Lucky 15 Friday June 9th

Thursday 5.45pm Absolute tosh on Friday, even the Haydock and Goodwood cards are full of Class 5’s! So no Lucky 15 on Friday I’m just going to look at two races, the 3yo handicap at Carlisle at 4.40 and the Listed 5F sprint at Haydock at 7.25.

Carlisle 4.40 C4 11F 3yo handicap. GOING Good to Soft, Soft in places.

Initial thought is “that’s a long way for Sir Michael Stoute so send a Juddmonte horse”! Melting Dew won his 8F+ maiden as a 2yo at Lingfield on the AW at the third attempt. Won on debut as a 3yo in a 10F C4 handicap again on the sand but at Chelmsford. Clearly improving, stays well and showed a willing attitude to get up late to beat Alfarris a short head. So does 13/8 represent value?

Mark Johnston runs two. I can’t have Voski who won on debut in an egg and spoon maiden on the AW at Lingfield and then looked one paced at Chester. May do better if given an uncontested lead but looks like the hare to me. His second string, Addicted to You, made his debut as a 2yo at Musselburgh finishing eighth of eight and since has run five times on the AW winning at Lingfield, oddly beating the same horse as Voski did! Will stay the trip, gets weight but surely not good enough. Something Brewing cost £40K as a seven raced, twice winning 2yo from France and debuts for Ian Jardine whilst stepping up 3F. Not screaming winner to me but he does at least have a French handicap mark!! Shymkent is something I loathe, a 50/1 maiden winner. Obviously not expected when winning, backward on debut and beaten a long way in a Listed event since. O’Meara and Tudhope always have to be respected but I want to see a bit more from Shymkent first. That just leaves Karl Burkes Frankel colt, Immortalised. Unraced as a 2yo he hasn’t shone too brightly in three maidens as a 3yo, although his 4L fourth to Crystal Ocean over 10F at Nottingham is noteworthy, and goes handicapping off just OR77.

So Melting Dew looks the winner to me. A well-bred improver from a yard in form deserves his place in the market. The doubt is will his form hold up on Turf? The same applies to a couple of the others so I’m taking the 13/8.

Three star *** win Melting Dew @ 13/8 with Coral or BetFred.

Looked at that 5F Listed sprint and wanted to put up the 3yo filly Rosie Briar with the allowances but it would be a fair leap of faith. Mind you if you can get some 20/1, why not!

Be Lucky.

Thursdays Lucky 15

Ripon 3.30                  STAMP HILL                          8th 9/1                 (14/1 Ladbrokes + Coral)

Far too keen early on, still not sure he stayed the mile.

Sandown 6.30                        SPLASH AROUND                   5/2 Betfred 9/4 general

Sandown 7.00                        DANCING BREEZE                  9/2 Ladbrokes + Coral

Sandown 7.35                        FRONTISPIECE                                   2/1 Ladbrokes + Coral

Wednesdays Lucky 15

Pitifully blank! Two that could have won were tactically inept and the two that gave themselves a chance weren’t good enough!

Ripon 7.35                  DANDY HIGHWAYMAN            2nd 3/1F               (9/2 PP as low as 10/3 Coral)

Just had to hold the rail! Gave it up at halfway, then had to sit and suffer and still almost got up!

Ripon 8.05                  SCRUTINEER                           8th 8/1             (14/1 Coral 12/1 general)

Everything going fine until the final furlong when it looked like his action went, again! Avoid.

Kempton 7.25             PLY                                          5th 11/2           (9/2 general)

Held up, move at the top of straight, not good enough, beaten just two lengths. Keep in tracker.

Kempton 7.55            CAPTAIN PEACOCK                6th 11/4F         (5/1 PP + BetFred)

Surely Jim Crowley overdid the waiting tactics? Never got competitive.

Tracker Talk Whilst watching the evening racing I saw the C5 10F maiden, the 9.05 at Ripon and it’s worth a look. Godolphin introduced a useful 3yo gelded son of Cape Cross, Strong Belief, who could be a handicap snip at around OR85 and #FantasticMrFahey introduced a son of Galileo, and he doesn’t have many of those, homebred by Sir Robert Ogden called Northwest Frontier. Notebook says “Really green, just about clueless for the first mile. Kept on really well and grabbed third.”

