Cheltenham Festival Wednesday 2

Tuesday 6.30pm Well we’ve got our noses in front after a fantastic days racing thanks to Buveur D’Air reading the script and winning .Time is of the essence so lets press on.

GOING:- Chase and hurdle: Good to soft Cross country: Good to soft, good in places (GoingStick: Chase and hurdle 6.5, cross country 7.2 on Tuesday at 11:00) At 2.28pm Tuesday AP etc describing the ground as dead.?

Tuesdays Lucky 15

Cheltenham 2.50       SUPASUNDAE                         16/1 general 6 places with PP

Cheltenham 4.10       CAUSE OF CAUSES                 4/1 general

Cheltenham 4.50       PROSPECTUS                          14/1 general

Cheltenham 5.30       IMPERIAL ELOQUENCE          33/1 Lad and Coral

and hopefully this is why

1.30 Neptune Novices Hurdle 2m 5f

I just can’t get my head round this race. Part of me shares Matt Chapman’s enthusiasm for Neon Wolf and he could be the next superstar and I should lump on but there is a big nagging doubt around the form with Elgin, the quicker ground, the price etc.etc. and I just have a feeling it could be like the Supreme and we get a big priced winner. My heart says Keeper Hill because I love the horse but the formbook says he can’t beat Messire des Obeaux and the stats say neither of them can win because their last run was at Huntingdon. So I am going to go for the least exposed horse in the field, Kemboy. Come Thursday afternoon his second to Let’s Dance may look good and he oozed class on his debut. Danny Mullins is no mean jockey. Small stakes each way preferably with a bookie who’ll give you a free bet if it loses. By the way with this race think Robin Roe and Invitation Only!!

2.10 RSA Novice Chase 3m

I don’t like this race either. I want to take on Might Bite, (jumping, doesn’t look a Cheltenham horse) Alpha des Obeaux (bad bleed last time and last bit of form was a letter), Acapella Bourgois (last win by a street and the form stinks), Bellshill (doesn’t act at Cheltenham). How about Royal Vacation as a course winner who loves picking up the pieces? Small stakes each way preferably with a bookie who’ll give you a free bet if it loses.

2.50 Coral Cup 2m 5f Handicap Hurdle

This is an excellent race and I’m convinced that Tombstone is in the wrong race as there is nothing in his form that says he’ll be suited by 2m5f. I am keen to take him on and I’m looking for a horse on the up, that hasn’t been hit by the handicapper, preferably with form in Graded races, acts on Spring ground, horse, trainer and jockey in form and has experience of course and big fields. I’ve come up with two to take on the field.

SUPASUNDAE – Trained by Jessica Harrington ridden by Robbie Power for the Potts who paid an arm and a leg to take him off the Baldings. He has been on my radar since he won an Ascot bumper that had the likes of Yanworth and Thistlecrack in arrears! He was seventh to Altior in last years very strong Supreme, three places and less than two lengths behind Tombstone who he meets on 1lb better terms here. BUT Supasundae is sure to be suited by this trip as when stepped up he beat Monksland “easily” at Punchestown on New Years Eve since then he has been second in a G3 and fourth in a G2, he is a flat bred son of Galileo and will go on the ground. Lots to like! Two star** each way.

PEREGRINE RUN – This was the first horse to go in my notebook this season when lesser Irish trainer Peter Fahey sent Peregrine Run over for the G2 Neptune trial on good ground at Cheltenham and he comfortably beat Wholestone and West Approach, form which has just got stronger through the season. In my notebook I wrote “Coral Cup” not Neptune and I’m thrilled he lines up. He ticks every box. His run behind Willoughby Court at a muddy Warwick was OK, he just needs better ground. One star* win.

3.30 Champion Chase 2m

Douvan wins. Great to watch but not interested in having a bet, for or against. As Tom Segal so rightly pointed out, “Best horse is in the worst race.”

4.10 Cross Country 3m6f

Not my favourite event but it is a challenge. The unique course can reform some questionable characters as is the case with favourite Cantlow. Enda Bolger is the man for the race, has a duplicate course in his back garden, and also saddles Auvergnat, Colour Squadron and Quantitiveasing which is some team. Sausolito Sunrise for Philip Hobbs has done me more than one favour but he’ll be a trifle confused by this course. Class act who could have these for breakfast if he takes to it, the trainer worked wonders with Balthazar King! However time to confess I’ve backed Cause of Causes a while back after he came over to have a go at the end of January, was never put in the race and it looked an old fashioned school to me. The horse is a two time Festival winner, loves the Spring and has since been back to properly school twice in two days during the PtP sales. Trained by Gordon Elliott with JJ Codd in the saddle and there has been a shed load of money for him at double figure prices but could I put him up at 7/2 now? I don’t think so. However has to go in the Lucky 15.

