Lucky 15 Friday May 18th  

Thursday 6.10pm Tough day trying to find winners at York but I’m looking forward to doing the meeting review as the boys with the stopwatches are suggesting some of those times today were pretty decent so how much are we going to be able to blame on the ground?

Pretty sure I saw the winner of the Ascot Royal Hunt Cup and the John Smiths today! Watch this space.

Going at YORK – Good to Soft, Soft in Places.

(GoingStick: 6.2 overall. Goingstick readings in home straight: farside 6.3; centre 6.2; standside 6.3.)

Stalls: Stalls positions for Friday 19 May: Race 1 5f – stand side rail Race 2 7f192yrds – inside rail

Race 3 1m5f188yrds – inside rail Race 4 1m3f188yrds – centre Race 5 7f – far side rail

Race 6 5f – centre Race 7 1m3f188yrds – centre. Interesting, they’ll be all over the course tomorrow!

Going at NEWBURY – Good to soft, Soft in places

(GoingStick: 6.1 on Thursday at 15:45)

Stalls: Centre of the course straight course. Inside rail round course.

 

Fridays Lucky 15

Let’s finish the Dante meeting with a few winners!

Newbury 2.35            SCRUTINEER                                   14/1PP 12/1 general

York 4.05                    GIBBS HILL                                      2/1 PP 15/8 general

Newbury 4.45            WASATCH RANGE                       11/4 general

York 5.35                    BEDOUIN                                        6/1 PP 5/1 general

and here’s why

Newbury 2.35            SCRUTINEER Perfectly capable 6F sprinter who has spent much of his time in Listed company or better, indeed this is only his fourth handicap and much the easiest. All his best form for this hold up horse has come on Soft ground, hopefully Newbury has had sufficient rain to bring the fliers back to him. Scrutineer has a bit to find with Captain Colby on Cammidge form from six weeks ago but he didn’t get the clearest run that day. John Egan rides for the first time and will probably need to bring Mick Channons charge stand side to make his challenge. Off OR98 with his favoured ground he should be competitive.

York 4.05                    GIBBS HILL      I like the profile of this horse. A progressive son of Mastercraftsman who seems to be getting better the further he goes. Given time to develop he is now up two grades and up 9lbs but in his last race he showed a nice change of gear when trying this trip for the first time. Messrs Varian and Atzeni are in fine form, the horse has soft ground form and I could see Gibbs Hill developing into an Ebor candidate.

Newbury 4.45            WASATCH RANGE Came from way off the pace to win a 10F C5 maiden at Windsor under hands and heels from a confident Robert Tart. It’s no surprise that this son of High Chaparral is improving as he steps up in trip and the extra furlong here can only help. He makes his debut in a handicap off a lenient looking OR85, gallop reports are good, Messrs Gosden and Dettori are hardly strangers to the winners circle and the only question mark would be the softer ground. Plenty of other improvers, indeed over the field won last time out, and the race could through up plenty of future handicap winners. Outcrop should ensure a solid pace and I’ll have one eye on Richard Hannon’s Whip Nae Nae who went in my notebook at Chester wanting this sort of trip.

York 5.35                    BEDOUIN Another improver as he steps up in trip as becoming a son of High Chaparrel. Gelded at 2yo before getting to the racecourse he showed midfield promise in three warm maidens as a 2yo and went 3yo handicapping for Luca Cumani off a very workable mark of just OR72. Over 10F at Nottingham he was a staying on second to Outcrop, for which he has gone up 3lbs, for today’s jockey Jamie Spencer and it’s no surprise to see first time blinkers as he wasn’t the easiest conveyance that day although clearly has an engine. Probably needs to grow up mentally more than physically, that’s the horse not the jockey!

 

#FantasticMrFahey Friday runner’s courtesy of sportinglife.com May 18 2017, 16:57

“Maggies Angel is our first runner at York on Friday in the Langleys Solicitors British EBF Marygate Fillies’ Stakes. The form of her maiden at Ripon hasn’t worked out well but all they can do is win and she absolutely trotted up. This is a great race to be involved in but any one of seven or eight could win it.