Talking of #FantasticMrFahey 3yo Night Law made her debut from Musley Bank having been bought out of Andrew Balding’s yard by the Merchants and Missionaries (those men of mystery rarely buy a dud!) for £21K and this young lady could have a future. Hopefully finishing fourth here beaten just half a length won’t affect her handicap mark of OR75. Notebook said “Worst of draw, struggled for cover, rear, progress 2F out, kept on well, fourth beaten just half a length. WWTH”

Racing News

June 8th John Gosden is ready willing Enable for Irish Oaks bid at Curragh

The John Gosden-trained daughter of Nathaniel is being readied to follow up her victory in the Epsom Oaks last Friday at the Curragh on July 15. Teddy Grimthorpe, racing manager for owner Khalid Abdullah, said: “She has come out of the race really well and John Gosden is very pleased with her and she looks in good form. We will look towards the Irish Oaks now. The King George is a long way away and obviously we will look at the various options, but at the moment she will go for the Irish Oaks. While Grimthorpe was not surprised by the victory of Enable in the mile-and-a-half Group One, he was taken back by the manner in which it was achieved. “She showed a huge amount of class and ran unbelievably well to beat a top-class filly (Rhododendron). We expected a big run from her as we were confident that she would stay so, to that extent, it was not a great surprise. If you win a Classic by five lengths, though, that has got to be very unexpected and is one for the very-pleasant-surprise box.”

Stablemate Shutter Speed will try to maintain her unbeaten record in the Prix de Diane at Chantilly on June 18 after she brilliantly won the Musidora at York. Grimthorpe said: “Shutter Speed is in good shape after the Musidora and heads for the Diane the Sunday before Royal Ascot. We have won four out of the five Oaks trials this season and obviously we have converted one. It would be nice now if we could convert another.”

The Roger Charlton-trained Natavia also runs in the famous Abdullah silks but will be given a short break after she trailed home last in the Oaks. Grimthorpe added: “We are a bit mystified by her. She seemed to be travelling well. Possibly she didn’t stay or possibly she didn’t handle the downhill part of the race. She was going well until the top of Tattenham Corner then all of a sudden she was off the bridle struggling. We will give her a bit of a break.”

Mori is another classy filly for the Abdullah team and she is set to step up to Pattern company in the Ribblesdale Stakes following her victory in the Height of Fashion Stakes. A daughter of Frankel out of multiple Group One winner Midday, Mori will also be switching up in trip to 12 furlongs for the first time at Royal Ascot. Grimthorpe said: “She worked nicely (on Wednesday morning) and she will now head to the Ribblesdale. I would think that the mile and a half would suit her. In both races she has won (over 10 furlongs), she has been doing her best work late on so you would have to think another couple of furlongs would be fine.”

Mori is likely to be joined at the Royal meeting by fellow Sir Michael Stoute inmate Mirage Dancer, who sidestepped an outing in the Derby, with connections favouring a tilt at the Hampton Court Stakes. The son of Frankel won on his sole juvenile outing at Doncaster, but then had to settle for fourth behind subsequent Derby runner-up Cliffs Of Moher in the Dee Stakes on his seasonal bow. “We are looking at the Hampton Court. He is entered in the King Edward VII, but I think we will head to the Hampton Court. He is out of a mare (Heat Haze) who is a Group One-winning miler by Green Desert and the family have strong mile and mile and a quarter links. The galloping space at Ascot will suit him better than Chester. It is only his third start and he is still a work in progress.”

June 8th 16.20 Flaxman Stables @ Royal Ascot (Correct me if I’m wrong but that’s the Niarchos family to you and me!)

Ulysses remains on target for a crack at the Prince of Wales’s Stakes at Royal Ascot. Sir Michael Stoute’s four-year-old won the Gordon Richards Stakes on his return to action this season but has been kept fresh for the big meeting. Regally bred, by Galileo out of an Oaks winner in Light Shift, Ulysses has won over both 10 and 12 furlongs. “The Prince of Wales’s is definitely the plan and all is well with him at the moment,” said Alan Cooper, racing manager for the owners, Flaxman Stables. “Sir Michael has indicated he is happy to stay over 10 furlongs for now, but he can do both if we need him to. We know he stays further, though. It was always the plan to go straight to Ascot. The Brigadier Gerard was looked at, but Sir Michael decided it would be better to keep him fresh.”

Jessica Harrington’s exciting juvenile Alpha Centauri, ante-post favourite for the Albany Stakes, is set to be another notable runner for the owner. “She has a lovely stride. For a big filly, she is very well balanced,” said Cooper.

 “Jessica has stated she wouldn’t want to run her on firm ground, but good ground would be fine.”

Another contender in the famous silks will be George Scott’s Gilgamesh in the Britannia Stakes for three-year-olds.

“Gilgamesh will head for the Britannia. He started off at a low level but George has brought him along lovely and he’s now four from five,” said Cooper. “Obviously this requires another step up, but he’s going there at the top of his game.”


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