Friday 6.30pm Aintree’s Grand National is upon us again. The one day of the year when everyone talks racing. Who’s Dettori riding? How longs a furlong? What’s each way? I’ve backed the winner for the last five years etc. etc. Time to get in early then hide!
However I’m really strong on todays selections.
Aintree Going Watch – Sun out, I sense watering!
Mildmay and Hurdle – Good
National – Good, Good to Soft in places
(GoingStick: Mildmay 7.0 Hurdle 7.1 National 6.5 on Friday at 11:00)
Watering: Selective watered Mildmay & Hurdle 3mm. Grand National course fences 1 to 6 3mm. All courses will be watered after racing this evening
Saturdays Lucky 15
Aintree 1.45 NO HASSLE HOFF 7/1 PP 6/1 general
Aintree 2.25 MESSIRE DES OBEAUX 13/2 BetFred+ PP 6/1 general
Aintree 3.40 STARCHITECT 7/1 WH 6/1 general
Aintree 6.15 WAKEA 8/1 general
Aintree 1.45: Creeping in at the bottom of the weights is Dan Skelton’s classy novice NO HASSLE HOFF. Since winning his maiden he has form of 322 running behind Wholestone, Constantine Bay and The Worlds End every time in Grade 2 contests. Knowing Dan Skelton’s modus operandi I expect this has been a “plan” for a couple of months. No Hassle Hoff will love the ground, love the trip on a flat track and if like me you are having a single, get on early. Plenty of 10/1 about (3pm Friday) and however if you wait for tomorrow morning you’ll probably get 5 places in shop. Now I’m feeling guilty as it’s 6pm I’m about to put blog online and No HassleHoff is a top priced 7/1 with PP!
Aintree 2.25: I’m sticking with Cheltenham Neptune form and MESSIRE DES OBEAUX who was third and neither of the two that beat him re-oppose. Most of his opponents have taken lesser routes to get to this Grade 1 with the exception of Tolworth winner Finians Oscar whom injury kept him out of Cheltenham and surely the ground and track are going to be too quick for. Of course I have to mention La Bague au Roi, my selection in the mares novice at Cheltenham, who now has a few questions to answer having gone off too fast at the Festival but interesting that she takes on the boys.
Aintree 3.00: Intriguing 2m G1 novice chase as Politologue, fourth in the longer JLT, drops in trip and will he put it up to Charbel, travelling well in the lead when falling two out in the Arkle, and will the pair of them be able to repel San Benedeto and my tentative selection Forest Bihan, He should enjoy the sharper, flatter track but will need a clear round.
Aintree 3.40: STARCHITECT is the selection. I’m not the greatest fan of David Pipe but I sense a Pond House plot here. Classy hurdler who has taken a bit of time to get his act together over fences but he’s a Spring horse who loves a flat track, good ground and although I have a small stamina doubt with 3m 1f the trip here he was staying on at Cheltenham over 2m 5f on his last start in the Brown Advisory Plate.
Aintree 4.20: I am going in again. SUPASUNDAE is made for this. Up to Grade 1, up to 3m but this son of Galileo is some tool as he showed when breezing the Coral Cup at the Festival. Handicap winners have a good record in this race, long may it continue. My head and heart are at one for Robbie Power to continue his winning streak on Jessica Harringtons strapping gelding. They are backing this one as well! Pricewise?
Aintree 5.15: The Grand National covered in my blog on 5th April with the reasons the result will be Definitly Red-Measureofmydreams-Stellar Notion-Thunder and Roses-Cause of Causes!!
Aintree 6.15: I’ve had a good long hard think about this race and WAKEA reminds me of Barizan. Streaks off into a long lead. Barizan almost got away with it in the Triumph and again almost here. Wekea nearly stole the County hurdle at the Festival and although finishing eleventh was only beaten just over five lengths by Arctic Fire. The same talented lad, Donagh Myler claiming 3lbs, rides him here and if he could get his fractions right he might just pull it off at this easier track despite the race being half a mile further.
Fridays Lucky 15
Great start to the Lucky 15. Disappointing in the two grade 1’s but great effort by As De Mee leading running into the last, then finishing 5th!! Daren’t tell you how much that half length may turn out to cost me!! Anyway £31 back for our £15 today.
Aintree 1.40 RATHER BE 1st 10/1 (12/1 PP 10/1 general)
Travelled beautifully just off the pace. Led last, kept on well.
Aintree 2.20 RIVER WYLDE 5th 9/4JF (5/2 BetFred 9/4 general)
Never settled, ran too free. Nothing left turning for home. BHA Stewards “Nico de Boinville, the rider of RIVER WYLDE (IRE), placed fifth, reported that the gelding ran flat.”
Aintree 3.25 GODS OWN 5th 7/2 (7/2 general)
Simply never competitive. Flat.
Aintree 4.05 AS DE MEE 5th 8/1 (12/1 WH 10/1 general)
Great run. Led to the last then backed off it! Caught on the run in, sadly by four others!