Lucky 15 Thursday June 1st

Wednesday 6.15pm Looking forward to the racing tonight at Chelmsford and Punchestown. Maybe an update Thursday morning.

Thursdays Lucky 15

Once again I’ve chosen the races first then looked for the horse.

Wolverhampton 3.50                                    PAVILLON                                         4/1 PP 7/2 general

Hamilton 4.30                                    BILLY BOND                            9/2 general

Chelmsford 7.10                                 CITY OF JOY                            5/2  general

Newcastle 7.50                                   INSTANT ATTRACTION          7/1 general

and here’s why

Wolverhampton 3.50                        PAVILLON This may only be a C4 handicap on the Wolverhampton Tapeta but it is going to take some winning. Possibility of Group horses lurking in this field of improving 3yo’s. Although it’s a handicap there’s only seven pounds from top to Sir Michael Stoute’s bottom weight. Weloof and Mukalal both won their all Weather maidens comfortably although I think the latter may have more size and scope. Dowayla for Godolphin had ground issues last time and this is her seasonal debut wearing first time cheek-pieces. Me Too Nagasaki was a massive eye-catcher on 2yo debut, absolutely flying late into fourth but took three more runs to break the duck and that was a heavy ground Doncaster handicap. The four pound rise may be lenient but I couldn’t back anything Noseda saddles.

The selection went into the notebook after a last to first debut on the sand at Kempton last November and didn’t disappoint first time this season either when needing every yard of the Chelmsford mile to get up to win a C3 handicap. Adam Kirby keeps the ride, Clive Cox is among the winners and I don’t think the five pounds the handicapper has given this strapping young lady will be enough to stop her bringing up the three timer.

Hamilton 4.30                         BILLY BOND Low grade C6 handicap at Hamilton may not be my usual territory, however I think Team Musley Bank may have found the ideal opportunity for one of its lesser lights. My notes say “8/9F, Soft in the going but each way!!” Well he’s down a stone from last July, OR73 to OR59, the trip is 9F and the going is “Good, Good to Soft in places, Overcast Thurs with showers possible through the afternoon (1-3mm)”, he’s well drawn in stall 1 and was staying on well over a shorter trip last time. #FantasticMrFahey has his string in rude health and Tony Hamilton did us a favour on Wednesday! Price is just about OK, 5/1 @ 5.15pm.

Chelmsford 7.10                     CITY OF JOY This is a cracker of C2 3yo 8F contest with top yards putting some Royal Ascot Britannia handicap credentials on the line! I think the early market has it about right and the two to concentrate on are John Gosden’s Tricorn and Sir Michael Stoute’s City of Joy. Tricorn has gone up 11lb for his last win and that might just be too much and it’s City of Joy for me. This horse is a real trier and I wanted to back him last weekend when he was entered for both the valuable 3yo handicaps at Haydock and Goodwood but he has been kept back for this. He won on his 3yo reappearance at Doncaster, 8F Good to Firm, when despite being bumped late on he really stuck his head out to snatch victory. Up five pounds but Ryan Moore is in the saddle I think this gelded son of Elusive City could be a Britannia player with a win here.

Newcastle 7.50                       INSTANT ATTRACTION I picked this race because I wanted to take El Vip on even dropping to C3 as I think he has been grossly over-rated although I could have done without Jamie Spencer taking the ride. This is El VIP’s first go on the Tapeta and Spencer will have to earn his fee as last time out “Frankie Dettori, the rider of EL VIP (IRE), unplaced, reported that the colt ran too free.”

The selection is of the safe, straight bat variety. He’s been to some big parties, seventh in the Hambleton, eleventh in the Lincoln this season and seventh in the Ascot Hunt Cup last season and he may need a win here to get a ticket for this year. The handicapper has given him a bit of leeway down to OR98, he has won on the Tapeta at Wolverhampton, the yard has had a couple of winners in the past fortnight and the last time he was in C3 he won! El Vip makes the market and I just hope Instant Attraction doesn’t just set it up for a Spencer special.

 

Wednesdays Lucky 15

One from two so far and let’s hope we can top it up tonight!?

Beverley 3.30                         ARCANE DANCER                  4th 5/2F           (4/1 general)

Paul Hanagan had him just where he wanted, although perhaps a little keen early on, just didn’t pick up well enough in the last two furlongs.

Nottingham 3.50                   ANOTHER TOUCH                  1st 9/4 F           (11/4 general)

Hooray I’ve read a race correctly and I have to say an excellent ride from Tony Hamilton, got the horse out, got the box seat with little effort then at the 2F pole just when he could have been caught in a pocket bullied his way out and the horse did the rest. This win will probably get him 5lbs to go up to OR103 and I wouldn’t be surprised if he has a spin in the Hunt Cup at Ascot because he can! However the race I really want to back him in is the John Smiths Cup over 10F at York on 15th July.

