Lucky 15 Tuesday May 23rd

Monday 6.10pm Ambition this week is to crack the top 3yo handicaps at Haydock, 5.40 on Friday C3 over 10F and the Silver Bowl on the Saturday C2 8F at 2.55. Loads of good racing from Thursday onwards, love that Sandown Henry II night card! Let’s kick off the week with a jolly Lucky 15.

Tuesdays Lucky 15

Nottingham 2.30                   ABIENTO                            6/1 general

Nottingham 3.30                   CELESTATION                 9/2 general

Newcastle 3.10                       BOLLIHOPE                       7/1 general

Newcastle 4.10                       INAAM                                8/1 general

and here’s why

Nottingham 2.30                   ABIENTO No concerns putting a Fahey horse up as the yard is banging in good priced winners and Abiento has plenty going for him. He’s better than an C5 horse, Soft (Good to soft in places) is ideal and an in-form Adam McNamara claiming 3lbs can use his high draw to get on the stands rail. He didn’t stay 7F last time and is better suited to this drop to 6F.

Notebook says “40K euros purchase out of the same dam as Grandads World and Gin in the Inn suggesting 80ish 6F , bit of give? Promising debut 3rd over 6F at Carlisle, then beaten in three warm maidens won by South Seas, Lockheed and Rivet (Convivial at York, no less). Won on the 5th attempt, a C5 6F maiden at Chester on Good to Soft, despite hanging left all the way up the straight and not handling the bends very well. “Green but scopey”. Well beaten on quicker ground in the Listed Redcar Champion Trophy. Has the size and enough talent, just needs to mentally mature, settle, put his head down and he could be a OR90+ animal.”

Nottingham 3.30                   CELESTATION As is their want I expect Mark Johnston’s to make every yard of this 10F trip. She will appreciate the softer ground and her fourth to Rivet in the C2 Convivial Maiden at York as a 2yo shows her level of talent. The favourite is a once raced 20/1 winner of a C4 maiden at Newbury as a 2yo and has a lot of question marks about her, much as I like Ed Walker and Thomas Brown.

Newcastle 3.10                       BOLLIHOPE At the price I’m going with the horse with the form on the Newcastle Tapeta. A C&D winner and really unlucky when second on his last visit. I feel the Varian/atzeni top weight may easily be overbet. Too sexy!

Newcastle 4.10                       INAAM Let’s top and tail the Lucky 15 with another Fahey winner. Paul Hanagan’s only ride of the evening speaks volumes. Notebook says “Has really taken to the Tapeta and the straight course at Newcastle, form figures 415112, and Hanagan has won on him the last twice in C4. Nolan looks after the “nutters” and seems to have done a good job here as last time they even dispensed with the hood. Don’t expect to see him until late in the race. Can he transfer this progression onto Turf? Does he need to?” Way over priced!

The Epsom Derby 2017

Derby bid ruled out as Churchill takes aim at 2,000 Guineas double

Tony O’Hehir (Racing post) 8:19PM, MAY 21 2017

Churchill is set to bid for a Guineas double at the Curragh on Saturday, according to trainer Aidan O’Brien, seemingly ending any lingering hopes he could be aimed at the Investec Derby. The Newmarket hero can now be backed at 10-1 to complete a Classic double at Epsom next month, and is no longer quoted by William Hill. Instead his Classic double bid is set to revolve around the Curragh, for which assignment he is a best-priced 4-11 shot with Sky Bet.

But O’Brien could yet have up to seven runners in the Derby, he said on Sunday, with Dee Stakes winner Cliffs Of Moher his number one according to the market, the colt sharing favouritism with Cracksman at 4-1. Churchill’s fellow Newmarket Guineas winner Winter is also set for a follow-up bid at the Curragh, and with Minding also due to run next Sunday it could be quite a weekend for the Ballydoyle juggernaut.

Giving his clearest message yet that the Tattersalls Irish 2,000 Guineas, rather than the Derby, would be Churchill’s next race, O’Brien said: “It looks like Churchill will be going to the Curragh on Saturday, and that Winter will run in the Irish 1,000 Guineas on Sunday. Both are in good form. Lancaster Bomber (fourth) and Spirit Of Valor (eighth), both of whom ran behind Churchill at Newmarket, will probably join him in the line-up again, while Hydrangea, who was behind Winter in the 1,000 Guineas, will probably take her chance in Sunday’s Classic.”

