Lucky 15 March 6th

Wednesday 6.00pm Really enjoyed doing the Supreme Hurdle blog this morning, so much so that I might have a go at the other impossible puzzle on Day One of the Cheltenham Festival, the Champion Hurdle. I am convinced they will go 7/2 the field on Tuesday morning. Amazing!

Racing is a bit better tomorrow with cards at Thurles, Wincanton and Carlisle so we will have a go at the Lucky 15.

Thursday Lucky 15

Carlisle 2.35                            MASSINI’S LADY                                 5/1 WH 9/2 general

Wincanton 2.55                     SARTORIAL ELEGANCE                      6/1 11/2 general

Carlisle 3.45                            DARTFORD WARBLER                       5/2 Lads 9/4 general    

Thurles 4.55                            PLAIN TALKING                                  8/1 general

 and here’s why

 Carlisle 2.35                            MASSINI’S LADY The yard of Nick Alexander is in red hot form, seven runners in the last fourteen days and FIVE winners. This daughter of Dr Massini makes her chasing debut in a handicap off a mark of just OR78 in the capable hands of the experienced Brian Harding. She is better than that!

Wincanton 2.55                     SARTORIAL ELEGANCE Colin Tizzard runs three and I’m going for the one that Tom O’Brien gets the leg up on. He won a C4 at Plumpton over this trip and the handicapper put him up a stone. Was travelling well in the Sussex National when unfortunate enough to be unsighted and unseated his rider. Disappointing last time in a hot race behind Alfie Spinner over 3F further here at Wincanton tiring late on. He is down three pounds and as a 6yo may have more improvement to come. Trip and grade are fine and should go well if he handles the forecast Heavy ground.

Carlisle 3.45                            DARTFORD WARBLER Carlisle, heavy ground, handicap chase. Is Danny Cook riding for Sue Smith? Problem solved. I expect Dartford Warbler to take advantage of this drop in grade, bounce out and make every yard.

Thurles 4.55                            PLAIN TALKING She may have top weight but she knows how to win which is more than you can say for most of her opponents! Goes in the ground and five pound claimer JB Kane knows the horse and with a little restraint she should get the trip. Last time she tried it she was fourth in a Grade B handicap at Galway.

 Cheltenham News starts right here!

Antepost Racing‏ @AntepostRacing   Romain De Senam needs 5 to drop out to get into the Novice Chase

JumpsRacing.co.uk‏ @CheltenhamNews   Mark Walsh booked to ride Movewiththetimes in the Supreme Novices Hurdle next week.

Rory Delargy‏ @helynsar  “It wouldn’t be my usual stance, I wouldn’t be against both Limini and Vroum Vroum Mag taking each other on.” – Interesting line from Ricci.

Guardian Chris Cook Wednesday 8 March 2017 13.57 GMT The absence of Limini may make Moon Racer a more likely participant in the Champion Hurdle, rather than the Supreme Novice Hurdle, for which he is prominent in the betting. David Pipe, his trainer, said on Wednesday morning that the identity of any supplementary entries in the Champion would be one of the key details he would consider in choosing a target for Moon Racer. In the event, no supplementary entries have been made. “He went well in a racecourse gallop at Wincanton the other day,” Pipe said of Moon Racer. “We’ll sit down with Tom Scudamore and the owners on Friday or Saturday and make a decision.”

Racing Post Stuart Riley 3:00PM, MAR 8 2017 Gavin Cromwell has yet to saddle a festival winner but he brings several live chances to this year’s meeting. Prospectus, who is in the Fred Winter. He is a best-priced 20-1 but Cromwell has booked the festival’s winning most jockey Ruby Walsh for the ride.

Peter Fahey is another Irish trainer seeking his first success at the meeting and he has his stable star Peregrine Run in the Coral Cup and the Albert Bartlett. At Cheltenham in November he whacked Wholestone and West Approach and that pair, now rated 145 and 157, are 6-1 shots for the Grade 1 on Friday whereas Peregrine Run, who needs good ground to be seen at his best, is a 25-1 shot. That is in part because given that piece of form – over the Coral Cup course and distance no less – he is arguably extremely well treated off a mark of 142 and consequently is just 12-1 joint third favourite for the day two handicap.

David Mullins Racing FX blog One that I will be riding is Brain Power for Nicky Henderson.  I schooled him at Seven Barrows on Friday morning and he was brilliant.  I think he is a big price in a very open race, if he gets some reasonable ground he will take a lot of beating, he is a straight forward character and he is improving all the time.  I think the Champion Hurdle will suit him, we haven’t seen his limit yet. I should be on board Some Plan in the Arkle and with a Grade One under his belt last time he heads there with the right profile.  Monalee will take his chance in the Neptune or the Albert Bartlett but which one will depend on how the races are looking next week.  He’s a chaser in the making but I think he has a good chance in either race next week. I will be making my Gold Cup debut next Friday (Outlander I think. Ed) and for me, Cue Card heads the field with some exceptional form.  However, as he showed at the top of the hill last year, anything can happen and I’m hoping it can! Good luck to everyone involved!

Next week I will be doing a joint interview with Paul Townend every day. Catch it all on RacingFX Facebook and Twitter.

 

Twitter news from the previews

Tuesday Night Newcastle Racecourse – Sponsors StarSports – Panel Graham Wylie

Liam Hedgecock‏ @therealhedgy   Positive news about Invitation Only – sparked for the first time in a while last week and may come over. Still not a definite runner though.

Yorkhill is going JLT as Graham has just told the audience to “fill your boots” – “he’s a monster”!

Nichols Canyon not staying at home – he goes to Cheltenham along with Shaneshill to represent Graham in the Stayers’ Hurdle!

Merie Devie MAJOR doubt for the Triumph Hurdle. Probably won’t run after disappointing yesterday.

Ballyward out of Cheltenham.

 

Noel Fehily: Would have to be very soft for #NeonWolf to go Supreme.

 

FESTIVAL GOING Good to soft, soft in places (GoingStick: 6.7 on Tuesday at 13:00)

matt tombs‏ @thespieler   On this day last year there was over an inch of rain at Cheltenham. Annie won champion in record time. It dries out faster than many think

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