Wednesday 6pm Paddy Power have priced up the first three races at Clonmel tomorrow at 4/11, 8/11 and 4/9! That’s Run for Dave who I think is on a very tasty English OR of 137, so cosy win please Mr Kennedy! Kate Appleby Shoes an 8yo in a mare’s maiden hurdle for Willie and Ruby. The third is the most interesting being Chambord du Lys (Supreme Racing/Willie/Ruby), a mare in a 2m maiden hurdle against the boys. She should have won last time but propped at the last and Ruby was round her neck and still only got beaten three parts. Personally I would like her to hack up with a silky round of jumping and put her name forward for the mares Novice at Cheltenham and Airlie Beach (same owners) can take her rightful place in the Supreme!
Better quality horses at Kelso and Leicester but no quantity so I am going to have a go at finding four that could turn these odds on shots over. Small stakes tomorrow boys and girls! I’ve got updates from Warren Greatrex and JP O’Brien tacked on below plus the weights for this year’s Grand National! I spoil you, I really do!
Thursday Lucky 15
Kelso 1.55 SPANISH FLEET 10/3 general
Kelso 2.25 ONE FOR HARRY 9/2 general
Kelso 4.40 SOME REIGN 9/4 general
Leicester 3.45 WINNER MASSAGOT 9/4 general
and here’s why
Kelso 1.55 SPANISH FLEET Good news for Ben Haslam, JP McManus is sending you a horse. Bad news is it’s Hawkhurst the definitive screw!We’ll take a chance that the canny Brian Hughes can conjure a run out of Spanish Fleet who is bred to just about get a mile on the Flat on Soft ground. The two at the head of the market look beatable. Vicenzo Mio looks hard to win with and Takingrisks isn’t the safest of conveyances.
Kelso 2.25 ONE FOR HARRY Knockara Beau and I went to school together and I’m only days off a bus pass! Born Survivor is a gorgeous horse for the Skeltons but I promised myself I wouldn’t back him until he went chasing. So is it the C3 handicap winner trying to nick a C2 Conditions event or the really classy Cyrius darius having his second run back after a long break for injury, possible “bounce” factor? Price says it has to be the nine year old Gordon Richards handicapper!
Kelso 4.40 SOME REIGN Two nice bumper winners take each other on in the finale and I was mightily impressed by Some Reign last time and once again Graham Lee makes the trek north for the one ride. The horse he beat by five lengths last time giving seven pounds has hacked up next time at Warwick.
Leicester 3.45 WINNER MASSAGOT May be a bridesmaid but I thought his run at Doncaster suggested he was a winner waiting to happen in one of these Novices Limited Handicaps and I’m delighted to see Noel Fehily in the saddle, no one riding consistently better at the minute!
Wednesday Lucky 15
Blow out today, two seconds and a couple of nowhere! I’d put Thisonetime in your tracker, more to come on better ground and especially when he sees a fence!
Newcastle 2.20 THISONETIME 2nd 6/5F
Very leggy, scopey type. Prominent, novice at hurdles. Led by 4l turning for home, very slow ballooned second last, out-battled run in.
Towcester 2.40 WHAT A MARE 5th 4/1
Prominent, too keen early, settled midfield, every chance but couldn’t go with them up the hill.
Towcester 3.10 YANMARE 2nd 7/2
Drifted like a barge in the market. Kept wide course throughout but close enough two out but beats the favourite and second to a sixteen race maiden!
Newcastle 4.20 CLAN LEGEND 3rd 3/1
Led, niggled turning for home, joined four out, faded.
14.02.17 Warren Greatrex Stable Blog KEEPER HILL COULD HAVE AN EXCITING FUTURE
“Since I last did a blog the horses have really hit top form and are in rude health which is fantastic!!! We have had 7 winners in the last 10 days and have also had some really good placed horses. This is a real team effort to have them all running well at a really tough time of year with the weather. We tend to be a bit quiet in January and February but this year they have continued in good form. We were slow to get into our stride so I would think that has something to do with it and that the team have kept them healthy which is paramount!