O’Brien confirmed seven-time Group 1 winner Minding, who made a successful reappearance when landing the Group 2 Mooresbridge Stakes at Naas this month, an intended runner in the Group 1 Tattersalls Gold Cup at the Curragh on Sunday. “Minding came out of her Naas win well and the plan is to run her on Sunday,” O’Brien said.

Regarding plans for his attempt at a sixth Derby victory a week on Saturday, O’Brien said: “We have seven colts in the picture for Epsom – Cliffs Of Moher plus Venice Beach, Wings Of Eagles and The Anvil, who were the first three in the Chester Vase, and Douglas Macarthur, Yucatan and Capri, the first three in the Derrinstown Derby Trial. They’re all in the mix. We’ll wait until next week before finalising plans, but it’s quite possible they could all run.”

 

Racing News

Gerald Mosse signed up by Phoenix Thoroughbreds May 22 2017, 12:01

More is set to be seen of Gerald Mosse in Newmarket after the Frenchman was signed up by Phoenix Thoroughbreds as a retained rider. Mosse, 50, will link up with the new Luxembourg-based investment group, which has been active at the recent sales with purchases being sent to Bob Baffert and Jeremy Noseda. “I am very pleased and grateful to have the opportunity to become part of the Phoenix Thoroughbreds team,” said Mosse. “It is a very exciting project and one that I will be very committed to. We have bought some very nice-looking individuals at the sales during the spring and I look forward to getting know the horses over the coming months. And, of course, I hope that this season and beyond that I can play a part in delivering success to Phoenix, both with the work I will put in with the horses at home and on the racecourse.”

Phoenix is in the process of becoming the first regulated thoroughbred investment fund in the world and already has operations in six countries with a number of partners, including individuals and businesses. Kerri Radcliffe, Noseda’s wife, and the Europe and USA bloodstock and racing advisor for Phoenix Thoroughbreds, said: “We are so fortunate to have Gerald Mosse joining us. He is a top-class rider and his skills on the racecourse and also feedback from the gallops will be invaluable to Phoenix Thoroughbreds. He has already been a massive help over the last couple of days, riding out in Newmarket, and I look forward to working closely with him in the future.”

 

 

#FantasticMrFahey updates

Trying to profile the Musley Bank entries and update the files as we go along!

Musley Bank 2yo’s 2017

Shazzab                  2yo filly                  (Darren Barton)                                                    4              (-)                            OR??

Cheap £10K purchase. Foaled 10 Mar. Half-sister to Chester’slittlegem, won twice at 6f and 7f.

22nd May 2017 Plenty of scope, signs of ability. Finished 8l behind Emilia James when fourth of 10 at 6-1 on her racecourse debut at Beverley over 5f (good to firm) last month. Timeform says “showed ability when fourth of 10 in minor event at Beverley (5f, good to firm) on debut 25 days ago, making late headway after slow start. 6f should suit. Open to progress for her leading stable.”

Suanas                    2yo filly                  (Nick Bradley Racing 3)                                       97           (-)                            OR??

£12K daughter of society rock. Not very big and all over the place on debut.

Ventura Dragon   2yo colt                  (Middleham Park Racing XLII & Partner)         3              (-)                            OR??

Foaled 19 Apr. £60K yearling. Full brother to Lady Beware, won at 1m. Third of 8 behind Brandy Station beaten 3 1/2l at 2-1fav on his racecourse debut at Pontefract over 5f (good to firm) earlier this month. Slow into stride, kept on well, WWTH. Timeform says “Promising type. Third of 8 in minor event at Pontefract (5f, good to firm, 2/1) on debut 19 days ago, caught further back than ideal. May well do better.”

Danehill Desert    2yo colt                  (Percy.Green Racing)                                          4              (-)                            OR??

Foaled 30 Mar. £14K yearling. Half-brother to Mistaken Identity, won three times at 1m and 1m 1f.