I’m a little worried about the going for Shypen in the Irish EBF Frank Whittle Partnership Fillies’ Handicap, she doesn’t have any form on it. It’s very frustrating as on quick ground I’d have given her a big chance.

We’re double handed in the Yorkshire Equine Practice Handicap. Boundsy ran well on his reappearance at Nottingham and has come out of it well. The ground won’t bother him either.

It is a bit of a concern for Megan Lilly who I thought ran ok at Chester last week. She just half missed a beat at the start that day but still finished third and is in good form if handling the surface.

We also run two in the closing 7IM Supports Cystic Fibrosis Care Handicap. We’ve had discussions over whether Lord Commander is going to stay the trip but we’ll find out here and he’s in good order. Sue’s Angel can be very funny in the stalls but the step up to a mile-and-a-half here is going to really suit her. I’d love her to run a big race for her owner and she is one who won’t mind the ground.”

No winners for Musley Bank at Chester but at least he has one on the board at York with Zap in the 2yo maiden but I think he’ll be gutted by Brian the Snails performance. BHA Stewards “The Stewards considered the running of BRIAN THE SNAIL (IRE), ridden by William Buick and trained by Richard Fahey, which started favourite and finished unplaced. They noted the trainer could offer no explanation for the colt’s performance. They ordered BRIAN THE SNAIL (IRE) to be routine tested.”

 

Thursdays Lucky 15

“A HUGE payout on @Betfred Dante Day at @yorkracecourse! Six placed horses today paid £10,865 to a £1 stake!”

Tells you how hard it was finding winners on the Knavesmire yesterday. My selections basically ran to their price and position in the market.

York 2.20                    MOVE IN TIME                       10th 17/2            (20/1 WH 16/1 general)

Looks like Father Time has caught up. Disappointing.

York 3.30                    FOREST RANGER                    6th 8/1                 (20/1PP 16/1 general)

Either he didn’t stay or that’s as good as he is in what was a “hard to get a handle on” Dante. Plans going forward will be interesting.

York 4.05                    BRAVERY                                8th 20/1           (16/1 PP+Coral 14/1 general)

Too far back for me in a hot handicap, progress running to the final furlong got hopes up but got no closer.

York 5.35                    GRACELAND                           2nd 4/1Fav         (3/1 general)

Led inside final furlong but didn’t quite see it out on the rain softened ground. How annoying!

 

The Epsom Derby 2017

Godolphin chief executive John Ferguson confirms they will pay the £85,000 to supplement Permian for the Derby. He told ITV Racing: “It was a genuinely-run race. William (Buick) was keen to make it on Wolf Country and gave Franny a chance to sit in. Permian finished it off really well, with Benbatl at his girths all the way down the straight. We’re delighted with the two horses there. I’ve already spoken to Sheikh Mohammed and he is as thrilled as we are and is very keen to have this horse supplemented for the Derby. Permian will be supplemented. Saeed (Bin Suroor) had Best Solution win the Lingfield Derby Trial and Benbatl finish second in the Dante so we have to sit down, think, decide and talk to Sheikh Mohammed about that and what he thinks is the right thing to do.”

 “With the way Benbatl has run on there, there’s every chance (could go to the Derby). The Epsom Derby is the Epsom Derby. If you look at the form leading up into this race, there’s a lot of respect for Aidan’s (O’Brien) horse who won the Dee Stakes (Cliffs Of Moher) and he was followed home by Bay Of Poets, who wasn’t far behind this horse and Cracksman at Epsom. Luckily there are still cards, not to play, but to analyse. It’s just great to be in a season where so many three-year-olds have a live chance and no doubt in time we will find out exactly where they stand. If Churchill stays the mile and a half he is going to be a very tough nut to crack, but these horses all deserve to take their chances and it’s just great to be going to the party.”

Bin Suroor: “It looks like a 1m2f may be the best trip for Benbatl. He needs to relax more in races for a 1m4f.” Seems unlikely for Derby.

Stoute expressed doubts about Crystal Ocean’s Derby claims before the race and when asked about Epsom, he said: “I wouldn’t (run), but he has an owner that might want to.”

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s