Lucky 15 Friday June 16th

Thursday 5.45pm Just caught some live action in the shop and well!! George Bowen drops grade and hacks up by 4 ½ lengths but he’s just not the horse you can back at 2/1! Gosden 3yo fillies are rock solid. At Newbury his debutante, Standing Rock wins 3yo maiden, then he has first and third in the Listed race. Shutter Speed on Sunday and the rest of the A team are at Ascot. Shop punters told me to look at the 2yo’s earlier so I have done and Stoute’s Expert Eye has a big future and Fahey has an above average colt in Great Prospector!

Now after serious counselling and a week on emergency rations it is time once again to delve into the murky waters of the Lucky 15. Last Saturday my biggest investment was the 5/4 about #FantasticMrFahey getting four winners from his thirty two runners. Three up with sixteen to run, happy days. Then two fourths, a third and five seconds!! The final runner was beaten a short, short head. All my selections ran OK for ninety five per cent of their race but just couldn’t get over the line and just to rub salt in a gaping wound I couldn’t see Scotland scoring a goal against England. Not a sniff for eighty seven minutes then twice in three minutes! I need to lie down again.

Fridays Lucky 15

Fingers crossed!

York 2.20                    BURGUILLOS                                                    11/2 PP 9/2 general

York 3.30                    GOD WILLING                                     20/1 general

York 4.40                    MONJENI                                            11/2 general

Goodwood 7.40         WAR AT SEA                                      8/1 PP 7/1 general

and here’s why

York 2.20                    BURGUILLOS                    Just doesn’t know how to run a bad race. Will come from off the pace, trip looks ideal, ground should suit, draw is workable and there are questions to be answered for most of his rivals. Mythical Madness, Big Country, as good on grass as sand?  Innocent Touch, in handicappers grip? Stipulate, Just Hiss, Madroos, stay the trip? Euchen Glen could be the danger.

York 3.30                    GOD WILLING             Doesn’t look good on current form but in four runs this season only got his conditions once, 7F Good to Firm, and was a running on fifth having been held up on the rail. Already down below his last winning mark, September 2016, and in the following race was second to El Vip giving him six pounds! The yard is two from twelve in the last fortnight and hopefully stall 12 of 18 will be OK for him. Might get a price here?

As for the rest; Firmdecisions and War department look AW horses to me, Penwortham needs Chester, Bertiewhittle is pensionable, the handicapper has Classic Seniority, Moonlightnavigator needs some rain. Sun Lover on seasonal debut for Varian and Atzeni will be the popular selection as the lightly raced 4yo gelding looks to repay his £360K price tag. Never come onto any radar of mine. Perhaps Ruth Carr has the danger in Chaplins Bay now he is back to the same mark he’s won off the last twice, OR74.

York 4.40                    MONJENI                           Since leaving Sir Mark Prescott’s yard Ian Williams has got Monjeni to win three out of his four races, two on the Tapeta at Wolverhampton and one at Haydock. His defeat was here on the Knavesmire over two furlongs further than he had been winning at. Monjeni is a giraffe of a horse with a daisy cutter action and despite Sir Mark thinking the horse need to go as far as possible it seems 14F on good to firm ground is the ideal. At Haydock Monjeni showed a change of gear, not easy for a gangly type and there could be more to come. I’ll forgive him his last run on grounds of trip and going. Plenty of likely opponents especially Theydon Grey for William Haggas who comes here instead of Musselburgh on Saturday for a race he’s been ante post favourite all week! Paul Hanagan rides On Fire for James Bethell and they will be trying to repeat their last time success over this distance at Nottingham. Hanagan rode Monjeni last time but I think here is a case of Atzeni getting the ride and not Hanagan having a choice.

Goodwood 7.40         WAR AT SEA   Fascinating C4 12F 3yo handicap. Let’s remove the chaff, Koeman, Galactic Prince and Fields of Fortune don’t look ready to win, 0-7 0-8 1-8, if they ever do! Road to Dubai has won two of his last three and has SDS in the saddle but has been operating at a lower grade and didn’t seem to stay when stepped up to 12F. Duke of Bronte won a dodgy Newbury maiden at 50/1 for the Millmans and the handicapper probably has him. Twenty Times, trained by Richard Hughes and owned by Sir Alex Ferguson is the sexy horse. The recent C5 soft ground 10F Chepstow handicap he won looks distinctly egg and spoon to me but hopefully he’ll make the market for the two I fancy. Luca Cumani is a trainer of patience and his 3yo’s improve with time and trip. His City Limits, by Nathanial, looks a likely time but as with many from this yard first time out is not the best time to back them. So it’s War at Sea for me. Went in the notebook when beaten by John Gosdens Garrick at Newcastle with the front two six lengths clear of the third. By Mastercraftsman out of a Galileo mare he cost Qatar Racing £105K and I’m sure David Simcock sees war at Sea’s future over middle distances, its 12F here, and with Jamie Spencer in the saddle we can be sure of a patient ride!

 

Saturdays Lucky 15

Not pretty reading!

Catterick 3.25             GABRIAL THE TIGER                                   8th 12/1           (25/1 PP 14/1 Skybet)

Check that price. Did exactly what I wanted him to do, got out, got the rail, led into straight then at the furlong pole fell in a hole. Jockey said he hung left!

Newmarket 4.50        REALLY SUPER                                                4th 2/1F           (15/8 general)

Travelled like a dream then when push came to shove. Zip. She was the Nap of the day.