Kempton 7.50                         KEYSER SOZE                          10/1 general

Kempton 8.20                        DARK DEVIL                            6/1 Coral 11/2 general

 

The Epsom Derby 2017

Smullen snapped up for Khalidi in Derby as Gosden sorts team Racing Post David Baxter 8:26AM, MAY 31 2017

Pat Smullen will attempt to win a second consecutive Investec Derby after he was booked to ride the supplemented Khalidi for John Gosden. Smullen rode Harzand to victory last year for Dermot Weld, but according to the betting will face a tougher task this time around, with Khalidi a best-priced 25-1 shot for Saturday’s Classic at Epsom. One of five potential runners for Gosden, Khalidi lowered the course record when winning the Listed Cocked Hat Stakes at Goodwood last week, and was added to the field on Monday at a cost of £85,000. He has not been ridden before by Smullen, who told the Irish Times: “It looks an open year and worth taking a shot. It’s about whatever steps up on the day. It will be a big field and a hassle-free run through the race will be a big help.”

Gosden now has jockeys for all five of his runners, with James Doyle stepping in to take the ride on Glencadam Glory. Second to Best Solution in Lingfield’s Derby trial, Glencadam Glory was due to be partnered by Jimmy Fortune, but he ruled himself out on Tuesday as he recovers from back issues. Silvestre de Sousa is on outsider Pealer, while Frankie Dettori rides main hope Cracksman with Andrea Atzeni on Crowned Eagle.

O’Brien to delay jockey decision until Wednesday evening Racing Post Tony O’Hehir 7:32PM, MAY 30 2017

Ryan Moore is expected to partner Dee Stakes winner Cliffs Of Moher in the Investec Derby on Saturday, although Aidan O’Brien is unlikely to finalise riding arrangements for his six runners in the Epsom Classic until Wednesday evening.

O’Brien said on Tuesday: “The plan for the Derby remains the same. Cliffs Of Moher, Venice Beach, Capri, Douglas Macarthur, Wings Of Eagles and The Anvil are all intended runners. We also have Finn McCool left in but it’s unlikely he will run. We’ll be finalising riding plans for the race probably tomorrow evening.”

Moore will partner Rhododendron, who was cut to odds-on with most bookies on Tuesday, in the Investec Oaks on Friday when Seamie Heffernan is likely to be on Cheshire Oaks runner-up Alluringly. We’ll decide in the morning whether we’ll declare anything else for the Oaks but Rhododendron and Alluringly are both in good form,” O’Brien said.

Highland Reel and his brother Idaho, who will be making his reappearance, will line up for the Investec Coronation Cup on Friday. “Both of them will run and it’s quite possible we will also run US Army Ranger,” said O’Brien.

O’Brien has yet to win the Prix du Jockey Club and is planning to run at least three colts in Sunday’s renewal at Chantilly. He said: “We’re looking at running War Decree, Taj Mahal and Orderofthegarter and it’s possible we might run one other – Whitecliffsofdover or Homesman.”

 

Racing News

RP Twitter “Godolphin’s Bay Of Poets has been supplemented to the Prix du Jockey Club at a cost of €72,000. Al Wukair has been taken out of the contest.”

 

If there is one trainer who is having a great season it is Roger Charlton and here is what he put on his website after four winners last Saturday May 27th. 28th May 2017   Second Step got back to winning ways with a terrific and valiant success at Goodwood. He is a very tough horse with miles on the clock, and we knew once in a battle he wasn’t going to falter. He travelled too well through the race and we look forward to stepping him up in grade for a better pace, which should play to his strengths. Blakeney Point travelled like the winner in his race over 1m 6f and in the end didn’t get home. He got taken on too early as they turned in and it set him alight. As we had thought at Chester, 2m 2f was too far. He has got a lot faster than he was last year and cruised all over the field. The Ebor looks like the race for him in August and his jockey seemed taken with the idea. At Haydock it was nice to see Stone The Crows run a good race. He is a massive horse who is still weak. He will be a lovely horse next year. He has a wonderful action and just needs to strengthen up.

Silent Echo travelled like a good horse to beat Chessman who had incredible form at Newbury and the much talked about Mojito. He put them firmly in their place with a cruising speed that they couldn’t handle. He still raw and we may just take our time with him. Pow Wow completed the treble at Salisbury for Mr Newton. It was our first winner for him, and it was great to see, as he is a wonderful British Owner Breeder, who does a lot for the breeders in this country. Additionally it was great to see the late Bob McCreery have a second winner (Mark Hopkins) in two days, after we trained Eynhallow to win for him at Goodwood. Pow Wow got the job done nicely and hopefully there are more races to win with him.”

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