Friday 6.10pm Tough to find winners with Wednesdays deluge causing havoc with the ground conditions especially when one is trying to find winners at the 48 hour declarations stage. So I’m passing on tomorrow’s Lucky 15 and will post another Monday night for Tuesday when the Goings may have stabilised.
Fridays Lucky 15
Newbury 2.35 SCRUTINEER 11th Last! 8/1 (14/1PP 12/1 general)
Effort 1F out, weakened just beating the ambulance home!
York 4.05 GIBBS HILL 3rd 15/8 Fav (2/1 PP 15/8 general)
Slow away, progress at top of straight but an impossible task in this ground.
Newbury 4.45 WASATCH RANGE 8th 5/2 Fav (11/4 general)
The Stewards considered the running of WASATCH RANGE, ridden by Frankie Dettori, and trained by John Gosden, which started favourite and finished unplaced. The Stewards noted the trainer’s representative’s explanation that the colt was unsuited by the soft, good to soft in places, ground and would prefer it faster.
York 5.35 BEDOUIN 4th 9/1 (6/1 PP 5/1 general)
Friendless in market. Held up. Progress 3F out, never competitive.
#FantasticMrFahey Saturday runner’s courtesy of sportinglife.com May 19 2017, 13:59
It’s a busy Saturday for our star columnist Richard Fahey, including Ribchester’s bid for Lockinge glory at Newbury.
I’m very happy with Ribchester going into Saturday’s Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes at Newbury. He did great over the winter and ran really well in Dubai. His preparation since has gone without a hitch, he’ll handle the ground and I just hope he runs his race as he’s in with a real shout.
We also run Toscanini who is primarily in there to make sure they go a nice even gallop. That said if he handles the ground he wouldn’t be without a chance of grabbing a place.
Private Matter will love the ground in the Shalaa Carnarvon Stakes – the slower, the better for him. He’s in good form but has a 3lb penalty to contend with and that makes things tougher.
I was disappointed with Andok at Newmarket on his reappearance. We’re stepping him up in trip for the Al Zubarah London Gold Cup Handicap and hope that does the trick as he’s a horse I like.
Withernsea is what he is and didn’t run badly in the Victoria Cup last week. A mile on decent ground will really suit him in the Toronado Handicap. I’ve said before I think he’s going to pop up and win a nice pot one day but I’m struggling to predict when with him at the moment.
We’ve three runners at Newmarket.
Queen Penn never rose a gallop at all first time up at Nottingham which was very disappointing. We don’t know what happened but she never took part. I hope she’ll bounce back in the Betway EBF Fillies’ Novice Stakes as she’s quite nice. We like her.
Seven furlongs in this ground will be absolutely ideal for Ballymore Castle in the Betway Download The App Handicap. I’d love to see him get his head in front again for the owners.
I fell out with Paddy Power some time ago. He’s the definition of a morning glory and has been very disappointing. We’ve decided not to over-race him now and he ran okay at Newcastle on his reappearance. He’s been freshened up since and on what we see at home it wouldn’t be a surprise if he won the Betway Handicap but he just keeps disappointing on the track.
We run three in the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Fillies’ Stakes at Thirsk. Ajwan goes well at home, her work is good, and she’s ready for her debut. Collateral Beauty probably needs to go down the handicap route but is ready to run now as is Foxxy Brown, for whom similar comments apply.
Carnageo doesn’t have a great draw in the Marion Gibson Brown Memorial Handicap and doesn’t have much in hand of the assessor which means he’ll find it difficult, for all he’s in good form.
Full Of Promise has been disappointing. He works as though he should be winning more races and on ability would be capable of landing something like the Book For Ladies’ Day – Saturday 9th September Handicap but needs to put his best foot forward.
Monaco Rose worked extremely well this week. She’s got stronger and won well at Catterick last time. She should run a big race in the opening crownhotel-bawtry.com Apprentice Handicap at Doncaster.
Flo’s Melody hadn’t shown a lot at home prior to her debut at Ripon but ran well to finish third. She seems to have come forward for the experience and is one of three runners for us in the Howcroft Industrial Supplies Ltd Novice Auction Stakes. Jedi Master has been disappointing on both his starts as he shows ability at home. Hopefully he’d have place claims here. Our final runner is Mabo, a newcomer who should improve with experience. He could be one for handicaps later on.
Imshivalla hasn’t really hit form yet. She runs herself into it every year. She’s always been like it, she decides when she’s going to fire and we’ll see what happens in the EBF Breeders’ Series Chase Medical Fillies’ Handicap.
