Lucky 15 Thursday June 29th

 

Thursday 1.15pm With Royal Ascot done and dusted it is back to my Flat racing bedrock, the #FantasticMrFahey, and the form that surrounds his runners. Trying desperately to get my note books up to date and a few Musley Bank runners today caught my eye.

I like Miss Van Gogh and Jack Garritty at Hamilton and in weaker races Right Touch and Lady in Question are back-able prices though neither screams sure fire winner! The 2yo Quayside has conditions to suit. The main attraction however is I think all four should be shorter in the market. Don’t go overboard but let’s see if #FantasticMrFahey can come up trumps?

Thursdays Lucky 15

Newcastle 5.20           RIGHT TOUCH                                 5/1 PP + BetFred 9/2 general

Newmarket 3.15        LADY IN QUESTION                11/2 general

Hamilton 6.30            QUAYSIDE                               9/4 general

Hamilton 8.10            MISS VAN GOGH                   9/2 general

and here’s why

Thursdays Lucky 15

Newcastle 5.20           RIGHT TOUCH Decent C2 handicapper who just seems to be missing his finishing kick but the handicapper has relented a little and this is the easiest race he has contested for a while. Notebook says:-

Right Touch           7yo gelding            (Nicholas Wrigley/Kevin Hart)            7041206703-55   (95)         OR97 95 99 102 100 99 98 Solid C2 performer, 6/7F on Good ground or softer, although the handicapper probably has him currently (102). Two runs on the AW including a strong third over 7F at Newcastle. Handicapper relents a few pounds, Solid run on seasonal debut at Ripon in a far side group of just three and not far behind, just looks one paced.

Newmarket 3.15        LADY IN QUESTION Not sure I’m totally convinced by the ground or the trip but she’s well handicapped on her 2yo form, handles the course   and with Connor Murtagh taking seven pounds off she carries no weight. The price makes her backable. Notebook says:-

Lady In Question  3yo filly                  (Ms Amie Canham)                               1044775-54          (?)                           OR78 77 76 73

Stayed on well on debut to win a C5 6F maiden at Thirsk. Since then she has taken in four C2 nurseries the Super Sprint at Newbury, the big Sales race at the Curragh and most recently the Redcar Totepool 2yo trophy! That is a tough schedule! In two of the 7F nurseries she “kept on” without being competitive finishing fourth and she was bashed about at Redcar before flying home for fifth. Good ground, 8F and I’m convinced as a 3yo she’s better than OR76. This season she keeps getting Soft ground and now drops to 6F.

Hamilton 6.30            QUAYSIDE Conditions look right to open his account here. Hopefully have enough pace early on to make use of his stand rail draw. Not a disaster if he can’t with only five runners. Notebook says:-

Quayside               2yo colt                  (Bearstone Stud)                                                  53           ()                             OR??

Homebred son of Harbour Watch out of a Pivotal mare has shown enough in his opening two starts that he is capable of winning. Give in the ground and a stiff 6F for now, maybe further later on.

Hamilton 8.10            MISS VAN GOGH Plenty in her favour here, soft ground, stiff mile, drop in grade, Jack Garritty and she would be a three star*** nap as a single win. Notebook says:-             

Miss Van Gogh      5yo filly  (Dyson Racing & D Powell)                  6143999480-566 (82)                         OR82 89 88 85 84 82 80

Just about down to a winning mark, OR85. Stiff mile with some ease in the ground and preferably Hanagan on board.

 

Australian article outlining Ascot runners wanted for Australian campaigns with suggested future targets.

Jordon’s Royal Ascot hit-list James Tzaferis James Tzaferis@Jtzaf     26 June, 2017

After a busy week of feature racing at Royal Ascot, Racing Victoria’s International Recruitment Officer Leigh Jordon has reviewed his list of targets for the Spring Racing Carnival. Among others, he has identified five horses that strengthened their chances of an Australian campaign with strong performances across the five days of the Carnival.