Keeper Hill showed what a good horse he is and how exciting he could be in the future with a great win at Huntingdon in the Sydney Banks beating a good field. He is in at Cheltenham but my farther initial thoughts are that he may not be quite ready for it but I will discuss it further with his owners and see but Aintree may be better this season.
Petticoat Tails looks another exciting mare who can follow on from La Bague Au Roi and The Nipper from last season. She looks really smart and could be a real star in the future!
Lovenormoney put up a really tough performance at Uttoxeter in attrittional conditions to get off the mark under rules. He looks a thorough stayer who will make up into a lovely chaser.
On Saturday I was particularly happy with Western Ryder. He did not win the listed bumper at Newbury but put up a mighty performance giving a Nicky Henderson flying machine 21 lb!! He has booked his place at Cheltenham where I think he will perform even better!
News on other Cheltenham possibles.
Cole Harden is absolutely bouncing and is on course to try and regain his crown.
Black Thunder runs on Thursday at Kelso where he will try and qualify for the Foxhunters.
Paint the Clouds runs at Doncaster where he will try and win the race for the 3rd successive year. He is in serious form!!
Final Choice may run at Haydock on Saturday before heading to either the Fred Winter or Triumph.
Gavin is back from injury and is riding well! Just in time for the spring! Harry unfortunately will be out for a while longer.
Deserter, GVS Irportensa and Knight Bachelor have arrived or are about to arrive back for their spring and summer campaigns. They are looking great and are a very important part of the team as they can hopefully continue where others have done.
Let’s hope our hot streak can continue over the next couple of months as these are the most important!!
JP O’Brien update from weekend courtesy of Racing Post. Brian Sheerin 1:51PM, FEB 15 2017
Housesofparliament, Joseph O’Brien’s one-time ante-post favourite for the JCB Triumph Hurdle, is likely to miss Cheltenham and the rest of his juvenile campaign after suffering an injury when disappointing at Leopardstown on Sunday, his trainer has revealed. The St Leger third suffered a cut when finishing seventh of eight, some 43 lengths behind Mega Fortune, in the Grade 1 Spring Juvenile Hurdle. O’Brien, who also saddled the sixth, Bhutan, and last, Sword Fighter, said: “Housesofparliament is likely to be out of Cheltenham and probably the rest of the season. He suffered a nasty cut to his knee in the Grade 1 Spring Juvenile Hurdle at Leopardstown. I’m not sure as to when exactly the incident took place in the race. It’s quite a bad cut and we will need to give him a few weeks before re-examining it. Hopefully he will be ok but at this stage I would say it is likely that he will be out for the remainder of the season now. Bhutan was having just his first start over hurdles at Leopardstown and should learn from that but Sword Fighter was probably a little bit disappointing.” O’Brien still has Landofhopeandglory, whose price ranges from 10-1 to 20-1, for the Cheltenham Grade 1 and added: “Landofhopeandglory remains an exciting horse in the juvenile hurdle ranks but he will need to run once more before we make any Cheltenham plans for him. We plan on running him in a Grade 3 juvenile hurdle at Fairyhouse later this month and then make a plan from there.”
O’Brien also trains West Coast Time, who is fifth in the betting for the Weatherbys Champion Bumper. He chased home the ante-post favourite Carter McKay at Naas on Saturday and O’Brien revealed plans for him were also undecided: “Things are just a little bit up in the air with him at present,” he said. “I thought he ran well behind a very good horse in Carter McKay at Naas on Saturday but it was a very messy race and we are just not sure whether Cheltenham will be on the agenda or not for him now. We will make a decision closer to the time.”
15th Feb. 2017 GRAND NATIONAL WEIGHTS Sat. April 8th
With Outlander a non-runner horses down to 41 guaranteed a run and Chief Handicapper Phil Smith thinks from number 69 upwards have a chance of starting.
