Lucky 15 March 7th

Tuesday 6.00pm Ever tried buying Gucci in Primark? Well I’ve looked at the jumps cards tomorrow at Fontwell and Catterick and it’s poor quality, small fields on dodgy ground and I refuse to even look at a sand card before Cheltenham. So sorry guys but no Lucky 15 for Wednesday but I will try to blog a Mad March Musing tomorrow (Wednesday) for the Supreme Novice hurdle by Noon. This blog has a review of today’s Lucky 15 and some more twitter news including some incisive stuff from Gordon Elliott at the Sean Graham Preview in Belfast on Monday night!

Tuesday Lucky 15

Why we love Lucky 15’s and Best Odds guaranteed! Three losers, one winner, we took 13/8, SP 4/1 and we get £13 of our £15 back!

Exeter 2.20                             MIDNIGHT REQUEST                         3rd 7/2 (7/2 Lads 3/1 general)

RP “Chased winner most of way, ridden after 7th, 1 length down when hit 2 out, soon no extra”. Acceptable.

Exeter 3.50                             LOWER HOPE DANDY                                    1st 4/1 (13/8 general)

Took a huge walk in the market, what an SP! Led 6 fences out, in rhythm, and too good for these, hacked up!

Newcastle 4.10                       WITNESS TIME                                   Fell 18/1 (4/1 general)

Another with zero market support. Keen early. Got the fourth flight all wrong and fell. Should make a staying chaser in time!

Exeter 4.50                             MISTER BIG                                         5th 9/2 (5/2 BF 9/4 general)

RP “mounting challenge when short of room and clipped heels after 4th, never travelling after, weakened after 3 out, hit next, tailed off”. Another to take a walk in the market.

 Cheltenham News starts right here!

Twitter Tues am March 7th

@RacingPost  10.30am Tuesday  Daphne Du Clos, second favourite for the Weatherbys Champion Bumper, will miss the race, trainer Nicky Henderson has disclosed.

Rory Delargy‏ @helynsar  12 noon “We’ve simply decided that she’s not going to cope with it” is a very different message than the one fed to journos last week. #DaphneDuClos

Nicky Henderson‏ @sevenbarrows Daphne Du Clos has picked up a tiny problem which rules her out of @CheltenhamRaces Bumper. It’s a terrible shame but she’ll be back next yr

gaultstats‏ @gaultstats  Mon 6th March pm Belfast Preview

Gary O’Brien, David Casey (Mullins assistant), Gordon Elliott, Couch (Mark Winstanley), Richard Hoiles (Commentator), Noel Fehily, Neil Mulholland, B Graham (Bookmaker) CODE – GO, C, DC, GE, NF NM, BG, RH, BG.

Supreme Novice Hurdle

NF Scu very keen on Moon Racer. NM no runners. DC Melon ran in five schooling hurdles. Couch indignant about no public knowledge of those. BG Supreme not as good as last year. River Wylde value after beating Elgin. C has Elgin at 50s

Champion Hurdle

Limini decision 12 noon Wed. BG gig Brain Power. 165 enough. GE Petit will go too fast. Yanworth fan. Tombstone hcap if M oleary allows.

Neptune Novice Hurdle

RH Finians no longer value. Neon the one. NF ideal trip for Neon. Good turn of foot Hayd. Tolworth was dreadful. GE Shattered Love likes distance. Runs in this. And Brelade. Likes Monalee Couch all over Neon. Great race for favs. DC Kemboy not decide where yet. Bacardys interrupted prep in Deloitte. 6th choice of stable that day. Monalee needs to step up on form. GE Brelade needs longer trip. Ew chance. RH Thomas Campbell working well. BG slower horses go to Albert. Willie great record. Neon hyped.

Champion Bumper

DC only runs two Carter Mc Kay Next Destination. Chance. No real confidence. Likes Someday form. GE no runner. Says Carter form poor

Ryanair Chase

GE says Empire is his best GC horse. Thats interesting.

Alfred Bartlett Novice Hurdle

DC thinks Kate would have beaten D Duty at Naas. Runs in this. Penhill jumping improved at home. GE thinks DDuty would have won. Went away. GE loves D Duty. Last time I heard him talk like this the horse was Don Cossack  Jack Kennedy didn’t try too hard to put distance on rest.

Gold Cup

GE Djakadam is a good thing. Native River beat nothing horse. Outlander not good enough. Irish GC. If Don Poli makes running then ‘fuck me’. DC rode Djakadam at work. Flying. Cue Card no chance. Left race in Betfair Chase. N River not good enough. EW chance to More Of That.

Best Bets Neil Mulholland?

Impulsive Star good season Southfield Royale in Kim Muir down 6lbs. 4 miler form. Druids Nephew Ultima same rating as win.

Best Bets David Casey?

DC Yorkhill Nap schooled well Leop. JLT. Lets Dance nov mares. Nothing well hcapped in hcaps. Maybe Tin Soldier

Best Bets Noel Fehily?

NF Druids Nephew and Divin Bere Fred Winter.

Best Bets Gordon Elliott?

GE Noble Endeavour Ew. Tiger Roll 4 miler has worked well. Needs Jamie Codd and good ground. Tombstone runs in Coral or Ch Hurdle. Cause of Cause if good ground big chance in  x country. Jury Duty too much weight. Diamond King wind op. Diamond King to take all the beating. Mick Jazz ew County. The Storyteller will win Martin Pipe. D Myler ride. Game Changer no chance. GE treble Cause of Causes, death duty and storyteller.

