Lucky 15 January 23rd Part 1

5.00pm Brookhouse, O’Regan, Kennedy, Flat tracks, horses running on etc. etc. So much to discuss after weekend you lucky people, I am going to have to do this in two parts! My thoughts from the weekend revolving around the lucky 15 and some heads up information for the week ahead in part 1. Tomorrows Lucky 15 selections at Wetherby in Part 2 in about an hour’s time.

Weekend Lucky 15

Saturday Haydock 2.05                     NEON WOLF                           11/4 WH 5/2 general     1st 4/5

Saturday Haydock 3.15                     VINTAGE CLOUDS                  10/1 general                      Fell 9/1

Sunday Leopardstown 2.40              STELLAR NOTION                   13/2 PP 6/1 general        2nd 5/1

Sunday Leopardstown 3.10              GOLDEN SPEAR                      10/1 general                      3rd 5/1

Off to a flyer when Neon Wolf bolted up and I hope plenty of you got on Friday night at a decent price. That horse wasn’t even mentioned in Harry Fry’s RP Stable Tour! Trainer told AtTheRaces in their Stable Tour “He is an Irish point-to-point winner who is an out and out galloper and another who definitely wants soft in the going description. He will be out when the weather changes and probably straight in a novice hurdle over two miles plus.” Personally I think Punchestown more likely than Cheltenham.

Vintage Clouds ran a cracker for a novice. Clouted a couple in the back straight second time but kept finding. It was a tired fall three out but could have been third, more likely fourth.

BetVictor Racing ‏@BetVictorRacing  Sunday 4pm   “The boy @jackkennedy15 can do no wrong as A TOI PHIL comes from another parish to nab Stellar Notion at @LeopardstownRC for @gelliott_racing”

Stellar Notion. Oh dear! We got the price but I haven’t been so gutted since Jolly’s Cracked It managed to dead heat in the Ladbroke! However whatever I felt I wouldn’t have wanted to be owner Roger Brookhouse’s cat!! Horse and jockey did everything right.

Which is more than I can say for Denis O’Regan. He obviously doesn’t read this blog! Five back on the rail at Leopardstown turning for home is NOT position A! If he had been where Tudor City was on Golden Spear, i.e directly in front of him, he wouldn’t have had to take a pull on the crown of the bend and he would have won that race. Boy did we get the price!!

@GGRacing ‏@GGRacing3  5pm Sunday @the_racehourFor me golden spear needs further over hurdles. staying on in England and again today. Interesting for coral cup.” I couldn’t disagree more! He needs a strong run two miles with a stiff finish and if he could get in the County Hurdle at Cheltenham would be of interest.

Good performance from the winner, Sean Flanagan and Ice Cold Soul, and if the handicapper(s) could get him up to OR136+ UK he could be a Coral Cup player.  Heartbreak City was beaten on merit and it will be interesting where he goes next? Chester Cup? The handicapper probably has That’s a Wrap and Veinard. Willie Mullins Cap D’Aubois remains of interest.

Other Twitter news from the Sunday Leopardstown meeting.

David Johnson ‏@davidjohnsonTF  Sunday 4pm  “Not a great jumping display again from Yorkhill. Could certainly be opposable at Punchestown whatever happens at Cheltenham.” Fencing concerned me!

Chris D ‏@Chrisday100  9pm Sunday @the_racehour “the Bumper winner at Leopardstown today franked Carter McKay’s win at Christmas in no uncertain terms #racehour”

 

So much good stuff this week! The Thyestes at Gowran on Thursday with useful supporting card. Melon could be out. Look at Supreme hurdle on Oddschecker.

Nine races at Cheltenham on Trials Day!! SkyBet chase day at Doncaster. Ante post piece on it’s way. Here’s a clue!

UPLANDS LATEST NEWS 21.01.17 Warren Greatrex Out Sam is an intended runner in the Sky Bet Chase next Saturday. I was very pleased with his 3rd at Kempton last time and he has come out of that race really well.

 

This weeks meetings

Tuesday

Leicester             Hurdles-Soft Chase-Good (Soft on the flat course crossings)

PRECAUTIONARY INSPECTION AT 8.00AM ON TUESDAY DUE TO POSSIBLE FROST OVERNIGHT.

Forecast: Monday-Dry with sunny spells max temp 4c, dry overnight min temp -2c.Tuesday-Dry with sunny spells max temp 5c. Frost sheets are on all take off and landings and all our shaded areas.

Wetherby           Good to Soft. Dry afternoon with, sunny spells on Monday, then cloud building overnight, with low of 0C. Dry and cloudy forecast for Tuesday (5C/6C).

Wednesday

Catterick              Good to Soft, Good in places (GoingStick: 7.8 on Monday at 13:45)

Frost sheets on take offs and landings and vulnerable areas

Ludlow                 Soft, good to soft.

Thursday

Gowran Park

Fakenham           Good, good to soft in places (frozen in places)

Would not have raced on Sun or Mon. Forecast is not good

Warwick              Soft, Heavy in places

Friday

Doncaster           Good to Soft, Good in Places

Huntingdon       Good to Soft

Saturday

Doncaster           Good to Soft, Good in Places

Forecast Cold until Tuesday when temperatures along with cloud cover are expected to increase.

Cheltenham       Chase and hurdle Good to soft. Cross country Good, good to soft in places.

Dry and cold until Tuesday, then milder with some rain at the end of the week.

 

As you all probably know me and Ruby Walsh think Airlie Beach and Death Duty are the best novice hurdlers in Ireland! So here’s an update on AB!

Sun 22nd Jan 2017, 11:53 Airlie Beach The Willie Mullins-trained mare secured her seventh successive victory with a tremendous front-running display in the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle at Fairyhouse in early December, providing the Supreme Horse Racing Club with its first Grade One success. The seven-year-old has since enjoyed a mid-season break and while she holds an entry in the Deloitte Novice Hurdle at Leopardstown on February 12, she is likely to bypass that engagement and instead make her next appearance at Prestbury Park in March.

Steve Massey, racing manager for the owners, said: “She had a hard race in the Royal Bond, so we gave her a break and she’s come back in very good order. She’s obviously done fantastically well for us already and at this stage, we don’t want her to have another hard race before Cheltenham, so the plan is to head straight there. We know Willie is more than capable of getting her ready at home and hopefully she’ll head to Cheltenham with a big chance.”

Airlie Beach is a best priced 7-2 favourite for the Trull House Stud Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle and as short as 10-1 for the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle. Massey expects the daughter of Shantou to line up in the former, but will leave a final decision to the trainer.”She’s 7-2 favourite for one race and I think you can get 16-1 for the Supreme,” said Massey.

“The mares’ novice hurdle would look the obvious race, but she’s already entered in the open Mares’ Hurdle as well and I’d imagine she’ll be entered for every race she’s eligible for. We always leave it to Willie to decide which race they should run in and he’ll run her in the race he feels she’s got the best chance of winning.”

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