4.50 Fred Winter 2m 4yo Handicap Hurdle

You have got to be a brave man to get too involved in a twenty two runner 2m 4yo handicap! Three against the field.

Fidux – 3rd in the Graded Adonis at Kempton. Alan King does well with his juveniles and this looks an improver. One star win *

Dreamcatching – Paul Nicholls likes this race. This one could be anything and it’s on the right mark. One star win *

Prospectus – Another I popped in my notebook when she won at Fairyhouse before Christmas. I like the trainer, Gavin Cromwell, and Ruby Walsh is a very positive booking. Could be on a very fair mark. Two star win **

5.30 Champion Bumper 2m

Would want to take on the favourite, Carter McKay, as I think he will get done for speed. Plenty to choose from and I’m split between two for diverse reasons. Someday trained by Jessica Harrington because Ruby Walsh and Davy Russell have both at some stage suggested he could be the best Irish trained horse in this race and Imperial Eloquence trained by Fergal O’Brien who I believe has the strongest set of bumper horses in Britain and he has been saving this one for this race. One star win * each

Tuesday Review

1.30 That’s the way to start! Slow time, winner refused to race on his last three starts having won a G3 under Ruby Walsh, Ballyandy possibly unlucky for the same connections that were unlucky with The New One back in the day. On English form Neon Wolf could have been a close up third?

2.10 Workmanlike if not exuberant. Like last years Supreme with Charbel leading him into the straight. Great run by Cloudy Dream and Forest Bihan missed the third last out. Green shoots for the north. Altiors leap at the fourth last was prodigious!

2.50 Excellent staying handicap chase and the form looks strong.

3.30 The blog couldn’t be happier. Buveur D’Air travelled like a dream and that’s two winners out of last year’s Supreme already. I did tell you.

“Mark Walsh, the rider of YANWORTH, unplaced, reported that the gelding was unsuited by the slow early pace.”

4.10 Top three mares fought it out but I would still have all three a stone below Annie Power.

4.50 Find it hard to believe that a horse with the Triumph hurdle on his CV can win a 4m NH chase! All power to Mr Elliotts elbow!

5.30 Not impossible to find, Tully East, but I just had no faith in the current form of Fleming and O’Reagan!

Wednesdays bets

2.50 Supasundae ** e/w (16/1 general 6 places with PP) Peregrine Run * (11/1 PP 9/1 general)

4.50 Prospectus ** (14/1 general) Fidux * (33/1 PP + Coral) Dreamcatching* (12/1 general)

5.30 Someday* (9/1 PP 8/1 general) Imperial Eloquence* (33/1 WH)

Total 11 stars

 

Tuesdays Lucky 15

Cheltenham 2.50       THE DRUIDS NEPHEW                        7th 10/1

Lost place on second circuit but kept on. Could be a Grand National player.

Cheltenham 3.30       BUVEUR D’AIR                        1st 5/1

Read the script perfectly. Jumped, travelled, quickened and whizzed up the hill!

Cheltenham 4.50       BEWARE THE BEAR                7th 9/2

Not Sam Waley-Cohens finest ride rammed against the inside and too far back. Horse never got in a rhythm. Did well to get 7th having been heavily backed into 9/2!

Cheltenham 5.30       ALL HELL LET LOOSE              PU 14/1

Never went a yard as his jumping inexperience was cruelly exposed.

 

Tuesdays bets

2.50 The Druids Nephew ** (10/1 general)             7th 10/1

Lost place on second circuit but kept on. Could be a Grand National player.

2.50 Holywell * (11/1 BF + Lad) PU 10/1

Not a going day! Jumping errors and soon pulled up.

2.50 Noble Endeavor *(10/1 PP) 3rd 15/2

Every chance between the last two. Solid third.

3.30 Buveur D’Air *** (11/2 PP) 1st 5/1

Read the script perfectly. Jumped, travelled, quickened and whizzed up the hill!

3.30 Brain Power * (15/2 PP) 9th 13/2

Travelled well to three out then went out like a light. Hope he’s OK.

4.50 Beware the Bear *** (8/1 WH) 7th 9/2

Not Sam Waley-Cohens finest ride rammed against the inside and too far back. Horse never got in a rhythm. Did well to get 7th having been heavily backed into 9/2!

4.50 Haymount* (20/1 PP, Lad, Cor) 3rd 33/1

Fabulous run from a horse that made a string of jumping errors.

5.30 All Hell Let Loose* (22/1 Lad) PU 9/2

Never went a yard as his jumping inexperience was cruelly exposed.

5.30 Burtons Well* (20/1 WH) Fell 8/1

Another one well supported but as a prominent racer could never get better than midfield. Crashing fall as the race for home started.

Total stake 14 stars Total return 21.5 stars

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