Lucky 15 Friday March 31st

Sunday 11.30am Cracking start to the Flat with the Lincoln 1st, 2nd and 5th from three selections! This update is for the prices on todays Lucky 15 at Ascot. The Going in Berkshire is Good whilst Doncaster remains on Good (Good to Soft in places). A lot was made of the draw yesterday and there could be a stampede to the low numbered far side but I’m more convinced that you need to be where the pace is!

A favourite horse of mine runs in the 3.20 at Doncaster, George Bowen, trained by #FantasticMrFahey and ridden by Paul Hanagan. George Bowen could probably do with a bit more give in the ground for ideal conditions but he’s drawn in stall 6 and drops to a C3 so has to be a serious player. He will just need an ounce of luck when coming with his usual late rattle. If you have some winnings from yesterday how about a three star*** win at 11/2 with Ladbrokes or Coral.

Sundays Lucky 15

Ascot 2.00                               TALES OF THE TWEED                       9/2 PP + WH    

Ascot 2.30                               GREGARIOUS                          7/1 Lads 6/1 general     

Ascot 3.05                               BROTHER TEDD                      6/4 general                 

Ascot 4.15                               NO DUFFER                             13/2 general                

and hopefully this is why

Ascot 2.00                               TALES OF THE TWEED            I’ve been waiting for him to reappear since before Christmas as he has shaped well so far and has always been well thought of. He drops back a couple of furlongs here as well as dropping a grade. Trainer Nicky Henderson remains bullish on his stanjames blog. “Tales Of The Tweed made his hurdles debut over course and distance and has been running well. I think this is a nice race for him at this time of the year and I can see him going close.”

Ascot 2.30                               GREGARIOUS 4yo handicap hurdles aren’t the best betting mediums but I think Gregarious could be well in at the weights at a reasonable price not being from a “sexy” yard. Leighton Aspell has got the fractions spot on in his last two races making every yard on Lucy Wadham’s grey and the victory in a C3 handicap at Sandown has been franked by the second Deauville Crystal who bolted up at Newbury this week. Only put up 3lbs gets to race off just 10st 9lbs here. Three of the top four in the weights were well beaten in the Fred Winter at the Cheltenham Festival just a fortnight ago and this is a big ask so soon.

Ascot 3.05                               BROTHER TED Philip Hobbs and Richard Johnson are currently running hot and they had been hopeful for Brother Tedd in the Close Brothers novice handicap chase on day one of the Cheltenham Festival but he just missed the cut and that may turn out to be a blessing in disguise. He’s best going right handed, will enjoy the good ground and as an OR155 rated hurdler has every chance in this competitive C3 novice chase. His second here to Different Gravy makes him a serious player. Richard Johnson Betway blog “There’s a decent card at Ascot on Sunday and the one I’m most looking forward to is Brother Tedd in the novices’ chase. He hasn’t won over fences yet, but has run some decent races and likes it around Ascot. We thought he had a good chance at Cheltenham, so it’s a shame he was balloted out of the novices’ handicap.”

Ascot 4.15                               NO DUFFER Its back to one of my favourite pairings of Adrian Heskin and Tom George with No Duffer having his second go in a Veterans Chase having been run down by Just a Par over two furlongs further at Newbury. He’ll love the Good ground and Ascot will be fine as he a tendency at times to jump right. Many of the opposition seem to be suffering from past tough campaigns although the danger could be last time winner and Good ground lover Al Alfa who steps up in trip for that pesky Hobbs/Johnson combo. Richard Johnson Betway blog “Al Alfa has been a great servant and has his first start of the campaign in the veterans’ chase. He’s in good order at home and will definitely appreciate the surface. He’s one that likes the sun on his back.”

 

Just in case you missed what I blogged on Friday.

Friday 6pm “However obviously had to have a go at the Lincoln handicap. Favourite Yuften is too short at 9/2 from stall 14 and what I know of Town Moor you want to be either lowest five (1-5) stalls or highest five (18-22) and as the pace looks to be on the low side I’ve gone with Ryan Moore, Richard Hannon and Oh This Is Us as a hold up horse from stall two at 14/1 one star* each way at 14/1 with SkyBet 1,2,3,4,5,6  one fifth odds with a one star* win on Dolphin Vista at 14/1 as Fahey seems bullish on his chances, been gelded, possible improvement and Hanagan rides Dolphin Vista in preference to the other four Musley bank inmates and a one star* win on Bravery at 14/1 who races on the other side, drawn 20, for O’Meara and Tudhope, is ex-Coolmore, a son of Galileo and I’m reminded of Mondialiste! All Best Odds Guaranteed of course!”

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