Saturday August 26th Day 4 York Ebor Festival

Posted Friday 6.00pm

Had to send this out as an email at 5pm Friday! “I loathe the phrase but BOOOOM, back in the game!!!

As I was staring at the K in conkers no better time for ones four star nap of the meeting to do the business and get the third as well put up e/w at 25/1!!! Once my heart rate returns to a bearable level I’ll get back to tomorrows blog(s).”

Horse racing all over the country on Saturday with obviously York centre stage but good back up from Goodwood and Newmarket, Windsor’s big evening card with a Listed and a G3 race, as well as decent betting opportunities at redcar and especially Chester. Thank heavens for Trackers!

So the Lucky 15 will be at York and if I have time I will try to put up a second Lucky 15 away from York as well as a host of Notebook and radar horses you may want to keep an eye on with the future in mind.

 

So on to the Knavesmire once more! What is the going?

York Races Clerks‏ @YorkClerk  Friday 5.40pm Going Good ahead of @Betfred #ClassicEbor @yorkracecourse. Rail all in innermost position, no alteration to race distances.

 

Saturday Lucky 15 (probably e/w)

York 2.25        THE GRAND VIZR                   @ 12/1 Coral 11/1 general 10/1 BF but 5 places

York 3.00        NEBO                                      @ 5/1 general           

York 3.35        DUBKA                                                            @ 12/1 Coral & Lads 11/1 general

York 4.50        EDDYSTONE ROCK                 @ 18/1 Coral 16/1 general

 

Saturday Star* Selections (11 Stars)

York 1.55        FOREST RANGER        One Star* win @ 12/1 Coral 10/1 general

Been keeping some haughty company and running well. Can see this G3 9F on drying ground being right up his street. Be assured #FantasticMrFahey will have him trained to the minute!

York 2.25        THE GRAND VIZR       One Star* each way @ 12/1 Coral 11/1 general 10/1 BF but 5 places

York 3.00        NEBO                          Two Star** win @ 5/1 general        

York 3.35        DUBKA                                            Two Stars** each way @ 12/1 Coral & Lads 11/1 general BF 11/1 5 places

York 4.50        EDDYSTONE ROCK     One Star* each way win @ 18/1 Coral 16/1 general

 

and here’s why

 

York 2.25                    THE GRAND VIZR       Long striding son of Frankel who I thought we would see on this day, whether in the St. Leger or this the Melrose Handicap, ever since he won on debut at Yarmouth staying on strongly over 11½F. Unraced as a 2yo, won at Yarmouth then found the Listed Cocked Hat too much, fourth in a solid Newbury C2 handicap and last time out beat Petitioner over 12F at Newmarket. I think he will love the extra two furlongs, the galloping track and I can’t see Good ground being an issue. Plenty of pace in the race with the likes of Sofia’s Choice and The Grand Vizr has loads in his favour. Dangers abound with a keen eye on Master Singer, Dark Pearl and Northwest Frontier.

York 3.00                    NEBO              Has the best form in the book with seconds to Gustav Klimt in the G2 Superlative and Barraquero in the G2 Richmond. Ground is fine, I think 6F is his best trip although gets 7F, Cardsharp has to give him three pounds and to me Nebo is overpriced. Messrs Fahey and Ryan have two potential Yorkshire improvers in Sands of Mali and Stormbringer but it is only potential.

York 3.35                    DUBKA            The fact that Sir Michael Stoute was running a filly in as rugged a race as the Ebor handicap caught my eye. On deeper research I find her dam, Rosika, was second in this race for the same connections. That was the icing on the cake as Dubka has some serious form. Second in the G3 Pinnacle, second in the G3 Lily Langtry over this trip, a typical Stoute improving 4yo filly. She won’t mind a bit of juice in the ground and her trainer says “She’s tough, stays well. I would think that run at Goodwood was the best that she has produced so far. The dam nearly won the Ebor so let’s hope she can win it.” Drawn 18, but 5F before a bend and plenty of time for Josephine Gordon to tuck her in.

I make Battersea the solid danger but I’ve missed the price. Wild Hacked for Botti and Hanagan catch the eye.

York 4.40                    EDDYSTONE ROCK Right one more chance for this chap! Would have gone close time but was broadsided a furlong out at Newmarket and the Notebook said before that race “Denied a clear run in the Wolferton, denied a clear run here, not a lot of room in last fifty yards when sixth in John Smiths. Get Fox off, put a proper jockey on, off OR99 and a decent C2 10F could be his!” Pat dobbs rides here, the draw in stall 6 is excellent and here’s hoping he isn’t a serial “unlucky” horse. Plenty I fear especially the top weight Khairaat and Weekend Offender who I think is a Cambridgeshire player if he gets in!

Friday Lucky 15 (probably e/w)

Should have been two winners but £10 back for our £15 on the win bet. Hope you piled into the nap!