Finished 1l behind Guzman when fourth of 9 at 11-1 on his racecourse debut at Thirsk over 5f (good to firm) earlier this month. BHA Stewards “Sammy Jo Bell, the rider of DANEHILL DESERT (IRE), placed fourth, reported that the colt stumbled approaching 3 furlongs out.” Promising debut.

Timeform says “Promising individual. Fourth of 9 in minor event at Thirsk (5f, good to firm, 11/1) on debut 16 days ago, nearest finish. Should have more to offer.”

Guzman                 2yo colt                  (Merchants and Missionairies)                          1              (-)                            OR??

Just £25K yearling but from regular supplier the Yeomanstown Stud.

Won on debut with the money down. Clearly talented, travelled well but green when asked to go and win the race. Entries in the valuable Sales races.

Darkanna               2yo colt                  (The Cool Silk Partnership)                                 9              (-)                            OR??

£205K daughter of Dark Angel who just didn’t settle on debut.

Timeform says “Easy to back and finished nearer last than first on debut at Doncaster (5f). However, she was too keen on that occasion and this well-bred filly will be more street-wise this time.”

Richard Fahey 22nd May

Yarmouk                                3yo colt  (Sheikh Abdullah Almalek Alsabah) 75424      7-5          (-)                            OR69 70 69 68 67

I am sure this horse was a £165K purchase at the Tatts Guineas Breeze Up’s when he was called “Tumbulgum”! French pedigree by Siyouni. Taking time to get the hang of racing but a good second to the improving Mutahaady on handicap debut. OR70 probably underestimates his talent. Could be a progressive, gelded 3yo.

Timeform says “respectable fifth of 11 in handicap at Pontefract (6f, good to firm) 19 days ago, needing stiffer test. The return to this longer trip should suit.”

Right Action                          3yo gelding            (MPR LVII & Partner)            90425-1V464       (?)                           OR82 78 74 73 72 71

Already gelded. Nothing special. C5 6F? Expect Middleham Park to sell him. Won his maiden on AW debut at Wolverhampton C6 6F. Been handicapping since. Probably need C6 and down below OR70, 6F.

Flyboy                                    4yo gelding            (George Murray)                  3-231849345500-8     (79) OR79 82 81 80 79 77 75

Same owner had Flyman that he transferred from Fahey to O’Meara, this one travels the other way. One win in fourteen, they’ve tried pieces and a visor, perhaps change of scenery will do the trick? Not convinced!

Luna Mare                             4yo filly  (Andrew Tinkler)                                  53-129-5                               (?)           OR75 78 82 76

A valuable young lady, a winning daughter of Galileo. China Horse Club paid 260K euro for her full brother Achiever (unraced 2yo gelding with A.P.O’Brien!) in Sept.2015. She was unsold at 130K euro the year before so I’ve no idea how the Tinklers got her. Would be mildly surprised if she is kept in training. I’m mildly surprised! Is she in foal? Not beaten a rival in last two starts!

Softer ground may help.

Mr Lupton                             4yo gelding            (N D Kershaw)                       33150559-21       (107)      OR102 111 109 107 113

Brilliant winner of the Charity Sprint handicap at York off OR102 and now plying his trade at Listed/Group level. 6F, cut in the ground, breakneck gallop and Jamie Spencer may be the ducks that need to be aligned to land a Group race!

On seasonal debut ran an excellent second to Muthmir in a Conditions event then topped that by winning a C2 handicap on Good to Firm ground at Newmarket to chin stablemate Eastern Impact under Gerard Mosse no less! That suggests he isn’t ground dependent and the world is his oyster. Mosse said: “I rode him very confidently. I was just waiting for my time.The gap came and it was over. He did a job for me.” Fahey said: “It was a good race for a trainer to watch. I didn’t mind which one won as long as one did. It was nice to see Eastern Impact bounce back. They’ve both run well. I thought the ground would be quick enough for Mr Lupton, but he came up the hill well and it was a great run. He just struggles in the Group races for some reason and he’s one of those horses that’s a twilight horse, but he’s a good one. We’ll see what the handicapper does, but I was thinking along the lines of the Wokingham at Royal Ascot and the Stewards’ Cup at Goodwood, races like that.”

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