Lucky 15 Friday March 31st

Friday 6.30pm 

Hope you all enjoyed the latest blog “Kevin Blake says you shouldn’t do it” and Part II “You can’t win anything with kids” is on the way.

They are certainly not short of runners at Doncaster for the start of the Flat season but I’ll stick with the Jumps until April 18th at least. Two excellent cards on Sunday, at Fairyhouse and especially Ascot.

However obviously had to have a go at the Lincoln handicap. Favourite Yuften is too short at 9/2 from stall 14 and what I know of Town Moor you want to be either lowest five (1-5) stalls or highest five (18-22) and as the pace looks to be on the low side I’ve gone with Ryan Moore, Richard Hannon and Oh This Is Us as a hold up horse from stall two at 14/1 one star* each way at 14/1 with SkyBet 1,2,3,4,5,6  one fifth odds with a one star* win on Dolphin Vista at 14/1 as Fahey seems bullish on his chances, been gelded, possible improvement and Hanagan rides Dolphin Vista in preference to the other four Musley bank inmates and a one star* win on Bravery at 14/1 who races on the other side, drawn 20, for O’Meara and Tudhope, is ex-Coolmore, a son of Galileo and I’m reminded of Mondialiste! All Best Odds Guaranteed of course!

Right let’s have a look at those tasty Sunday jumping cards.

 

Sundays Lucky 15

No prices available yet. I will update Sunday morning 11am.

Ascot 2.00                               TALES OF THE TWEED                       

Ascot 2.30                               GREGARIOUS 

Ascot 3.05                               BROTHER TEDD                     

Ascot 4.15                               NO DUFFER                            

and hopefully this is why

Ascot 2.00                               TALES OF THE TWEED            I’ve been waiting for him to reappear since before Christmas as he has shaped well so far and has always been well thought of. He drops back a couple of furlongs here as well as dropping a grade. Trainer Nicky Henderson remains bullish on his stanjames blog. “Tales Of The Tweed made his hurdles debut over course and distance and has been running well. I think this is a nice race for him at this time of the year and I can see him going close.”

Ascot 2.30                               GREGARIOUS 4yo handicap hurdles aren’t the best betting mediums but I think Gregarious could be well in at the weights at a reasonable price not being from a “sexy” yard. Leighton Aspell has got the fractions spot on in his last two races making every yard on Lucy Wadham’s grey and the victory in a C3 handicap at Sandown has been franked by the second Deauville Crystal who bolted up at Newbury this week. Only put up 3lbs gets to race off just 10st 9lbs here. Three of the top four in the weights were well beaten in the Fred Winter at the Cheltenham Festival just a fortnight ago and this is a big ask so soon.

Ascot 3.05                               BROTHER TED Philip Hobbs and Richard Johnson are currently running hot and they had been hopeful for Brother Tedd in the Close Brothers novice handicap chase on day one of the Cheltenham Festival but he just missed the cut and that may turn out to be a blessing in disguise. He’s best going right handed, will enjoy the good ground and as an OR155 rated hurdler has every chance in this competitive C3 novice chase. His second here to Different Gravy makes him a serious player. Richard Johnson Betway blog “There’s a decent card at Ascot on Sunday and the one I’m most looking forward to is Brother Tedd in the novices’ chase. He hasn’t won over fences yet, but has run some decent races and likes it around Ascot. We thought he had a good chance at Cheltenham, so it’s a shame he was balloted out of the novices’ handicap.”

Ascot 4.15                               NO DUFFER Its back to one of my favourite pairings of Adrian Heskin and Tom George with No Duffer having his second go in a Veterans Chase having been run down by Just a Par over two furlongs further at Newbury. He’ll love the Good ground and Ascot will be fine as he a tendency at times to jump right. Many of the opposition seem to be suffering from past tough campaigns although the danger could be last time winner and Good ground lover Al Alfa who steps up in trip for that pesky Hobbs/Johnson combo. Richard Johnson Betway blog “Al Alfa has been a great servant and has his first start of the campaign in the veterans’ chase.

He’s in good order at home and will definitely appreciate the surface. He’s one that likes the sun on his back.”

 

Fridays Lucky 15

Not great! Two non-runners for reasons various, one pulled up lame and a sixth!

Wetherby 2.20                       QUIDS IN                                 Non Runner   (3/1 Lads 11/4 general) 

Reason for non participation? Travel! Missed a bus?      

Wetherby 3.20                       SWOOP TO CONQUER           PU 11/1           (6/1 general)

BHA Stewards “The Veterinary Officer reported that SWOOP TO CONQUER (IRE), which pulled up, trained by Nicky Henderson, finished lame on its left fore.”

Fontwell 4.10                         LAND LEAGUE                        Non Runner    (7/2 PP +WH and going fast!)       

Reason for non participation? Going (changed since declaration)

Wetherby 4.20                       OUR DELBOY                          6th 10/1           (6/1 WH 5/1 general 4/1PP?)  

Drifted like a barge but ran OK, beaten about five lengths. May be worth putting in the tracker. 

 

Friday 31 March 2017 Irish Independent Johnny Ward March 31 2017 2:30 AM

Apple’s Jade, second-favourite to Buveur D’Air for the Aintree Hurdle on Thursday, will not run. A brilliant winner in Cheltenham’s Mares’ Hurdle over Vroum Vroum Mag and Limini in a stirring contest, she is to stay at home, with Supasundae now potentially Ireland’s major hope in the Grade One. “Everything is fine with Apple’s Jade but she’s being kept for Ireland later in the season,” Gigginstown’s Eddie O’Leary told the Irish Independent. This race appears at the mercy of Buveur D’Air, a most impressive winner of the Champion Hurdle, though there is a chance that JP McManus will run Jezki in the race too. We’ll see,” said McManus’ racing manager Frank Berry, “but the plan is for Buveur D’Air to run. Jezki is in the three-mile Liverpool Hurdle but there’s a good chance he’ll go in the Aintree Hurdle. More than likely Yanworth will run in the Liverpool Hurdle.”

Gigginstown’s plans for the week are not set in stone, but O’Leary intimated that the operation may run some of its top chasers, and more than may have been expected in the Randox Health Grand National. His brother, Michael, pulled out his better horses from the big race tomorrow week due to a disagreement with senior British handicapper Phil Smith. The O’Leary brothers are still calling for Smith to publish his Irish ratings weekly. Eddie said: “We may run Thunder And Roses, Rogue Angel, Wounded Warrior, Measure Of My Dreams and Roi Des Francs in the National. We’re looking to run Empire Of Dirt And Outlander in the Aintree Bowl, though they’ve it to prove after Cheltenham.” O’Leary added that they would likely run some novices at Aintree, while promising bumper horses Samcro (Fairyhouse) and Poli Roi (Champion Bumper at Punchestown) are likely to be seen again this season.

Meanwhile, connections of The Crafty Butcher, which may run in the Topham at Aintree, have reacted with bemusement after he was hiked up 6lb in Britain after what appeared to be a moderate run at Wexford. The Paddy Power runner-up at Christmas at Leopardstown is owned by rugby stars Ian Madigan and Dominic Ryan, Patrick Mullins and also Paul Byrne, who said: “It’s a curious one, as the 5lb rise he got for Leopardstown kept him out of the Kim Muir. How do you get just a 5lb rise for being second in one of the biggest handicaps of the year, yet 6lb for finishing third in a veterans’ race at Wexford in which the second horse raced from out of the handicap?”

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s