York 1.55                    LANDSMAN                10th 14/1                     (10/1 WH 8/1 general)

When you back a tony Martin horse and it drifts from 10’s to 14’s with not a bean for it you sort of know your fate. Travelling well three out, found nothing, never dangerous.     

York 2.25                    DARTMOUTH              2nd 11/4 F                    (9/2 WH 4/1 PP)

I don’t bloody believe it!! Watching live convinced I had backed a winner. ITV Racing‏ @itvracing   “A desperately unlucky Dartmouth and Ryan Moore led before the line and (as you can see here) after the line but not ON the line!!”

York 3.00                    MUBTASIM                      11th 12/1                            (14/1 WH + PP Both also 4 places!)         

God knows what David Allens instructions were but sure as hell not “ Blast away for 5F, fall in a hole!”

York 4.50                    MOJITO                       1st  3/1F                       (3/1 general)

Ran exactly as I wanted. Prominent led going to the furlong pole and put it to bed. Considering he took time to settle he was eventually last off the bridle and found a decent turn of foot. Make a note of this race as plenty in behind will be ultra competitive in a lot of big handicaps next season.

 

Friday Star* Selections (14 Stars out 22 Stars In)

York 1.55                    LANDSMAN                10th 14/1         One Star* each way @10/1 WH 8/1 general

York 2.25                    DARTMOUTH              2nd 11/4 F        Two Star** win @9/2 WH 4/1 PP

York 3.00                    MUBTASIM                      11th 12/1            Two Stars** each way @ 14/1 WH + PP Both 4 places

York 4.50                    MOJITO                       1st  3/1F           Four stars**** win @3/1 general

York 4.50                    KINGS GIFT                 3rd 12/1           One star* each way @ 25/1 Betfred + 4 places!

Halved in price! Made most and only two got past and thankfully one of them was Mojito!

           

Brief Friday review

York Races Clerks‏ @YorkClerk   “Delighted to hear from the vet team @yorkracecourse that Daban who pulled up in the City of York Stakes is comfortable in racecourse stables”

 

York 3.35 Nunthorpe Stakes G1 5F 3yo+

Great race. ITV sets it up as a duel and the party is gate-crashed. Thank God they have the level headed Jason Weaver.

York 4.15 C2 7F Convivial Maiden Stakes 2yo.

Not seen it live yet but what I heard on Timeform Radio there were all sorts of shenanigans loading these inexperienced 2yo’s. I’ll cover the race in more depth in next weeks review.

 

Northern Angle: Ebor Festival Tuesday 22 August 2017

Group 1 globetrotter MONDIALISTE gave a strong hint that he is about to capture his best form when narrowly beaten in the Group 2 York Stakes last time and returns to the Knavesmire cherry ripe for the Group 3 Betfred Mobile Strensall Stakes (1.55). He struck top form this time last year when enjoying his finest moment in the Arlington Million and has pleased his trainer David O’Meara in his homework leading up to the nine-furlong Strensall Stakes which he won in 2015.

“He has done his final piece of work and I couldn’t be happier with him. He seems to come to himself at this time of the year, as he proved in America last year, and goes to York as one of my main hopes.”

Kevin Ryan boasts an excellent record in the Group 2 Al Basti Equiworld Gimcrack Stakes (3.00), having won it with Amadeus Wolf, Blaine and Astaire, and believes he has another strong contender in the lightly-raced STORMBRINGER.

Owned by Charles Wentworth, who was also successful in the Group 2 with Casper Netscher, Stormbringer gained valuable experience in a modest 6f event at Redcar after making a pleasing debut in an Ayr race that worked out favourably. A May foal who cost 190,000gns as a two-year-old, the son of Dutch Art unquestionably needs to find considerable improvement to win but is the first choice representative from a stable with enviable strength in depth in the juvenile division. “I’ve had a lot of luck in this race over the years and am convinced this fellow fits the bill,” says Ryan. “His win last time out was nothing more than a piece of work. He’s a very nice colt with a lot of quality and although he’s got some work to do with some of the more proven runners, he could just be improving at the right time.”

 

Jedd O’Keeffe has every right to expect a bold show from the improving four-year-old LORD YEATS, who looks ready to step up in distance after winning a valuable York handicap and a Listed race at Newmarket over 1m4f. Lord Yeats prefers some ease in the ground so any rain across the Knavesmire this week will be welcome in his bid for the Betfred Ebor Handicap (3.55). O’Keeffe will also be hoping for a low draw for a gelding who likes to be at the sharp end.

“He’ll be very much at home at York and we’ve been looking forward to stepping him up in trip as he’s bred to stay further. I’ll be praying for rain and hope he will do himself justice. He’s improved 20lb already this season but I believe he is a genuine Group horse in the making, so the dream’s definitely alive.”

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