you I see on the BHA site that on the Tuesday on the straight-ish 5/6Fcourse the stalls are stands side which should favour high numbers.

GOING/TRACK Good to Soft. Good in places on the round course (GoingStick: 6.5 on Monday at 07:00)

Rails: Lower bend dolled out 5 yards at the 6 furlong marker to the winning post. Top bend dolled out 3 yards. 2m and 1m 2f race distances increased 10 yards. 7f and 1m races increased by 15 yards

Stalls: Straight course Stand side Round course Inside

WEATHER 12 mm of rain Saturday.Dry for the last 36 hours

Going/Weather/Other last updated @Mon 31 Jul 7:58am

 

It’s hard to see past Big Orange in the Goodwood Cup although Desert Skyline could outrun his odds of 33/1! The 7F Lennox looks a real poser but I’ll put Acclaim and Home of the Brave in the Placepot and maybe play the former each way. I’m put off Spirit of Valour and Librisa Breeze by a worrying stat, “The last 8 winners came from stalls 7 or lower”. The 5F handicap is a minefield but course specialist has bottom weight, a high draw and his last eight runs at Goodwood returned form figures of 11213232. 14/1 1234 1/5 each way could be the way to go? I like Tribute Act in the last the fillies handicap but 5/2 is too short!

 

Tuesdays Lucky 15

Goodwood 1.50                     GARCIA                                   5/1 general

Goodwood 2.25                     MILDENBERGER                     11/2 PP + WH 5/1 general

Goodwood 4.10                     REBEL STREAK                                    4/1 general

Galway 7.40                            GOLD SPINNER                       9/1 general    

and heres why

Goodwood 1.50 No surprises in the first as I make it between three towards the top of the market.

Hugo Palmer saddles Murad Khan and much as the yard is having winners I’m sure Hugo would like a bit more terrestrial TV time. This 4yo could still be improving despite his mark now up to OR103 for this race. Backward as a 2yo with just the one placed effort on the AW at Kempton he won his first three races as a 3yo including beating Nimr at Doncaster and Ballet Concerto at Thirsk in mile handicaps but then disappointed when tried in Listed company. Well fancied for the Hambleton handicap on his first run this season he boiled over in the preliminaries and ran no race. They gelded him and eight days ago he behaved impeccably in a first time hood and won a C2 8F handicap at Windsor beating the likes of Chelsea Lad and Donncha. He races prominently and has a touch of class being a son of Ravens Pass out of a Sadler’s Wells and his half-brother Ascription improved for being gelded.

Another who may have scope within his handicap mark of OR97 is Roger Varians Uae Prince (owner could perhaps be a little more imaginative when naming horses!). He’ another in the yellow with the black spots who started life with Luca Cumani but has only raced for Varian. Unraced as a 2yo on debut he was third over 10F maiden behind Imperial Aviator and Ulysses with Autocratic fourth and Uae prince was sent off 4/5 favourite! Ridiculous. Won his maiden over 12F then went handicapping off OR and was sent off Evens favourite in a C3 12F contest at Doncaster but disappointed in sixth when “struck over head by rival riders’ whip over 1f out”. He opened his 4yo campaign with a C3 10F success on Good to Firm at Ripon, didn’t seem to stay the 12F of the listed Buckhound Stakes at HQ so they gelded this £650K purchase! Amazing. Last time out he was an excellent fourth in the John Smiths at York. He led running to the furlong pole and was only beaten a length. He obviously hasn’t been easy to train and for all his talent I’m not sure he’s mentally mature enough but his prominent racing style should be an advantage here.

Just a neck behind him on the Knavesmire in fifth was Garcia. That was his first run of the season, “He just had a little, niggly problem and we gave him plenty of time to get over it,” and I think he’ll come on a bundle. #FantasticMrFahey has secured the services of Ryan Moore and the 4yo is currently a top priced 9/2 market leader although it being the opening contest we may get longer in the morning, remember to check out the offers with your friendly bookie especially if you are on line with SkyBet!

Impressive winner of the 8F 3yo Silver Bowl at Haydock last season this 10F is his trip, a bit of give in the ground is ideal and the draw in 12 of 18 looks troublesome but 9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 9 or higher and 8 of the last 11 winners came from a double-figure stall Good news Murad Khan is in 11 with Uae Prince in 15!Wouldn’t dare tell young Ryan what to do but wide, late and handsome please. Two star** win @ 5/1 general

Goodwood 2.25 Nothing would surprise me here as this looks like twelve colts who may or may not take the next step forward in G2 over 7F. May I suggest that Frankie Dettori will be trying harder than most on Sallab for Richard Hannon, who used to be a by word for these five days, and owners Al Shaqab the Qatari’s who sponsor the whole shindig! However Shallab is stepping up from winning in C5 and that’s one of the biggest steps!

I make it between two, Expert Eye and Mildenberger.

Expert Eye was a Stoute winner on debut which is always noteworthy and when put up by Keiron Fallon in the RP Monday Jury as “one to follow” it has to be in the Notebook. Add to that “Newmarket correspondent David Milnes with the two-year-olds to watch 6:00PM, JUL 20 2017 Expert Eye  (c. Acclamation – Exemplify) Sir Michael Stoute He got the Freemason Lodge juveniles on the board when scoring over six and a half furlongs at Newbury in June, a race that is already working out. He has since excelled in his homework and is bred to be speedy, as his dam is a half-sister to 1,000 Guineas winner Special Duty. This colt can be expected to be given entries in all the top autumn juvenile races.”

Mildenberger is a Godolphin home bred son of Teofilio out of a Dubawi mare who will surely stay further. On debut over 7F took trail, green, asked 2F out, got to the front ½F out and pulled clear. Impressive under a penalty at Newbury, C4 7F. Kept it simple, out well, made all, stretched clear from the furlong pole. I think Goodwood will suit his running style and if James Doyle can get his fractions right and an untroubled lead I think Mildenberger will be a tough nut to crack. One star* win @ 11/2 PP + WH

Goodwood 4.10 Not my normal sort of race to play in but Rebel Streak went into my notebook after his last run, “Travelled kindly, progress two out, looking for racing room, turned sideways in run to the furlong pole, straightened out and kept on strongly to the line beaten less than two lengths by Lethal Lunch. This was a promising first run on Turf for this Dark Angel colt. Should get 7F.” This looks an ideal next step with no issues over trip, grade or ground and the Baldings know a thing or two about training winners at Goodwood. One star* win @ 4/1 general

Algam runs for the sponsors and Ryan Moore has “chosen” the unraced Princely of the Hannon pair. Godolphin’s Tribal Quest heads the market.

Galway 7.40 This is more my cup of tea, a mad field of eighteen over 8 ½ F at Ballybrit! Gold Spinner is a lightly raced son of Pivotal, indeed he didn’t see the course until he was a 3yo. Behind Orderofthegarter on debut he won his next two over 8F but didn’t seem to stay the extra quarter of a mile last time. Ground and trip are fine and I like the fact that this prominent racer is drawn 2 and I expect to see Colin Keane make full use of that draw, grab the rail and save enough to see him home on that stiff climb to the line! One star* each way @ 9/1 general ¼ 1234

Riven Light, a winning two mile hurdler for Willie Mullins and Galway stalwart Baraweez sent over by Brian Ellison make fascinating rivals.