Idaho – Winner of the G2 Hardwicke Stakes (2400m) The Aidan O’Brien-trained stayer erased the horror of last-year’s St Leger – he started 4-6 favourite before unseating jockey Seamie Heffernan at the 600m – with a tough performance in Royal Ascot’s mile-and-a-half contest. The race carried Caulfield Cup ballot exemption for the winner and it shapes as a logical target for the son of Galileo, given his best performances have come over 2400m on firm ground. Jordon’s Comment: “It was a great win and it looks like he’ll go onto the King George and probably clash with his full-brother in Highland Reel. We could be a good chance to see him down here in the spring for a race like the Caulfield Cup. I think he’s an ideal horse and Aidan has always said that he likes fast ground and they’ll probably look to travel him later in the year.”

Barsanti – Runner-up G2 Hardwicke Stakes (2400m) The Roger Varian-trained gelding settled at the rear of the field before letting down with a dazzling turn of foot to reel in all but the winner. The career-best performance appears to have convinced connections to look towards Melbourne and a possible start in the Caulfield Cup later this year. Varian is no stranger to Melbourne, having campaigned Farraaj and My Ambivalent during the 2015 Spring Racing Carnival. Jordon’s Comment: “I think the run of the race was the second horse Barsanti for trainer Roger Varian. It was a fantastic run because he had a wide barrier and was out the back but he was storming down the outside. Roger nearly brought this horse out to Melbourne last year for the Caulfield Cup but he was a little bit low in the weights so he may have made the right decision keeping him in England for another year. I’m fairly confident he’ll come down this year, I’ve been in contact with Roger and he’s going to see how he pulls up before deciding on the rest of his campaign.”

Thomas Hobson – Winner Ascot Stakes (4000m), runner-up Queen Alexandra Stakes (4300m) Willie Mullins’ lightly-raced stayer came close to pulling off the coveted Ascot Stakes-Queen Alexandra Stakes double at Royal Ascot but his win on the opening day appears have been enough to convince connections to plot a path to Flemington for the Melbourne Cup. Mullins and owner Rich Ritchie produced Max Dynamite to finish second to Prince Of Penzance in the 2015 Cup and, like his stablemate, Thomas Hobson mixes his races over jumps and on the flat. Jordon’s Comment: “Trainer Willie Mullins and owner Rich Richie had Max Dynamite come out and run second in the Melbourne Cup and this year they could have Thomas Hobson, who was super impressive in the Ascot Stakes. He let down beautifully and they are talking about coming out. That race wasn’t a Listed race so he still has to quality for the Cups and he probably needs to get his rating up but Willie definitely knows how to do that and he could come through a race like the Group 2 Lonsdale Cup in August.”

Caravaggio – Winner of the G1 Commonwealth Cup (1200m) The emerging sprinter maintained his perfect record with victory in the Group 1 Commonwealth Cup and owners Coolmore immediately hinted that the son of Scat Daddy could be the horse to carry their hopes in The Everest at Randwick in October. While the $10 million feature appears the main lure of an Australian campaign, Jordon is confident O’Brien could also consider a start in the Group 1 Darley Classic (1200m) at Flemington for the colt, whose stud value would skyrocket with a black-type win in the southern hemisphere. Jordon’s Comment: “Obviously we’ll be talking to Aidan if he does come to run in The Everest for him to come down to Melbourne and take in the Darley Classic. We know The Everest isn’t a black-type race and I’m sure connections would be looking for a Group 1 win in Australia so he may be some sort of chance.”

Kaspersky – Fifth in the G1 Queen Anne Stakes (1600m) While Jordon will be engaging in discussions with connections of winner Ribchester regarding their Cox Plate invitation, he was impressed with the finish of Michelle Payne’s mount Kaspersky, who appears all but certain to travel to Melbourne later in the year. The Group 1 Cantala Stakes (1600m) at Flemington looms as the primary aim but Jordon believes the six-year-old could also measure up in a race like the Group 1 Toorak Handicap (1600m) at Caulfield. Jordon’s Comment: “He was a great run coming off the inside rail to finish nicely into fifth. Jane (Chapple-Hyam) is talking about the Cantala Stakes for him during the spring and he could possibly take in a race like the Toorak Handicap but we’ll wait and see there.”

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