Best Bets Gary O’Brien?

forge meadow, noble endeavour.

 Racing Post Brian Sheerin 9:00AM, MAR 7 2017  Barry Connell believes he will be represented by his “best ever team” at Cheltenham next week, where he expects to have at least six or seven runners spearheaded by Martello Tower. The 2015 Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle winner has multiple entries but is more than likely to tackle the National Hunt Chase, for which he is a general 14-1 shot.

“Martello Tower had a couple of little issues recently but seems to be back to his best and we took him to Leopardstown on Sunday, where he really pleased us in his work after racing,” said Connell. “He’s more than likely going to run in the National Hunt Chase and we know he stays up the hill so we’re looking forward to a big run from him.”

Connell believes Bakmaj, who finished second to Carter McKay in a Leopardstown bumper at Christmas before winning impressively at that track in January, has all the right qualities for the Weatherbys Champion Bumper. He said: “On form there’s not much between him and Carter McKay, who is favourite for the race, yet our lad is 20-1. I think Bakmaj has everything you need for the Champion Bumper. He has tactical speed, stays well and has a lovely temperament. We will probably run two in the race and Zaheer could join him. He’s a very nice horse in his own right, but Bakmaj is our number one.”

Usuel Smurfer looks another interesting Connell contender, and the Alan Fleming-trained horse is a general 16-1 shot for the Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase. “I’d be surprised if he doesn’t overturn the form with Auvergnat on their Punchestown run last time because Usuel Smurfer loves better ground and should come on plenty for that,” said the owner. “We expect to have runners in handicaps as well. Velvet Maker goes for the Grand Annual, and we could run Balbir Du Mathan and Tully East as well. Our whole season revolves around Cheltenham and we have our best ever team going there in terms of strength in depth.”

sportinglife.com Brian Hughes hopes for flying start at Cheltenham March 07 2017, 12:20 Brian Hughes is hoping to get next week’s Cheltenham Festival off a flyer when he has three rides on Tuesday’s opening card. Hughes, who is the north’s leading jockey this season with 123 winners, teams up with Malcolm Jefferson’s Cloudy Dream and Cyrius Darius in two of the showpiece races but is particularly keen on Double W’s in the Close Brothers Novices’ Handicap Chase. The seven-year-old has had a decent first campaign over fences, winning at Carlisle and Wetherby as well as finishing second to Upsilon Bleu at Doncaster on his latest start after a poor effort at Newbury. “Cloudy Dream goes for the Arkle. There’s a hot favourite in there, but hopefully he can run well,” Hughes told At The Races. “Cyrius Darius is in the Champion Hurdle. Obviously it’s an open race and he has got to improve again, but hopefully he’ll run well. And in the last, the novices’ handicap chase, I ride Double W’s. He’s a horse we love and has been running well. He’s had one poor run at Newbury, but apart from that all his runs have been pretty good. We thought he was harshly done to early on in handicaps because he’d won a few OK handicaps. He won them well, but got put up a lot. Thankfully the handicapper left him on 140 after his last run, which was a good run. I have those three rides the first day and two the second. I’m not sure about the rest of the week.”

sportinglife.com Warren Greatrex fancies La Bague Au Roi at Cheltenham March 07 2017, 12:23 The Lambourn handler took several of his team for next week to a rain-sodden Newbury on Sunday morning, with the Trull House Stud Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle entrant particularly pleasing him as she went through her paces with Sidney Banks winner Keeper Hill. A decision on the latter’s participation in the Neptune Novices’ Hurdle will not be made until Friday, when the trainer meets with owner Max McNeil. “It all went very well,” said Greatrex. “There were no problems with the horses, only the weather – it was a filthy morning. We won’t decide about Keeper Hill until Friday as his owner is busy this week and that’s the first time we can talk about it. We took half a dozen of the Cheltenham horses. La Bague Au Roi actually worked with Keeper Hill and while I’ve always thought she didn’t want it soft, she went through it very nicely. I’d purposefully given her a mid-winter break. She hasn’t run since November, but she appears to have strengthened up for her time off. Western Ryder (Bumper) didn’t need to work. He’ll do his last piece at home, but he looks to have improved again since his last race. I think the hurly-burly of the race and the track will suit him. Cole Harden also went, but sloshing through mud has never really been his thing. In saying that, he seemed to really enjoy it and he came back very fresh. I’d say La Bague Au Roi is my best chance going there as everything we have asked her to do she has done easily. You just wouldn’t know how good she might be yet. Fingers crossed they all get there.”

 

FESTIVAL GOING Clerk of the course Simon Claisse does not expect any significant changes to ground conditions with the Cheltenham Festival now just over a week away. The going is currently described as good to soft on the Old Course, which is used on the Tuesday and Wednesday, and good to soft, good in places on the New Course for Thursday and Friday. Claisse said: “The forecast remains unsettled, with bits and pieces of rain coming in during the course of the next week amounting to somewhere between nine and 11 millimetres. I wouldn’t expect much change in the going between now and the start of the Festival. For Festival week we’re looking at temperatures of around 10C with little bits of rain here and there. But as I’ve said before, the weather has been so volatile this winter and forecasts change every day, so there is uncertainty, but nothing of concern. I haven’t changed the ground from Sunday, so it’s good to soft on the Old Course and good to soft, good in places on the New Course and the cross-country course. We’re very happy with where we are. The course looks in fantastic shape.”

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