Number Horse Weight Trainer
1 Outlander 11-10 (166) Gordon Elliott IRE
2 Champagne West 11-09 Henry de Bromhead IRE
3 Empire Of Dirt 11-08 Gordon Elliott IRE
4 Don Poli 11-07 Gordon Elliott IRE
5 Carlingford Lough 11-06 John Kiely IRE
6 The Last Samuri 11-05 Kim Bailey
7 Alary 11-04 Colin Tizzard
8 Alelchi Inois 11-03 Willie Mullins IRE
9 Minella Rocco 11-02 Jonjo O’Neill
10 Devils Bride 11-01 Henry de Bromhead IRE
11 More Of That 11-01 (157) Jonjo O’Neill
12 Lord Scoundrel 11-00 Gordon Elliott IRE
13 Perfect Candidate 11-00 Fergal O’Brien
14 Saphir Du Rheu 11-00 Paul Nicholls
15 Shantou Flyer 11-00 Rebecca Curtis
16 Road To Riches 10-13 Noel Meade IRE
17 Sausalito Sunrise 10-13 Philip Hobbs
18 Carole’s Destrier 10-12 Neil Mulholland
19 Clarcam 10-12 Gordon Elliott IRE
20 Foxrock 10-12 Ted Walsh IRE
21 Roi Des Francs 10-12 (154) Gordon Elliott IRE
22 Wonderful Charm 10-11 Paul Nicholls
23 Wounded Warrior 10-11 Noel Meade IRE
24 Blaklion 10-10 Nigel Twiston-Davies
25 Drop Out Joe 10-10 Charlie Longsdon
26 Tenor Nivernais 10-10 Venetia Williams
27 Tiger Roll 10-10 Gordon Elliott IRE
28 A Toi Phil 10-09 Gordon Elliott IRE
29 Le Mercurey 10-09 Paul Nicholls
30 The Game Changer 10-09 Gordon Elliott IRE
31 Cause Of Causes 10-08 (150) Gordon Elliott IRE
32 Maggio 10-08 Patrick Griffin IRE
33 Regal Encore 10-08 Anthony Honeyball
34 The Young Master 10-08 Neil Mulholland
35 Definitly Red 10-07 Brian Ellison
36 Double Shuffle 10-07 Tom George
37 Houblon Des Obeaux 10-07 Venetia Williams
38 Pleasant Company 10-07 Willie Mullins IRE
39 Ucello Conti 10-07 Gordon Elliott IRE
40 Vieux Lion Rouge 10-07 David Pipe
41 Ballynagour 10-06 (148) David Pipe
42 Highland Lodge 10-06 James Moffatt
43 Junction Fourteen 10-06 Emma Lavelle
44 O’Faolains Boy 10-06 Rebecca Curtis
45 One For Arthur 10-06 Lucinda Russell
46 Vivaldi Collonges 10-06 Paul Nicholls
47 Bishops Road 10-05 Kerry Lee
48 Lord Windermere 10-05 Jim Culloty IRE
49 Saint Are 10-05 Tom George
50 Vicente 10-05 Paul Nicholls
51 Vics Canvas 10-05 (147) Dermot McLoughlin IRE
52 Ziga Boy 10-05 Alan King
53 Just A Par 10-04 Paul Nicholls
54 Measureofmydreams 10-04 Noel Meade IRE
55 Raz De Maree 10-04 Gavin Cromwell IRE
56 Stellar Notion 10-04 Henry de Bromhead IRE
57 As De Mee 10-03 Paul Nicholls
58 Cocktails At Dawn 10-03 Nicky Henderson
59 Pendra 10-03 Charlie Longsdon
60 Rogue Angel 10-03 Mouse Morris IRE
61 Seventh Sky 10-03 (145) Charlie Mann
62 Shutthefrontdoor 10-03 Jonjo O’Neill
63 Gas Line Boy 10-02 Ian Williams
64 Goodtoknow 10-02 Kerry Lee
65 The Romford Pele 10-02 Rebecca Curtis
66 Thunder And Roses 10-02 Mouse Morris IRE
67 Triolo D’Alene 10-02 Nicky Henderson
68 Vieux Morvan 10-02 (144) Isabelle Pacault FR
69 Doctor Harper 10-01 David Pipe
70 Gallant Oscar 10-01 Tony Martin IRE
71 La Vaticane 10-01 (143) David Pipe
72 Bless The Wings 10-00 Gordon Elliott IRE
73 Tour Des Champs 10-00 Samuel Drinkwater