Posted: Friday August 4rd 6.30pm
Houston we have a problem! After the deluge on Wednesday at Goodwood and the fresh strip of ground on the far rail on the Thursday everyone wants to race on the far side. Two of Saturday’s big betting races will be the 6F cavalry charge that is the Stewards Cup and its little brother, the Consolation. Can you back a horse with a double figure draw in either? The going stick says the far rail is quicker than the centre and both are quicker than the stands side but are the centre and stands rail less poached? More to the point what do the jockeys think? Ryan Moore is in 24, Jim Crowley is in 26, where are they going to go?
The ground is drying out but is it still a case of grinding it out not quickening away? Luckily we’ve seen Goodwood all week but heavens knows what the rest of the courses round the country will be like.
So small stakes and if you have a fancy with form on Good to Soft or worse, stick with it.
I will update the goings as soon as I can on Saturday morning plus some price updates and perhaps why Jamie Spencer is at Newmarket, Mulrennan’s good thing for the day and basically anything I’ve missed.
Saturdays Lucky 15
Newmarket 2.05 ISABEL DE URBINA 9/2 WH+BetFred
Goodwood 2.25 GET BACK IN PARIS 9/1 Coral+Ladbrokes
Goodwood 3.35 AL QAHWA 18/1 WH+Coral
Thirsk 4.00 CARNAGEO 9/1 Ladbrokes
and here is why
Newmarket 2.05 ISABEL DE URBINA A talented 3yo filly with whom Ralph Beckett has been very patient. Bumped into one, God Given, in a similar race at HQ, listed 12F 3yo+, and the ground should be less soft this time and she can get back to winning ways with John Egan riding again and he will know the filly a lot more this time.
One star* win @ 9/2 WH+BetFred.
Goodwood 2.25 GET BACK IN PARIS If there is one man who knew how to win at Goodwood it was Richard Hughes. Now a trainer his charge has won over C&D, has form on Soft ground and has bottom weight here. Has to be competitive. One star* win @ 9/1 Coral+Ladbrokes .
Goodwood 3.35 AL QAHWA Having mulled it over I believe the winner of the Stewards Cup will come from a single draw, have solid recent form, proven on going with Soft in it and possibly a bit in hand. The one that fits the bill for me is AL Qehwa trained by David O/Meara and ridden by stable jockey Daniel Tudhope, the combination that won the similar Wokingham Handicap at Royal Ascot with Out Do. Drawn in stall 9 and only three pounds higher than when winning a C2 York sprint on GS earlier this season. Races prominently and should be able to hold his pitch in the dash for that far rail! One star* each way 18/1 WH+Coral .
Thirsk 4.00 CARNAGEO Always threatened to be a decent horse and perhaps 8F, Good to Soft ground and those blinkers will see him realise his full potential. Drawn 6 and Hanagan on board both plusses. Good winner of the Carlisle Bell last time out under similar circumstances when Hanagan bought him round the whole field and finished well and up just four pounds here. #FantasticMrFahey put in sportinglife.com blog “Blinkers have brought about a big improvement in Carnageo and I’m delighted he’s got a good draw in the totepool Thirsk Summer Cup Handicap. It’s a £30,000 race and he must have a chance.” One star* win 9/1 Ladbrokes.
Last Saturday #FantasticMrFahey sent out Stamp Hill to win at 50/1 in FIRST TIME blinkers and The Feathered Nest in FIRST TIME cheek-pieces at 16/1 so how about a cheeky little Lucky 15 on:-
Thirsk 2.15 Lady Grand (First time Hood) 25/1!
Newmarket 2.40 Paramount Love (First time Cheek-Pieces) 6/1
Goodwood 3.35 Brian the Snail (First time Blinkers) 22/1 Coral
Hamilton 9.00 Heatongrad (Fahey says “ground and trip are ideal”) 8/1