Haydock 4.05             SO BELOVED                                       3rd 8/1             (15/2 PP general)

No complaints every chance just finished third beaten less than a length.

Chester 4.55               POWERALLIED                                   6th 16/1           (16/1 general)

Midfield, midfield, midfield. Get the drift?

 

Royal Ascot 2017

Latest going news Stickels said: “It certainly looks like it is going to very warm weather this coming weekend. At the moment, high pressure is dominating and is set to do so through next week. There is a small chance it could break down by the end of next week on Friday/Saturday but at the moment we are pretty settled. Temperatures this weekend should 27 or 28 degrees Celsius. It should cool down by Tuesday, with temperatures of around 24 degrees and towards the end of next week are forecast to go down to the low 20s.

At the moment, we are Good, Good to Firm in places. We are watering at the moment – we put seven millimetres on the round course overnight and are putting 10 millimetres on the straight today. The plan is not to water tomorrow and then review the situation. It is likely we will need to water during the meeting to maintain Good to Firm ground as the week goes on. The track is looking in great shape. We had a dry spring and 10 days’ ago we had 20 millimetres of rain which really helped us. I am really looking forward to next week.”

Ger Lyons Ascot plans – Irish Times June 14th The impressive Navan winner Treasuring could bid to follow in Elletelle’s hoof-prints next week by tackling the Queen Mary. “She reminds me of Elletelle a lot in that she has the speed for five, gets six, is very hardy and doesn’t show me anything at home. They’re very similar so maybe it’s written in the stars!” Lyons said. Provisional plans for next week also include the Irish Guineas fourth place Glastonbury Song running in the Jersey Stakes while the stalwart handicapper Sea Wolf is set to line up in the Royal Hunt Cup.

Up to five runners owned by Qatar Racing could go from Lyons’s Glenburnie Stables with Black Sails a possible for the Chesham, Savannah Storm going for the Duke Of Edinburgh, Lightening Fast in the Britannia and Gold Spinner a possible to join him or take in the Hampton Court instead. “Gold Spinner is very ground dependant and will probably only run if there’s soft in the ground description,” said Lyons who may also run Percy in the King George V handicap.

 

American Patriot is aiming to be the second successive American-trained winner of the G1 Queen Anne Stakes, run over Ascot’s straight mile, on the first day of Royal Ascot, Tuesday, June 20, following Tepin’s victory in 2016. The four-year-old War Front colt is trained by Todd Pletcher, the most successful handler in prize money terms that the USA has ever seen. American Patriot comes to Royal Ascot on the back for a first G1 victory, achieved with a late run in Keeneland’s Maker’s 46 Mile on turf on April 17. Ginny DePasquale, an assistant trainer to Pletcher, commented: “That was an absolutely amazing win – we were so thrilled.

 “We did not think he was going to win until the last few strides when he made up a lot of ground. Todd and the owner came up with the Royal Ascot plan after American Patriot ran the way he did, coming from far off the pace, European-style. We were 20/1 in the morning line at Keeneland, but we have always thought a lot of this horse from the time he was a two-year-old. He has still got to prove himself a little bit and we are hoping for the best. We have learned to bring the right horse over – one you really think can do well and compete in the prevailing conditions. American Patriot has been training and breezing very well since his Keeneland victory. He went off for a canter this morning and dealt with the open spaces very well. Winning the Kentucky Derby, which is the real premier race of the United States for three-year-olds, and then the Belmont Stakes means it has been an amazing six weeks for the stable. We are hoping American Patriot runs the best he can. Winning at Royal Ascot is very prestigious – the ultimate racing in the world as far as we are concerned – so it would definitely be a feather in our cap. This is our second trip to Royal Ascot – we came with two horses six years ago – and we will give it a shot when we have the right horse or horses.”

sportinglife.com Thursday 15 June 2017 Across The Stars will be joined at the meeting by his hat-trick seeking stable mate City Of Joy, who is on course for a tilt at the Britannia Stakes. Raymond added: “City Of Joy has done well winning his last two races and goes for the Britannia. As he is trained by Sir Michael Stoute, I am sure he will be one of the favourites.”

Harry Herbert, who is racing manager for the Royal Ascot Racing Club “Another runner for the Royal Ascot Racing Club is Projection (Roger Charlton) in the Wokingham Handicap. He is a really tough sprinter and loves the hustle and bustle. He had a good season last year without winning then went wrong. He ran a perfectly decent race at Newmarket first time out and then had a minor setback again. Hopefully, he will get a clear run with his last two pieces of work and is the sort of horse that should run very well in the Wokingham.”

McErin – G2 Norfolk Stakes. Wesley Ward declared: “I knew from the start that he would be a Norfolk contender. He has shown a lot of speed in everything he has done at home. He is a compact sprinter type of horse. He has an all-dirt pedigree but he has been much better on the grass. I think he has a really big chance.”

David Redvers, racing manager to owner Qatar Racing Limited, talked about the chances of Sheikh Fahad Al Thani’s operation at Royal Ascot. Redvers said: “We have some very exciting two-year-olds plus our old stagers as well. I am particularly looking forward to the two-year-olds although we are going to have some stiff competition – I see Twitter is alive with Mr Ward’s horses! We have some talented two-year-old fillies – Natural looks very good for Richard Hannon as does Out Of The Flames. Ger Lyons has two lovely fillies as well – Black Sails, who was very impressive in Ireland as was Treasuring, a daughter of our own Havana Gold who I think is set to have six runners at the meeting.”

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s