Party Tiger has been a little disappointing, as he has always gone nicely at home. On his best form he’d have a chance in the sunbets.co.uk Bet 5 & Get 10 Handicap but needs everything to drop right. We also run Lady In Question who has been working extremely well. She’s really strengthened up over the winter and I’d expect to win races this season – and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see her go very well here.
Our final runner is Khelman in the closing Bet & Watch At sunbets.co.uk Handicap. He is what he is and it’s all there to see in the formbook. He’s another who decides when and where he does it but he likes the track here which offers hope.
I know he is not everybodies favourite but Jamie Spencer’s blog with 32Red is always worth a read. May 19, 2017
2.20pm Newbury Visionary I wouldn’t read too much into the fact that he has been racing on the all-weather of late and, being a Dream Ahead, I think conditions will suit him here. I rode him when he won on his debut at Brighton last season on good to soft ground and, although it will be more testing here, I have ridden him at home in more testing conditions and he is a big, strong horse who will go through it. It’s a competitive race and Koropick and Private Matter are the form horses, but my colt is improving on the evidence of his good second at Lingfield last time and he doesn’t have that much to find to have a winning chance in an open contest.
2.55pm Newbury Glorious Forever He has won on good to soft but, on pedigree, I am not sure about him in ground this testing, and he could be badly drawn in 13. But, while this is obviously very competitive, this is not as strong a race as we have had in the past – Al Kazeem, Time Test and Cannock Chase have won this in recent years – and my colt comes here on the back of a good second on his return at Doncaster. He has chances but I think Century Dream could prove tough to beat. He raced too keenly on the lead at Sandown last time and, if he proves more amenable, I think he has the potential to progress a fair bit in ground that may suit him.
3.30pm Newbury Aclaim The fact that he has won over Ascot’s stiff 1m, albeit on fast ground and only off a mark of 97, gives me hope that he can see out this trip in this company. And he will handle the ground. He lost his way a little bit in the middle of the season but he won well for me at Ascot and over 7f here in the soft for me in September, and ended off his campaign strongly with a defeat of Lumiere in the Challenge Stakes. He needs to have progressed 7lb over the winter to make himself competitive in this company, but soft ground is a big plus and I give him an each-way chance in a race in which a few won’t find the ground ideal. Lightning Spear may be one of those, for all his Queen Anne third came in the soft, and while Somehow has won on heavy her most impressive performance to date came on fast ground last time. I definitely think Ribchester is the one to beat. I’ve always rated him and he has form on course and on the ground, and his second to Minding, after proving keen early on, in the QEII on Champions’ Day makes him the one we all have to fear.
The Epsom Derby 2017
Racing Post Lee Mottershead and Lewis Porteous 8:20PM, MAY 18 2017
O’Brien’s comments came after stablemate Exemplar had finished eighth in the Dante Stakes at York on Thursday, the last key trial before the Classic in 16 days’ time. O’Brien has Derrinstown Stud Derby Trial principals, Douglas Macarthur, Yucatan and Capri, Chester Vase 1-2-3 Venice Beach, Wings Of Eagles and The Anvil, plus Dee Stakes winner Cliffs Of Moher, in the mix for the Derby, in addition to the exceptional Churchill.
“The lads will decide,” said O’Brien of his possible Epsom team. “We’ve got the seven horses from the trials – the three from Leopardstown, the three from the Chester Vase and Cliffs Of Moher. The eighth would be Churchill, but there’s a big chance the lads will keep him at a mile. He has a lot of speed and is very comfortable at a mile. He relaxes so well you’d think he would have no problem getting a mile and a quarter, but you never know about a mile and a half.”
While Churchill still heads some Derby markets, stablemate and Dee Stakes winner Cliffs Of Moher is a shorter price elsewhere and O’Brien did nothing to dishearten his supporters. He added: “It’s going to be very interesting, especially if the lads decide to keep Churchill at a mile. The way I saw it, the three Leopardstown horses progressed from their first run to their second. The three Chester Vase horses were horses we always thought would stay very well. Going into Chester, Cliffs Of Moher was probably the rawest of ours. He was just ready to start and we felt if he did win we’d be very happy. Although he was very green that day he went to the line really well and probably learned a lot. Ryan [Moore] felt there could be a lot of improvement to come after Chester. He’s started working again and everything looks lovely. I don’t think there’s any doubt there’s great room for improvement with him.”